Red Bull Salzburg Playoff Chances 2019-2020ChampionshipRelegationRound 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 61.2%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	+14.8-0.9-14.2		+14.5-0.7-14.0		+0.4-0.0-0.4
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC	+1.1+1.6-2.2		+1.2+1.6-2.3
LASK vs Hartberg	-1.5+0.6+1.1		-1.2+0.5+0.9		-0.1+0.0+0.0
Austria Wien vs Admira			-0.1+0.1+0.1
Mattersburg vs Rheindorf Altach			+0.1+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Hartberg vs Salzburg	-10.6-1.9+12.0		-10.2-1.9+11.5		-0.3-0.0+0.4
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz	-2.9+1.7+1.7		-3.2+1.8+2.0
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	-1.5+1.1+0.7		-1.8+1.1+1.0
Rheindorf Altach vs Tirol			-0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Pölten vs Austria Wien			+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Salzburg finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Champions		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Relegated	Count

28	-30						In		Yes		100						No	104,030	*
27		9	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	85,284
26		8	-	2	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No	185,399
25		8	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	534,684
24		8	-	0	-	2	In		Yes		99	1					No	727,246	*
23		7	-	2	-	1	In		Yes		98	2					No	1,486,700
22		7	-	1	-	2	100.0	%	100.0	%	95	5	0				No	2,134,959
		6	-	4	-	0	In		Yes		98	2					No	417,615
21		6	-	3	-	1	100.0		100.0		94	6	0				No	2,405,930
		7	-	0	-	3	100.0		100.0		89	11	0				No	1,024,491
20		6	-	2	-	2	100.0		100.0		87	13	0				No	5,186,508
		5	-	5	-	0	100.0		100.0		92	8	0				No	349,205
19		6	-	1	-	3	99.9		99.9		77	23	0				No	4,979,540
		5	-	4	-	1	100.0		100.0		83	17	0				No	2,504,224
18		5	-	3	-	2	99.8		99.8		71	28	0				No	7,416,230	*
		6	-	0	-	4	99.3		99.5		63	37	1	0			No	1,790,453
17		5	-	2	-	3	98.8		99.0		56	43	1	0			No	10,376,432
		4	-	5	-	1	99.6		99.6		65	34	0				No	1,740,419
16		5	-	1	-	4	95.4		96.3		38	57	5	0			No	7,459,351
		4	-	4	-	2	97.8		98.2		48	50	2	0			No	6,345,093	*
15		4	-	3	-	3	92.2		93.6		30	62	8	0			No	12,017,662
		5	-	0	-	5	86.5		89.5		21	65	13	0			No	2,149,330
		3	-	6	-	1	96.1		96.6		40	57	4	0			No	806,139
14		4	-	2	-	4	79.6		83.3		15	65	20	1	0		No	12,962,451
		3	-	5	-	2	87.6		89.4		22	66	12	0			No	3,503,939	*
13		3	-	4	-	3	70.2		75.1		9	62	29	1	0		No	8,352,796
		4	-	1	-	5	59.3		66.1		5	54	38	3	0		No	7,699,243	*
12		3	-	3	-	4	45.3		53.3		2	43	48	7	0		No	12,016,846
		4	-	0	-	6	32.9		42.5		1	32	55	12	0		No	1,790,743
		2	-	6	-	2	58.5		64.2		4	54	38	3	0		No	1,214,112	*
11		3	-	2	-	5	21.1		29.3		0	21	57	21	1		No	10,372,918
		2	-	5	-	3	32.2		40.1		1	32	55	12	0		No	3,526,647	*
10		2	-	4	-	4	11.6		18.2		0	12	54	33	2	0	No	6,262,541
		3	-	1	-	6	6.9		12.1		0	7	47	42	5	0	No	5,214,773	*
9		2	-	3	-	5	2.5		5.3			2	34	53	11	0	No	7,211,981
		3	-	0	-	7	1.0		2.7			1	23	56	19	0	No	1,025,454
		1	-	6	-	3	5.5		9.7			6	44	45	6	0	No	808,671	*
8		2	-	2	-	6	0.2		0.8			0	13	54	31	2	No	5,187,878
		1	-	5	-	4	0.8		2.0			1	21	56	21	1	No	1,763,606	*
7		1	-	4	-	5	0.0		0.2			0	6	45	44	5	No	2,507,845
		2	-	1	-	7	0.0		0.1			0	3	37	51	8	No	2,213,777	*
6		1	-	3	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	1	25	57	16	No	2,604,979	*
		2	-	0	-	8	Out		No				0	17	58	24	No	384,022
5		1	-	2	-	7	Out		No				0	10	55	34	No	1,832,738	*
4		1	-	1	-	8	Out		No				0	3	40	58	No	534,880
		0	-	4	-	6	Out		No				0	5	46	49	No	418,098
3		0	-	3	-	7	Out		No				0	1	29	71	No	428,805	*
2		0	-	2	-	8	Out		No					0	16	84	No	186,719
1		0	-	1	-	9	Out		No					0	6	94	No	59,785
0		0	-	0	-	10	Out		No						2	98	No	44,301

