| Week of 3/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Semi-Final | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Volta Redonda 0 Madureira 3 | No | | -3.5 | | -0.3 | |
| Fluminense 1 Tigres do Brasil 1 | | | +1.0 | | +0.1 | |
| Macae 1 Bangu 1 | | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | |
| Cabofriense 0 Botafogo 1 | *No | | -0.1 | | | |
| Volta Redonda 1 Tigres do Brasil 1 | | | -0.8 | | -0.3 | |
| Boavista 1 Vasco da Gama 2 | | | -0.2 | | | |
| Fluminense 3 Cabofriense 0 | | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Madureira 1 Bonsucesso 1 | | | +0.1 | | | |
| Resende 2 Macae 2 | | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Flamengo 2 Vasco da Gama 1 | | | -0.1 | | | |
| Flamengo 2 Bangu 1 | | | -0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Barra Mansa 1 Botafogo 1 | | | +0.1 | | | |
|
| Week of 3/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Semi-Final | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Madureira 1 Macae 0 | | | No | | +0.1 | |
| Friburguense 1 Volta Redonda 1 | | | | | -0.2 | |
| Bangu 1 Tigres do Brasil 0 | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Week of 4/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Semi-Final | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bangu 1 Resende 2 | | | | | +0.5 | |
| Vasco da Gama 4 Volta Redonda 1 | | | | | -0.3 | |
| Botafogo 1 Macae 0 | | | | | +0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.