San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Padres 1017-879, playoff odds up 1.9 to 49.5%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +9.6
+1.0
+0.6
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -3.3
-0.5
-0.2
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -1.2
-0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -1.2
-0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.7
-0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.3
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Mariners+9.8-9.8
+1.1-1.1
+0.5-0.5
Dodgers vs Cubs-2.2+2.2
-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Pirates vs Phillies-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1
Marlins vs Angels-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1811-0In9910466,028
1710-1100.0%9540104,387,503
169-2100.07817150021,926,085
158-399.6443371500065,797,495
147-494.0133120306000131,569,074
136-568.41122629247100184,169,272
125-628.902161132299100184,215,669
114-76.5005112343412200131,581,517
103-80.9010112343515200065,783,906
92-90.10000110313717300021,931,915
81-100.00001727362161004,386,054
70-11Out0052034281120466,702
Total:49.5%911141616151163100000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsMetsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
1811-012.5%100000000000
1710-112.4990000000000000
169-212.2950111100000000
158-311.58410443301000000
147-410.26420995611000000
136-58.2393015157912000000
125-64.9172013136711000000
114-71.5510452200000000
103-80.2100010000000000
92-90.00000000000000
81-100.000
70-11No
Total:6.2%33.91.80.18.89.04.35.10.91.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -1.4
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Mariners-1.4+1.4
Dodgers vs Cubs+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Phillies+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1811-095500
1710-1801820000
169-244401320000
158-392933207200000
147-4031223271971510000
136-50002819251513115200000
125-600001820391719147200000
114-70000600151220221810410000
103-80010000015112024211241000
92-9000000151322262092000
81-1000001310212923112000
70-110002102331239200
Total:245678994555555433221100000000