LASK Linz Playoff Chances 2019-2020ChampionshipRelegationRound

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 82.9%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
LASK vs Hartberg	+7.7-0.8-7.2		+6.7-0.6-6.3		+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC	+0.7+1.0-1.4		+0.7+0.9-1.3
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	+0.1+0.9-0.7		+0.1+0.8-0.7
Austria Wien vs Admira			-0.1+0.0+0.0
Mattersburg vs Rheindorf Altach			+0.0+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	-8.9+0.0+8.9		-7.8+0.1+7.8		-0.3-0.0+0.3
Hartberg vs Salzburg	+1.3+0.6-1.7		+1.2+0.5-1.6		+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz	-1.8+1.1+1.1		-1.7+1.0+1.0
St. Pölten vs Austria Wien			+0.0+0.0-0.1
Rheindorf Altach vs Tirol			-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well LASK finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Champions		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Relegated	Count

26	-30						In		Yes		100						No	1,085,304	*
25		8	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	1,545,149
24		8	-	0	-	2	In		Yes		100	0					No	1,112,978
		7	-	3	-	0	In		Yes		100						No	995,134
23		7	-	2	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	4,297,868
22		7	-	1	-	2	In		Yes		100	0					No	6,179,311
		6	-	4	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No	1,208,907
21		6	-	3	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	6,963,388
		7	-	0	-	3	In		Yes		100	0					No	2,961,222
20		6	-	2	-	2	In		Yes		99	1					No	15,028,396
		5	-	5	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No	1,009,889
19		6	-	1	-	3	100.0	%	100.0	%	98	2	0				No	14,402,668
		5	-	4	-	1	In		Yes		99	1					No	7,262,874
18		5	-	3	-	2	100.0		100.0		97	3	0				No	20,877,774
		6	-	0	-	4	100.0		100.0		96	4	0				No	5,771,344	*
17		5	-	2	-	3	100.0		100.0		93	6	0				No	30,042,037
		4	-	5	-	1	100.0		100.0		96	4	0				No	5,046,954
16		5	-	1	-	4	99.9		100.0		87	13	0				No	21,603,364
		4	-	4	-	2	100.0		100.0		91	9	0				No	18,375,696	*
15		4	-	3	-	3	99.8		99.9		82	17	0				No	34,797,095
		5	-	0	-	5	99.6		99.8		76	24	0	0			No	6,219,594
		3	-	6	-	1	100.0		100.0		88	12	0				No	2,335,184
14		4	-	2	-	4	99.1		99.5		69	30	1	0			No	37,539,489
		3	-	5	-	2	99.7		99.8		77	22	0	0			No	10,149,963	*
13		3	-	4	-	3	98.2		99.0		61	37	2	0			No	24,177,416
		4	-	1	-	5	96.4		97.9		52	45	4	0			No	22,300,998	*
12		3	-	3	-	4	93.3		96.0		41	52	7	0			No	34,791,987
		4	-	0	-	6	88.4		92.8		31	57	11	0			No	5,184,782
		2	-	6	-	2	96.6		98.0		52	45	3	0			No	3,518,070	*
11		3	-	2	-	5	81.1		87.6		22	59	18	1	0		No	30,034,272
		2	-	5	-	3	88.6		92.7		31	57	11	0			No	10,208,130	*
10		2	-	4	-	4	70.9		79.9		13	58	28	1	0		No	18,136,217
		3	-	1	-	6	60.2		71.2		8	52	37	3	0		No	15,107,593	*
9		2	-	3	-	5	43.9		57.3		3	41	48	8	0		No	20,880,249
		3	-	0	-	7	30.9		45.2		1	30	55	14	0		No	2,963,088
		1	-	6	-	3	57.5		68.8		7	51	39	4	0		No	2,346,374	*
8		2	-	2	-	6	17.8		29.6		0	18	56	25	1		No	15,019,493
		1	-	5	-	4	28.8		41.9		1	28	56	15	0		No	5,106,435	*
7		1	-	4	-	5	8.1		16.5		0	8	50	39	3	0	No	7,258,577
		2	-	1	-	7	4.2		9.9		0	4	41	48	7	0	No	6,412,591	*
6		1	-	3	-	6	1.1		3.5			1	26	57	16	0	No	6,963,237
		2	-	0	-	8	1.2		3.5		0	1	23	55	20	1	No	1,696,074	*
5		1	-	2	-	7	0.1		0.3			0	8	49	40	3	No	4,294,520
		0	-	5	-	5	0.2		1.0			0	14	55	29	1	No	1,010,403
4		1	-	1	-	8	0.0		0.0			0	1	28	57	14	No	1,547,145
		0	-	4	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	3	37	52	9	No	1,211,926
3		0	-	3	-	7	Out		0.0				0	15	58	27	No	1,244,566	*
2		0	-	2	-	8	Out		No				0	5	48	47	No	536,238
1		0	-	1	-	9	Out		No				0	1	31	68	No	172,622
0		0	-	0	-	10	Out		No					0	15	85	No	128,215

