Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Twins 970-846, playoff odds up 1.6 to 81.8%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +6.5
+0.8
+0.5
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -3.5
-0.4
-0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.9
-0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.4
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.4
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.3
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.2
-0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.2
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Marlins vs Angels+6.4-6.4
+0.7-0.7
+0.4-0.4
Mets vs White Sox-3.6+3.6
-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Pirates vs Phillies+0.7-0.7
+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.5+0.5
Giants vs Mariners-0.4+0.4
Dodgers vs Cubs+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In1000466,434
1810-1In10004,382,344
179-2100.0%96400021,921,067
168-3100.08416000065,785,783
157-499.9554042000131,573,405
146-598.220532062000184,209,126
135-687.533245993000184,189,261
124-760.70749416167100131,583,306
113-830.201291722281220065,786,282
102-99.9010016283617200021,928,820
91-101.70200626392151004,388,030
80-110.1000422342711200467,362
Total:81.8%242826465421000000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
18-1912.5%Yes
179-212.5100000000000
168-312.5100000000000000
157-412.49801100000000000
146-512.09212210100000000
135-611.07925530210000000
124-78.35625540210000000
113-84.23012210100000000
102-91.31000000000000000
91-100.22000000
80-110.00
Total:10.3%77.51.22.62.51.80.11.20.30.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -1.2
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins vs Angels-1.1+1.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-09730
1810-1871300
179-264333000
168-3304719400000
157-462735238200000
146-503142629197120000
135-600031326291655210000
124-7000316412610107310000
113-800129001410161712620000
102-9001000001511192318931000
91-1002000014122125201131000
80-1100001512212621103000
Total:6101011111111132222222111100000000000