"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedSegunda Divisão
SundayPGW-OTLDGD%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength3/4
VitóriaWJequié 5-1165-011897.7%+11.44633126201.9+0.99No3.689JacobinaEC Vitória
JuazeirenseLFlu de Feira 1-3165-011695.5-3.731292312402.3-0.91No2.653EC BahiaSociedade Desportiva Juazeirense
EC BahiaWAtlântico 2-1144-012984.8+10.0191927201323.0+0.52No4.753at JuazeirenseEC Bahia
Flu de FeiraWJuazeirense 3-1134-021358.4+27.8310162937504.0+0.92No-0.05.594at Vitória da ConquistaFluminense de Feira Futebol Clube
Bahia de Feira134-021260.7-20.328212934604.0-0.54No1.553AtlânticoAssociação Desportiva Bahia de Feira
JequiéLVitória 1-5103-031-32.8-25.20127523366.3-1.27No-0.06.418JacuipenseAssociação Desportiva Jequié
JacuipenseWJacobina 4-072-04100.2+0.003323826106.9+1.110.0%-5.08.496at JequiéEC Jacuipense
Vitória da Conquista62-050-9Out-0.0425432718.0-0.140.7-0.37.287Flu de FeiraEC Primeiro Passo Vitória da Conquista
JacobinaLJacuipense 0-441-051-9Out-0.0042460118.8-0.6511.1+5.19.215at VitóriaJacobina EC
AtlânticoLEC Bahia 1-210-061-7Out0111889.9-0.0288.2+0.210.306at Bahia de FeiraAtlântico EC

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/18
Flu de Feira 0 Bahia de Feira 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-1.9
EC Bahia-1.7
Flu de Feira-28.1
-1.1
Bahia de Feira+31.5
+1.3
Jequié-0.2
Vitória da Conquista+0.3
Vitória 0 EC Bahia 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-11.1
-0.7
Juazeirense-0.8
EC Bahia+25.3
No
+0.9
Flu de Feira-1.8
Bahia de Feira-3.2
Jequié-7.7
Bahia de Feira 3 Vitória da Conquista 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-2.1
EC Bahia-3.5
Flu de Feira-6.0
Bahia de Feira+19.8
No
+0.7
Jequié-5.3
Vitória da Conquista-2.4
-0.4
Jacuipense 0 Vitória 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+13.8
No
+0.6
EC Bahia-2.5
Flu de Feira-1.3
Bahia de Feira-2.1
Jequié-4.3
Jacuipense-3.1
+1.8
-0.4
Atlântico-1.4
Juazeirense 2 Jequié 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+1.0
Juazeirense+2.9
+0.4
EC Bahia+3.6
Flu de Feira+0.9
Bahia de Feira+1.9
Jequié-10.7
-0.4
Jacuipense 1 Flu de Feira 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+0.2
Juazeirense+0.2
EC Bahia+2.3
Flu de Feira-10.2
-0.7
Bahia de Feira+2.5
Jequié+2.3
Jacuipense+1.7
-13.9
+0.8
Vitória da Conquista-0.2
Jacobina+1.7
-0.2
Atlântico+11.6
Week of 2/25
Flu de Feira 3 Juazeirense 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-5.0
Juazeirense-2.1
-0.5
EC Bahia-8.4
Flu de Feira+29.5
+1.0
Bahia de Feira-8.6
Jequié-5.3
-0.2
Vitória da ConquistaOut
Jequié 1 Vitória 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+12.2
+0.8
EC Bahia+2.8
Bahia de Feira+2.3
Jequié-17.3
-0.6
EC Bahia 2 Atlântico 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-1.5
EC Bahia+10.6
+0.4
Flu de Feira-3.2
*No
Bahia de Feira-2.3
Jequié-3.5
*No
Jacuipense-2.0
Vitória da ConquistaOut
-0.5
Jacobina-2.3
Atlântico+4.8
Jacuipense 4 Jacobina 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Jequié*No
Jacuipense+0.2
-4.9
+0.7
JacobinaOut
+4.6
-0.5
Week of 3/4
Bahia de Feira vs AtlânticoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Juazeirense93.797.398.8
2.42.22.2
EC Bahia80.390.492.2
3.12.82.7
Flu de Feira48.468.379.0
4.23.93.7
Bahia de Feira79.041.924.4
3.64.55.0
JacuipenseOutOut1.2
NoNo0.1
6.96.96.8
Vitória da ConquistaNoNo4.4
Jacobina4.08.839.5
8.78.89.1
Atlântico96.091.256.0
10.09.99.5
Vitória da Conquista vs Flu de FeiraHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Juazeirense98.897.493.4
2.22.22.4
EC Bahia92.490.579.6
2.82.83.1
Flu de Feira23.642.377.8
4.94.53.5
Bahia de Feira80.168.350.5
3.73.94.2
Jacuipense1.0OutOut
7.26.96.8
Vitória da ConquistaNo*0.71.0
7.28.08.2
Flu de Feira vs VitóriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória93.499.5In
2.71.81.2
Juazeirense92.195.698.2
2.22.22.4
EC Bahia78.186.789.2
3.02.83.0
Flu de Feira88.056.835.1
3.04.24.7
Bahia de Feira46.858.873.2
4.24.03.9
JacuipenseOutOut0.5
Jacuipense vs Bahia de FeiraHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Juazeirense98.395.992.3
2.22.22.5
EC Bahia89.287.178.8
2.82.93.2
Flu de Feira72.659.743.4
3.84.04.2
Bahia de Feira36.056.888.2
4.74.23.2
Jacuipense0.5OutOut
NoNo0.1
6.47.07.3
EC Bahia vs JequiéHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia97.568.454.4
2.43.84.2
Flu de Feira54.066.664.5
4.13.83.9
Bahia de Feira56.268.966.8
4.13.83.9
Jequié0.10.920.0
6.56.25.4
Juazeirense vs EC BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
JuazeirenseIn98.490.2
1.42.13.1
EC Bahia72.177.399.0
3.93.51.9
Flu de Feira61.860.154.9
4.03.94.1
Bahia de Feira64.062.557.1
4.03.94.1
Atlântico vs JuazeirenseHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Juazeirense81.094.799.7
3.32.71.9
Flu de Feira64.658.556.8
3.84.04.1
Bahia de Feira66.660.759.1
3.84.04.1
Jacuipense0.2NoNo
Vitória da Conquista4.5NoNo
Jacobina39.79.04.1
9.18.88.7
Atlântico55.691.095.9
9.59.910.0
Vitória vs JacobinaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória99.995.383.5
1.62.43.0
Bahia de Feira59.861.467.2
4.13.93.8
Jacobina14.25.00.9
8.98.78.1
Atlântico85.194.297.8
9.89.910.0
Jequié vs JacuipenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Jequié7.10.80.0
5.76.36.9
JacuipenseOutOut0.5
0.1NoNo
7.57.16.2
Jacobina vs Vitória da ConquistaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória da Conquista2.00.1No
8.77.97.4
Jacobina0.48.122.2
8.19.09.2
Atlântico97.591.877.8
10.09.99.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Lucas Dias for adding this league.