"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedSegunda Divisão
PGW-OTLDGD%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Vitória196-0119In+2.355301051.6+0.22No3.698EC Vitória
EC Bahia175-0121099.5%+14.7383518812.0+0.99No1.756EC Bahia
Juazeirense165-021593.9-1.5222482263.1-0.77No2.619Sociedade Desportiva Juazeirense
Flu de Feira165-021484.5+26.05121850163.6+0.41No5.614Fluminense de Feira Futebol Clube
Bahia de Feira144-022222.1-38.50616784.7-0.69No4.547Associação Desportiva Bahia de Feira
Jacuipense103-0411Out-0.281196.2+0.71No-0.06.527EC Jacuipense
Jequié103-041-4Out-2.819816.8-0.49No7.395Associação Desportiva Jequié
Vitória da Conquista62-060-10Out64368.4-0.39No-0.78.280EC Primeiro Passo Vitória da Conquista
Jacobina41-061-10Out3651138.8+0.0113.2%+2.19.217Jacobina EC
Atlântico20-062-7Out13879.986.8-1.310.327Atlântico EC

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/18
Flu de Feira 0 Bahia de Feira 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Flu de Feira-28.1
-1.1
Bahia de Feira+31.5
+1.3
Vitória 0 EC Bahia 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-11.1
-0.7
EC Bahia+25.3
No
+0.9
Jequié-7.7
Bahia de Feira 3 Vitória da Conquista 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia-3.5
Flu de Feira-6.0
Bahia de Feira+19.8
No
+0.7
Jequié-5.3
Vitória da Conquista-2.4
-0.4
Jacuipense 0 Vitória 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+13.8
No
+0.6
Jacuipense-3.1
+1.8
-0.4
Jequié-4.3
Juazeirense 2 Jequié 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia+3.6
Juazeirense+2.9
+0.4
Bahia de Feira+1.9
Jequié-10.7
-0.4
Jacuipense 1 Flu de Feira 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Flu de Feira-10.2
-0.7
Jacuipense+1.7
-13.9
+0.8
Atlântico+11.6
Week of 2/25
Flu de Feira 3 Juazeirense 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória-5.0
EC Bahia-8.4
Juazeirense-2.1
-0.5
Flu de Feira+29.5
+1.0
Bahia de Feira-8.6
Jequié-5.3
-0.2
Vitória da ConquistaOut
Jequié 1 Vitória 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+12.2
+0.8
EC Bahia+2.8
Jequié-17.3
-0.6
EC Bahia 2 Atlântico 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia+10.6
+0.4
Flu de Feira-3.2
*No
Bahia de Feira-2.3
Jacuipense-2.0
Jequié-3.5
*No
Vitória da ConquistaOut
Jacobina-2.3
Atlântico+4.8
Jacuipense 4 Jacobina 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Jacuipense+0.2
-4.9
+0.7
Jequié*No
JacobinaOut
+4.6
-0.5
Week of 3/4
Vitória da Conquista 1 Flu de Feira 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia-5.2
Flu de Feira+19.3
+0.5
Bahia de Feira-10.2
-0.2
JacuipenseOut
Vitória da Conquista+0.3
-0.3
Bahia de Feira 2 Atlântico 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia+5.6
+0.2
Flu de Feira+9.9
+0.2
Bahia de Feira-18.8
-0.5
JacuipenseOut
No
Vitória da ConquistaNo
Jacobina-2.3
Atlântico+3.1
Juazeirense 1 EC Bahia 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC Bahia+14.2
+1.0
Juazeirense-5.3
-0.8
Flu de Feira-3.6
Bahia de Feira-3.6
Jequié 0 Jacuipense 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Jacuipense+0.3
No
+0.7
Jequié-2.8
-0.6
Vitória 2 Jacobina 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória+2.2
+0.3
Bahia de Feira-0.9
Jacobina+3.2
Atlântico-3.1
Jacuipense vs Bahia de FeiraIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC BahiaInIn98.4
JuazeirenseInIn81.9
3.03.03.3
Flu de FeiraInIn53.9
3.43.43.9
Bahia de FeiraOutOut65.8
5.05.04.1
Flu de Feira vs VitóriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória2.41.61.0
EC Bahia98.999.4In
1.91.62.2
Juazeirense90.093.197.8
3.23.13.0
Flu de FeiraIn88.368.5
2.63.94.3
Bahia de Feira11.019.333.6
4.94.74.5
Atlântico vs JuazeirenseHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC BahiaIn99.599.3
1.81.82.1
Juazeirense75.695.6In
4.13.42.5
Flu de Feira90.882.982.9
3.23.53.8
Bahia de Feira33.622.017.9
4.54.74.8
Jacobina64.2NoNo
9.38.68.6
Atlântico35.8YesYes
9.410.010.0
EC Bahia vs JequiéHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
EC BahiaInIn95.3
1.42.93.2
Juazeirense3.32.72.7
Jacobina vs Vitória da ConquistaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Vitória da Conquista9.08.08.0
JacobinaNo20.520.5
8.09.29.2
AtlânticoYes79.579.5
10.09.89.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Lucas Dias for adding this league.