Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedSerie A2
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
PalmeirasWItuano 3-0268-2-211In1001.0No1.738Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
CorinthiansWBotafogo 2-0237-2-39In1001.0No2.712Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
SantosLSao Bento 1-3185-3-44In1001.0+0.08No4.578Santos Futebol Clube
Sao PauloWRed Bull 3-1175-2-51In1001.0+0.25No3.521Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
NovorizontinoWSanto Andre 3-2206-2-41In1002.0No11.512Gremio Esportivo Novorizontino
BragantinoTSao Caetano 1-1174-5-31In+57.71002.0+0.58No6.531Clube Atletico Bragantino
BotafogoLCorinthians 0-2164-4-4-2In1002.0-0.08No8.431Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Sao CaetanoTBragantino 1-1154-3-5-6In1002.0-0.25No9.326Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
ItuanoLPalmeiras 0-3174-5-30Out-57.71003.0-0.58No5.494Ituano Futebol Clube
Sao BentoWSantos 3-1174-5-33Out1003.0+0.24No10.593Esporte Clube Sao Bento
Red BullLSao Paulo 1-3132-7-3-1Out1003.0+0.24No7.464Red Bull Futebol e Entretenimento Ltda
Ponte PretaTFerroviaria 0-0122-6-4-2Out1003.0+0.06No-8.712.405Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
FerroviariaTPonte Preta 0-0132-7-3-1Out1004.0-0.24No13.467Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes
MirassolTLinense 1-1122-6-4-4Out1004.0-0.24No-32.614.381Mirassol Futebol Clube
LinenseTMirassol 1-1102-4-6-7Out1004.0Yes+35.016.362Clube Atletico Linense
Santo AndreLNovorizontino 2-381-5-6-7Out1004.0-0.06Yes+6.315.345Esporte Clube Santo Andre

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/21
Ituano 1 Red Bull 0
5:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-17.2
-0.2
Botafogo+12.2
Ituano+18.9
-2.3
+0.3
Red Bull-15.1
+2.2
-0.3
Bragantino 2 Novorizontino 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino-14.2
+2.5
-0.3
Bragantino+17.9
-8.2
+0.3
Ituano-16.3
-0.2
Sao Bento+10.1
Ituano 2 Sao Paulo 1
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-7.2
-0.2
Bragantino-14.1
-0.2
Ituano+17.4
-7.8
+0.3
Mirassol 1 Ponte Preta 0
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+7.5
+5.8
+0.2
Ponte Preta-19.1
+8.4
-0.5
Mirassol+3.7
-29.2
+0.2
Santo Andre+6.7
+3.6
Santos 2 Santo Andre 0
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santos+4.0
*No
+0.2
Sao Paulo+4.1
Ponte Preta+3.5
Santo Andre-10.2
+8.9
-0.3
Botafogo 1 Linense 1
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-9.5
-0.2
Red Bull+6.8
Linense+5.5
Sao Paulo 0 Ferroviaria 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-3.9
Sao Bento+2.1
Ferroviaria-4.6
+0.4
Santo Andre+1.1
Week of 3/3
Sao Bento 0 Ituano 1
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-2.6
Novorizontino+21.9
+0.2
Bragantino-20.7
-0.2
Ituano+23.3
No
+0.3
Sao Bento-24.7
-0.4
Novorizontino 3 Ituano 2
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino+23.5
-4.4
+0.5
Bragantino+17.9
+0.2
Ituano-20.0
-0.3
Sao Bento-18.1
-0.2
Linense+0.2
Ponte Preta 0 Bragantino 1
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+22.1
No
+0.3
Sao Caetano+14.4
-2.6
+0.2
Ituano-21.3
-0.2
Ponte Preta-19.6
+10.6
-0.4
Palmeiras 0 Sao Caetano 1
8:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+35.3
-15.9
+0.7
Ponte Preta-25.6
+1.8
-0.3
Santo Andre 0 Botafogo 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+21.0
No
+0.3
Sao Caetano+4.9
-4.9
+0.2
Red Bull-16.3
-0.2
Ponte Preta+5.2
-2.6
Santo Andre-14.1
+19.5
-0.4
Red Bull 0 Sao Bento 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
PalmeirasIn
Santos+0.1
Novorizontino+4.7
Botafogo+7.2
Sao Bento-5.8
-0.1
Red Bull-8.3
-1.8
Ferroviaria+1.1
Week of 3/7
Bragantino 1 Sao Caetano 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-0.2
Bragantino-26.8
-0.3
Sao Caetano+0.2
Ituano+26.8
+0.3
Red Bull 0 Ponte Preta 0
9:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao PauloIn
BotafogoIn
Sao CaetanoIn
Red BullOut
-0.3
Ponte PretaOut
-8.2
Mirassol+4.2
Santo Andre+2.6
Ituano 0 Palmeiras 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+20.9
+0.2
Ituano-20.9
-0.2
Novorizontino 2 Santos 1
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
NovorizontinoIn
+0.3
Sao BentoOut
FerroviariaOut
Ferroviaria 0 Bragantino 0
5:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-17.2
-0.2
Ituano+17.2
+0.2
FerroviariaNo
Corinthians 1 Mirassol 0
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
CorinthiansIn
+0.2
Botafogo+2.2
MirassolOut
+7.4
Sao Caetano 0 Botafogo 0
7:15 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-3.7
Sao Caetano+2.4
Red Bull+3.7
Ponte Preta-2.9
Linense 1 Santo Andre 0
5:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+2.5
No
Sao BentoNo
Ponte Preta-5.9
+0.2
Linense-19.6
Santo AndreOut
+27.2
-0.2
Palmeiras 2 Sao Paulo 0
8:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-0.9
Mirassol 1 Linense 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Red Bull+0.2
MirassolNo
-0.2
LinenseYes
Ponte Preta 0 Ferroviaria 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento+0.2
Ponte PretaNo
Ferroviaria-0.2
Santo AndreYes
Santo Andre 2 Novorizontino 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta-5.5
Santo AndreYes
Santos 1 Sao Bento 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento+0.2
Ferroviaria-0.2
Sao Paulo 3 Red Bull 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.2
Sao Caetano-0.2
Red Bull-0.2
Mirassol+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.