Total:							61.2	%	64.2	%	27	34	21	11	5	2	No	172,357,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	-0.4+0.0+0.4
LASK vs Hartberg	+0.1-0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hartberg vs Salzburg	+0.3+0.0-0.4

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

30	10	-	0	-	0	100
28	9	-	1	-	0	100	0
27	9	-	0	-	1	100	0
26	8	-	2	-	0	100	0
25	8	-	1	-	1	99	1
24	8	-	0	-	2	99	1
23	7	-	2	-	1	97	3
22	7	-	1	-	2	94	6	0
	6	-	4	-	0	97	3
21	6	-	3	-	1	92	8	0
	7	-	0	-	3	88	12	0
20	6	-	2	-	2	85	15	0
19	6	-	1	-	3	74	26	0
	5	-	4	-	1	80	20	0
18	5	-	3	-	2	68	32	0	0
	6	-	0	-	4	63	37	0	0
17	5	-	2	-	3	53	46	1	0
	4	-	5	-	1	61	39	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	4	37	59	4	0
	4	-	4	-	2	45	53	2	0
15	4	-	3	-	3	29	65	6	0	0
	5	-	0	-	5	22	67	10	0	0
	3	-	6	-	1	36	61	3	0
14	4	-	2	-	4	15	68	16	0	0
	3	-	5	-	2	20	69	10	0	0
13	3	-	4	-	3	9	66	24	1	0
	4	-	1	-	5	6	60	32	2	0
12	3	-	3	-	4	2	51	42	4	0	0
	4	-	0	-	6	1	41	49	8	0	0
	2	-	6	-	2	4	60	34	2	0
11	3	-	2	-	5	0	29	55	15	1	0
	2	-	5	-	3	1	39	51	9	0	0
10	2	-	4	-	4	0	18	55	25	2	0	0
	3	-	1	-	6	0	12	52	33	3	0	0
9	2	-	3	-	5	0	5	41	44	9	0	0	0
	3	-	0	-	7		3	33	50	13	1	0
	1	-	6	-	3	0	10	49	36	5	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	6		1	20	52	24	3	0	0
	1	-	5	-	4		2	28	50	17	2	0	0
7	1	-	4	-	5		0	10	45	36	9	1	0
	2	-	1	-	7		0	6	39	41	12	1	0
6	1	-	3	-	6		0	2	25	45	23	4	0	0
	2	-	0	-	8			1	19	46	28	6	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	7			0	10	37	38	13	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	8			0	2	20	42	30	6	0	0
	0	-	4	-	6			0	3	23	42	26	5	0
3	0	-	3	-	7				0	8	32	41	17	1	0
2	0	-	2	-	8				0	2	16	42	34	6	0
1	0	-	1	-	9					0	4	27	48	19	1	0
0	0	-	0	-	10					0	0	6	37	45	11	0

Total:						27	38	20	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0