Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Rapid Wien Playoff Chances 2019-2020ChampionshipRelegationRound 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 25.8%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	-11.9-2.5+13.6		-11.5-2.6+13.3		+0.0-0.0No		-0.4-0.1+0.5
LASK vs Hartberg	-1.9+0.5+1.5		-1.8+0.4+1.5
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC	+0.6+0.9-1.3		+0.7+0.8-1.2
Mattersburg vs Rheindorf Altach			+0.0+0.0-0.1
Austria Wien vs Admira			-0.1+0.0+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz	+10.8-2.4-9.1		+10.1-2.5-8.4		No-0.0+0.0		+0.5-0.1-0.4
Hartberg vs Salzburg	+2.8+1.0-3.5		+3.1+1.0-3.8
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	+0.1+0.9-0.7		+0.1+0.9-0.7
St. Pölten vs Austria Wien			+0.0+0.0-0.1
Rheindorf Altach vs Tirol			-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well Rapid Wien finishes out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Champions		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Relegated		Count

30	10	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No		44,240
28	9	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No		59,251
27	9	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		98	2					No		85,988
26	8	-	2	-	0	In		Yes		98	2					No		186,041
25	8	-	1	-	1	100.0	%	100.0	%	94	6	0				No		534,915
24	8	-	0	-	2	100.0		99.9		90	10	0				No		727,534	*
23	7	-	2	-	1	99.9		99.7		84	16	0				No		1,481,671
22	7	-	1	-	2	99.1		98.4		70	29	1	0			No		2,133,680
	6	-	4	-	0	99.7		99.3		79	20	0				No		418,447
21	6	-	3	-	1	98.5		97.1		63	35	1	0			No		2,405,671
	7	-	0	-	3	96.6		94.9		53	44	3	0			No		1,026,145
20	6	-	2	-	2	94.6		91.6		45	50	5	0			No		5,536,908	*
19	6	-	1	-	3	84.7		80.1		26	59	15	0			No		4,979,028
	5	-	4	-	1	91.1		86.4		35	56	9	0			No		2,507,094
18	5	-	3	-	2	77.9		70.9		18	60	22	0	0		No		7,213,386
	6	-	0	-	4	69.7		63.9		13	57	29	1	0		No		1,993,516	*
17	5	-	2	-	3	56.6		49.8		6	50	41	3	0		No		10,368,860
	4	-	5	-	1	68.2		59.9		11	57	31	1	0		No		1,742,995
16	5	-	1	-	4	31.9		28.0		1	31	58	10	0		No		7,462,184
	4	-	4	-	2	44.3		37.1		3	41	50	5	0		No		6,346,130	*
15	4	-	3	-	3	20.7		17.1		0	20	61	18	0		No		12,012,994
	5	-	0	-	5	12.4		11.1		0	12	59	27	1		No		2,148,695
	3	-	6	-	1	31.2		24.5		1	30	59	10	0		No		807,679
14	4	-	2	-	4	6.1		5.4		0	6	52	39	3	0	No		12,969,514
	3	-	5	-	2	11.5		9.1		0	11	60	28	1		No		3,501,998	*
13	3	-	4	-	3	2.6		2.1		0	3	42	49	6	0	No		8,593,528	*
	4	-	1	-	5	1.0		1.0			1	31	56	12	0	No		7,459,246
12	3	-	3	-	4	0.3		0.2			0	20	58	21	1	No		12,013,665
	4	-	0	-	6	0.1		0.1			0	12	55	31	2	No		1,789,953
	2	-	6	-	2	0.8		0.6			1	29	56	13	0	No		1,214,266	*
11	3	-	2	-	5	0.0		0.0			0	6	47	42	4	No		10,378,049
	2	-	5	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	11	54	32	2	No		3,527,933	*
10	2	-	4	-	4	0.0		0.0			0	3	37	51	9	No		6,504,733	*
	3	-	1	-	6	Out		0.0				1	28	56	14	No		4,977,821	*
9	2	-	3	-	5	Out		No				0	19	58	23	No		7,207,415
	3	-	0	-	7	Out		No				0	13	56	30	No		1,022,606
	1	-	6	-	3	Out		No				1	26	57	16	No		809,324	*
8	2	-	2	-	6	Out		No				0	7	51	42	No		5,189,685
	1	-	5	-	4	Out		No				0	11	55	33	No		1,763,271	*
7	1	-	4	-	5	Out		No				0	4	43	54	No		2,504,555
	2	-	1	-	7	Out		No				0	2	37	61	No		2,212,540	*
6	1	-	3	-	6	Out		No				0	1	28	71	No		2,606,546	*
	2	-	0	-	8	Out		No					0	22	77	No		384,567
5	1	-	2	-	7	Out		No					0	16	84	No		1,833,125	*
4	1	-	1	-	8	Out		No					0	7	93	No		534,172
	0	-	4	-	6	Out		No					0	9	91	No		417,938
3	0	-	3	-	7	Out		No					0	4	96	0.0	%	428,032	*
2	0	-	2	-	8	Out		No						1	99	0.1		186,047
1	0	-	1	-	9	Out		No						0	100	1.5		59,462
0	0	-	0	-	10	Out		No							100	13.8		44,429

