Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Pirates 854-1048, playoff odds down 7 to 3.1%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -4.8
-0.6
-0.7
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -1.3
-0.2
-0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -1.3
-0.2
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.5
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.5
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-1.8+1.8
-0.3+0.3
-0.6+0.6
Giants vs Mariners-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs-0.4+0.4
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.2+0.2
Pirates vs Phillies-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1511-097.9%3637223200466,766
1410-184.8931936132004,383,583
139-248.61101226331630021,938,028
128-313.20157263521500065,779,050
117-41.5001062339265000131,559,173
106-50.1000042245254000184,202,602
95-60.0000042644215000184,224,214
84-70.0000052536249200131,556,392
73-8Out004163029164065,790,004
62-9Out0028233426721,928,560
51-10Out00041842364,385,858
40-11Out0032473466,990
Total:3.1%0112481421211384310816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPiratesPhilliesRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
1511-010.9%741455713000000
1410-19.24917101012361000000
139-26.52227131312471000000
128-32.9714886241000000
117-40.5101221010000000
106-50.0000000000000000
95-60.0000000000000000
84-70.0000
4-7No
Total:0.6%1.60.20.61.31.31.10.40.60.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +1.7
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+1.5-1.5
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1511-072835206100200
1410-1031223251551132000
139-200027161772019931000
128-30001483122122168310000
117-400010026152223179310000
106-500000026152324178300000
95-6000002817252415620000
84-70000013112126221241000
73-800001616252717610
62-900014132732194
51-100015204233
40-110022276
Total:000001111223455678888765432110