Total:							82.9	%	85.9	%	57	26	11	4	1	0	No	499,062,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
LASK vs Hartberg	-0.2+0.0+0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	+0.2+0.0-0.2
Hartberg vs Salzburg	-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

26	-30						100
25		8	-	1	-	1	100	0
24		8	-	0	-	2	100	0
		7	-	3	-	0	100
23		7	-	2	-	1	100	0
22		7	-	1	-	2	100	0
		6	-	4	-	0	100	0
21		6	-	3	-	1	100	0
		7	-	0	-	3	100	0
20		6	-	2	-	2	100	0
		5	-	5	-	0	100	0
19		6	-	1	-	3	98	2	0
		5	-	4	-	1	99	1
18		5	-	3	-	2	98	2	0
		6	-	0	-	4	96	4	0
17		5	-	2	-	3	95	5	0
		4	-	5	-	1	97	3	0
16		5	-	1	-	4	89	11	0
		4	-	4	-	2	93	7	0
15		4	-	3	-	3	85	14	0	0
		5	-	0	-	5	80	20	0	0
		3	-	6	-	1	90	10	0
14		4	-	2	-	4	74	26	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2	81	19	0	0
13		3	-	4	-	3	67	32	1	0
		4	-	1	-	5	59	39	2	0
12		3	-	3	-	4	49	47	4	0	0
		4	-	0	-	6	40	53	7	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2	58	40	2	0
11		3	-	2	-	5	29	58	12	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3	39	54	7	0	0
10		2	-	4	-	4	20	60	19	1	0
		3	-	1	-	6	13	58	28	2	0	0
9		2	-	3	-	5	7	51	39	4	0	0
		3	-	0	-	7	3	42	47	7	0	0
		1	-	6	-	3	12	57	29	2	0
8		2	-	2	-	6	1	29	55	15	1	0	0
		1	-	5	-	4	3	39	49	9	0	0
7		1	-	4	-	5	0	16	55	26	2	0	0
		2	-	1	-	7	0	10	50	36	4	0	0
6		1	-	3	-	6	0	4	38	48	10	1	0
		2	-	0	-	8		1	27	53	17	1	0	0
5		1	-	2	-	7		0	14	51	30	4	0	0
		0	-	5	-	5		1	23	52	22	3	0	0
4		1	-	1	-	8		0	3	33	46	16	2	0
		0	-	4	-	6		0	6	40	41	11	1	0	0
3		0	-	3	-	7		0	1	18	46	29	6	0	0
2		0	-	2	-	8			0	6	33	42	18	2	0
1		0	-	1	-	9			0	1	16	41	35	8	0
0		0	-	0	-	10				0	3	22	48	25	3	0

Total:							61	25	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0