How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 7/23 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Erste Liga 100.0* Average seed Rapid Wien 2 Mattersburg 2 -0.8 -1.2 +0.3 -0.1 LASK Linz 3 Admira 0 -0.1 -0.1 Wolfsberger AC 0 Salzburg 2 -0.1 -0.1 Sturm Graz 3 St. Pölten 2 -0.1 -0.1 Rheindorf Altach 3 Austria Wien 0 -0.1 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Mattersburg vs Wolfsberger AC +2.8-0.8-2.4 +4.9-1.3-4.3 -3.2+0.4+3.2 +0.5-0.1-0.5 Admira vs Rheindorf Altach +0.2+0.2-0.3 +0.3+0.3-0.4 +0.4-0.1-0.3 Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz +0.2+0.2-0.2 +0.2+0.3-0.4 +0.3-0.1-0.2 Salzburg vs LASK Linz -0.1+0.3-0.1 -0.1+0.4-0.1 St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien +0.0+0.1-0.1 *-0.0+0.3-0.2 +0.1-0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 8/5 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Erste Liga 100.0* Average seed Mattersburg vs Sturm Graz +3.1-0.7-2.5 +5.4-1.1-4.5 -3.1+0.3+2.8 +0.5-0.1-0.5 Wolfsberger AC vs Rheindorf Altach +0.2+0.2-0.3 +0.3+0.3-0.4 +0.4-0.1-0.3 Salzburg vs Admira -0.3+0.2+0.2 -0.4+0.3+0.3 -0.3-0.1+0.4 LASK Linz vs St. Pölten -0.3+0.2+0.2 -0.4+0.3+0.2 -0.2-0.1+0.3 Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.2+0.2+0.1 -0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Mattersburg finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed Erste TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Liga Count 83 -106 Yes Yes 100 No 314,664 * 82 25 - 6 - 4 100.0 % Yes 100 0 No 7,821 * 81 25 - 5 - 5 100.0 Yes 100 0 No 13,387 * 80 24 - 7 - 4 100.0 Yes 100 0 No 22,878 * 79 24 - 6 - 5 100.0 Yes 100 0 No 38,334 * 78 24 - 5 - 6 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 63,218 * 77 23 - 7 - 5 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 102,415 * 76 23 - 6 - 6 99.8 Yes 100 0 No 160,737 * 75 23 - 5 - 7 99.7 Yes 100 0 No 249,925 * 74 22 - 7 - 6 99.6 100.0 % 100 0 0 No 381,417 * 73 22 - 6 - 7 99.3 100.0 99 1 0 No 572,768 * 72 21 - 8 - 6 98.9 100.0 99 1 0 No 840,556 * 71 21 - 7 - 7 98.3 100.0 98 2 0 No 1,212,771 * 70 21 - 6 - 8 97.4 100.0 97 3 0 0 No 1,723,060 * 69 20 - 8 - 7 96.1 100.0 96 4 0 No 2,406,493 * 68 20 - 7 - 8 94.2 99.9 94 6 0 0 No 3,302,432 * 67 20 - 6 - 9 91.7 99.9 92 8 0 0 No 4,458,666 * 66 19 - 8 - 8 88.3 99.7 88 11 0 0 No 5,924,699 * 65 19 - 7 - 9 83.9 99.4 84 15 1 0 0 No 7,733,266 * 64 18 - 9 - 8 78.2 98.8 78 21 1 0 0 No 9,939,000 * 63 18 - 8 - 9 71.2 97.7 71 27 2 0 0 0 No 12,556,891 * 62 18 - 7 - 10 62.8 