"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSemi-FinalChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Botafogo3611-3-122Yes+87.5Yes1001.0+0.97No1.810Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Flamengo3611-3-122No-87.5Yes1002.0-0.87No2.810Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Vasco da Gama3310-3-218NoYes+3.01003.0+0.51No3.740Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fluminense3110-1-414NoYes+69.01004.0+0.63No5.689Fluminense Football Club
Madureira309-3-314NoNo-72.01005.0-1.15No4.718Madureira Esporte Clube
Macae267-5-33NoNo1006.0+0.03No6.556Macae Esporte Futebol Clube
Volta Redonda236-5-4-1NoNo1007.0+0.42No7.480Volta Redonda Futebol Clube
Bangu226-4-52NoNo1008.0-0.53No8.525Bangu Atletico Clube
Resende164-4-7-6NoNo1009.0+0.78No9.401Resende Futebol Clube
Friburguense143-5-7-8NoNo10010.0-0.40No10.371Friburguense Atletico Clube
Cabofriense123-3-9-14NoNo10011.0+1.72No-5.612.283Associacao Desportiva Cabofriense
Bonsucesso112-5-8-10NoNo10012.0-0.66No11.264Bonsucesso Futebol Clube
Tigres do Brasil111-8-6-12NoNo10013.0-0.35No-8.713.269Esporte Clube Tigres do Brasil
Boavista81-5-9-15NoNo10014.0+0.74No-66.714.264Boavista Sport Club
Nova Iguacu81-5-9-16NoNo10015.0+0.62Yes+6.716.232Nova Iguacu Futebol Clube
Barra Mansa-61-6-8-13NoNo10016.0-2.45Yes+74.315.302Barra Mansa Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/21
Flamengo 2 Vasco da Gama 1
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+2.9
Flamengo+16.3
+12.2
+0.9
Vasco da Gama-23.5
-2.7
-0.6
Madureira+4.1
-1.5
Barra Mansa 1 Botafogo 1
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-13.7
-3.5
-0.5
Flamengo+5.8
+0.2
Vasco da Gama+4.1
Boavista+1.4
Barra Mansa-5.5
+0.2
Madureira 1 Bonsucesso 1
3:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense+4.9
Madureira-10.4
-9.8
-0.6
Bonsucesso-5.9
+0.3
Flamengo 2 Bangu 1
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-4.2
Flamengo+9.8
+4.6
+0.4
Vasco da Gama-3.1
BanguNo
-0.2
Boavista 1 Vasco da Gama 2
4:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-3.9
Vasco da Gama+6.5
+2.4
+0.3
Boavista+4.5
-0.2
Barra Mansa-1.3
Cabofriense 0 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+6.0
+4.0
+0.3
Vasco da Gama-3.2
Volta Redonda*No
Volta Redonda 0 Madureira 3
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Madureira+5.2
+12.4
+0.6
Volta RedondaNo
-3.5
-0.3
Fluminense 1 Tigres do Brasil 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+4.5
Fluminense-1.7
-15.8
-0.6
Madureira+4.4
Tigres do Brasil-4.5
+0.2
Macae 1 Bangu 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Macae-6.7
-0.2
Fluminense 3 Cabofriense 0
7:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense+8.4
+0.3
Madureira-4.5
Cabofriense+2.3
-0.4
Resende 2 Macae 2
3:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Macae-4.6
-0.3
Volta Redonda 1 Tigres do Brasil 1
6:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Tigres do Brasil-3.1
Bonsucesso 4 Boavista 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bonsucesso-29.4
+1.0
Boavista+15.7
-1.2
Nova Iguacu 1 Friburguense 0
3:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Friburguense+6.3
-1.0
Nova Iguacu-21.0
+0.8
Resende 2 Friburguense 0
3:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Resende-19.3
+1.3
Week of 3/28
Vasco da Gama 1 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-4.8
+0.6
Flamengo+11.1
Vasco da Gama-8.6
Bonsucesso 0 Flamengo 2
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-3.6
Flamengo+10.4
+2.1
+0.3
Vasco da Gama-4.9
MacaeNo
Bonsucesso+5.4
-0.4
Nova Iguacu-1.3
Madureira 1 Macae 0
3:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense-6.7
Madureira+4.4
+11.5
+0.4
MacaeNo
No
-0.2
Volta RedondaNo
Fluminense 4 Barra Mansa 2
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-2.6
Flamengo-0.1
Fluminense+0.2
+8.5
+0.2
Madureira-4.9
Boavista-1.8
Barra Mansa+7.2
-0.4
Cabofriense 0 Nova Iguacu 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense-0.8
-0.4
Nova Iguacu+5.5
-0.4
Resende 4 Boavista 2
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
ResendeNo
+1.1
Boavista+15.7
-0.9
Barra Mansa-3.6
Bangu 1 Tigres do Brasil 0
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Tigres do Brasil+7.7
-0.6
Friburguense 1 Volta Redonda 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Friburguense-4.6
Week of 4/5
Flamengo 3 Fluminense 0
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-7.9
+6.0
Flamengo+29.0
Yes
+0.5
Vasco da Gama-12.1
+2.2
FluminenseNo
-13.1
-0.4
Madureira-7.6
+4.5
Nova Iguacu 0 Flamengo 0
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+25.8
+0.3
Flamengo-25.8
-0.3
Cabofriense-1.3
Tigres do Brasil-1.3
Nova Iguacu+0.4
+0.2
Barra Mansa+2.6
Botafogo 4 Madureira 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+18.9
Yes
+1.0
Flamengo-5.1
Yes
Madureira-11.1
-14.6
-0.9
Friburguense 5 Vasco da Gama 4
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+10.9
+0.2
Vasco da Gama-17.7
-13.7
-1.1
FriburguenseNo
+1.6
Botafogo 1 Macae 0
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+9.3
+0.2
Flamengo-9.3
Madureira 1 Fluminense 2
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama-6.7
FluminenseYes
+1.1
Madureira-62.3
-1.1
Vasco da Gama 4 Volta Redonda 1
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da GamaYes
+0.4
Madureira-3.0
-0.2
Boavista 1 Friburguense 1
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense-4.8
+0.2
Tigres do Brasil-7.3
Boavista+18.3
-0.2
Barra Mansa-7.2
Tigres do Brasil 1 Barra Mansa 1
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense-4.7
+0.3
Tigres do BrasilNo
+0.3
Boavista+3.6
Barra Mansa+8.3
-0.8
Cabofriense 2 Bonsucesso 1
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CabofrienseNo
+1.4
Bonsucesso-1.3
Tigres do Brasil+4.7
-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.