Total:						25.8	%	23.8	%	8	18	26	23	17	9	0.0	%	172,357,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	+0.5+0.1-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz	-0.6+0.1+0.5
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

30	10	-	0	-	0	100	0
28	9	-	1	-	0	99	1
27	9	-	0	-	1	98	2
26	8	-	2	-	0	97	3
25	8	-	1	-	1	92	8	0
24	8	-	0	-	2	86	14	0
23	7	-	2	-	1	78	22	0
22	7	-	1	-	2	63	36	2	0
	6	-	4	-	0	72	28	1	0
21	6	-	3	-	1	54	43	3	0
	7	-	0	-	3	45	50	5	0
20	6	-	2	-	2	36	55	8	0	0
19	6	-	1	-	3	20	60	20	0	0
	5	-	4	-	1	27	60	13	0	0
18	5	-	3	-	2	12	58	28	1	0
	6	-	0	-	4	9	55	35	1	0
17	5	-	2	-	3	4	46	47	3	0	0
	4	-	5	-	1	7	53	38	2	0
16	5	-	1	-	4	1	27	60	12	0	0
	4	-	4	-	2	2	35	56	7	0	0
15	4	-	3	-	3	0	17	62	20	1	0	0
	5	-	0	-	5	0	11	60	28	1	0
	3	-	6	-	1	0	24	62	13	0	0
14	4	-	2	-	4	0	5	52	39	4	0	0
	3	-	5	-	2	0	9	59	30	2	0	0
13	3	-	4	-	3	0	2	40	48	9	1	0	0
	4	-	1	-	5		1	32	52	13	1	0	0
12	3	-	3	-	4		0	20	53	23	3	0	0
	4	-	0	-	6		0	14	52	30	5	0	0
	2	-	6	-	2		1	27	53	18	2	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	5		0	7	42	39	11	1	0	0
	2	-	5	-	3		0	11	47	34	8	0	0	0
10	2	-	4	-	4		0	3	29	44	20	3	0	0
	3	-	1	-	6		0	2	24	45	24	4	0	0
9	2	-	3	-	5			0	13	39	35	11	1	0	0
	3	-	0	-	7			0	9	37	38	14	1	0
	1	-	6	-	3			1	17	41	32	8	1	0
8	2	-	2	-	6			0	4	24	42	25	5	0	0
	1	-	5	-	4			0	5	27	41	22	4	0	0
7	1	-	4	-	5			0	1	12	35	37	14	1	0
	2	-	1	-	7			0	1	10	33	39	15	1	0
6	1	-	3	-	6				0	3	20	42	30	5	0	0
	2	-	0	-	8				0	3	19	42	31	6	0
5	1	-	2	-	7				0	0	6	29	45	18	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	8					0	1	12	42	38	7	0
	0	-	4	-	6				0	0	1	13	42	37	7	0
3	0	-	3	-	7						0	3	24	50	22	1	0
2	0	-	2	-	8						0	0	8	41	43	8	0
1	0	-	1	-	9							0	2	21	51	25	2
0	0	-	0	-	10								0	4	32	50	14

Total:						7	17	27	22	13	7	4	2	1	0	0	0