95.8 63 33 4 0 0 0 No 15,627,261 * 61 17 - 9 - 9 53.3 92.6 53 39 7 0 0 0 No 19,121,163 * 60 17 - 8 - 10 43.0 87.6 43 45 11 1 0 0 0 No 23,042,800 * 59 17 - 7 - 11 32.6 80.2 33 48 18 2 0 0 0 No 27,319,594 * 58 16 - 9 - 10 22.7 70.1 23 47 25 4 0 0 0 0 No 31,880,931 * 57 16 - 8 - 11 14.3 57.3 14 43 34 8 1 0 0 0 No 36,637,284 * 56 16 - 7 - 12 7.9 42.8 8 35 40 15 2 0 0 0 No 41,420,837 * 55 15 - 9 - 11 3.6 28.4 4 25 43 24 5 0 0 0 0 No 46,113,793 * 54 15 - 8 - 12 1.3 16.1 1 15 39 34 10 1 0 0 0 No 50,505,137 * 53 14 - 10 - 11 0.4 7.4 0 7 30 40 19 3 0 0 0 No 54,432,384 * 52 14 - 9 - 12 0.1 2.6 0 3 19 40 30 8 1 0 0 No 57,773,762 * 51 14 - 8 - 13 0.0 0.7 0 1 9 32 39 17 2 0 0 No 60,348,756 * 50 13 - 10 - 12 0.0 0.1 0 0 3 20 41 29 7 0 0 0 0.0 % 62,017,424 * 49 13 - 9 - 13 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 10 33 39 16 2 0 0 0.0 62,720,116 * 48 13 - 8 - 14 No 0.0 0 0 4 21 41 28 6 0 0 0.0 62,433,988 * 47 12 - 10 - 13 No 0.0 0 0 1 11 34 38 14 2 0 0.0 61,110,352 * 46 12 - 9 - 14 No 0.0 0 0 0 4 23 42 26 5 0 0.2 58,857,907 * 45 12 - 8 - 15 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 13 37 37 12 1 0.8 55,741,613 * 44 11 - 10 - 14 No 0.0 0 0 0 0 6 27 42 21 3 2.6 51,962,927 * 43 11 - 9 - 15 No No 0 0 0 2 18 42 32 6 6.1 47,586,302 * 42 11 - 8 - 16 No No 0 0 0 1 10 36 41 12 12.1 42,847,167 * 41 10 - 10 - 15 No No 0 0 0 5 27 47 20 20.3 37,941,928 * 40 10 - 9 - 16 No No 0 0 0 2 19 48 30 30.3 32,997,006 * 39 10 - 8 - 17 No No 0 0 1 12 46 41 41.3 28,201,569 * 38 9 - 10 - 16 No No 0 0 0 7 40 52 52.2 23,676,371 * 37 9 - 9 - 17 No No 0 0 4 33 62 62.4 19,512,880 * 36 9 - 8 - 18 No No 0 0 2 27 71 71.3 15,787,787 * 35 8 - 10 - 17 No No 0 0 1 20 79 78.8 12,530,883 * 34 8 - 9 - 18 No No 0 0 0 15 85 84.7 9,758,078 * 33 8 - 8 - 19 No No 0 0 0 10 89 89.3 7,455,150 * 32 7 - 10 - 18 No No 0 0 7 93 92.7 5,579,962 * 31 7 - 9 - 19 No No 0 0 5 95 95.2 4,089,394 * 30 7 - 8 - 20 No No 0 3 97 96.9 2,938,353 * 29 6 - 10 - 19 No No 0 2 98 98.0 2,065,005 * 28 6 - 9 - 20 No No 0 1 99 98.8 1,416,243 * 27 6 - 8 - 21 No No 0 1 99 99.3 951,378 * 26 5 - 10 - 20 No No 0 0 100 99.6 624,955 * 25 5 - 9 - 21 No No 0 100 99.8 400,395 * 24 5 - 8 - 22 No No 0 100 99.9 248,526 * 23 4 - 10 - 21 No No 0 100 99.9 151,805 * 22 4 - 9 - 22 No No 0 100 100.0 89,433 * 21 4 - 8 - 23 No No 0 100 100.0 51,608 * 1 -20 No No 100 Yes 365,495 * Total: 8.2 % 17.5 % 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 10 10 9.6 % 1,228,361,100

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship