Wolfsberger AC Playoff Chances 2019-2020ChampionshipRelegationRound

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 19.4%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC	-7.7-2.3+9.2		-6.9-2.2+8.5		-0.4-0.1+0.5
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	-1.8+1.4+0.8		-1.9+1.4+0.9
LASK vs Hartberg	-1.6+0.4+1.3		-1.5+0.3+1.2
Austria Wien vs Admira			-0.1+0.0+0.0
Mattersburg vs Rheindorf Altach			+0.0+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	+10.3-2.6-8.5		+9.5-2.6-7.7		+0.4-0.1-0.4
Hartberg vs Salzburg	+2.3+0.8-2.9		+2.4+0.8-3.0
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz	-1.4+0.8+0.8		-1.4+0.8+0.8
St. Pölten vs Austria Wien			+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Wolfsberger AC finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Champions		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Relegated		Count

30	10	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No		128,322
28	9	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		99	1					No		172,274
27	9	-	0	-	1	100.0	%	100.0	%	97	3	0				No		247,160
26	8	-	2	-	0	100.0		100.0		96	4	0				No		537,878
25	8	-	1	-	1	100.0		99.9		90	10	0				No		1,547,125
24	8	-	0	-	2	99.8		99.6		83	16	0				No		2,106,737	*
23	7	-	2	-	1	99.5		99.0		75	25	1	0			No		4,297,815
22	7	-	1	-	2	97.6		96.1		58	40	2	0			No		6,180,999
	6	-	4	-	0	99.0		98.0		69	30	1				No		1,209,476
21	6	-	3	-	1	95.8		93.2		49	47	4	0			No		6,963,037
	7	-	0	-	3	92.1		88.6		38	54	8	0			No		2,962,430
20	6	-	2	-	2	87.8		83.0		30	58	12	0			No		16,037,866	*
19	6	-	1	-	3	71.6		64.6		14	58	27	1	0		No		14,401,906
	5	-	4	-	1	81.1		73.7		21	60	19	0			No		7,257,477
18	5	-	3	-	2	60.7		52.3		8	53	37	2	0		No		20,878,299
	6	-	0	-	4	51.0		44.0		5	46	45	4	0		No		5,768,698	*
17	5	-	2	-	3	35.8		29.4		2	34	55	9	0		No		30,038,144
	4	-	5	-	1	48.3		38.9		4	44	47	5	0		No		5,043,866
16	5	-	1	-	4	15.0		11.8		0	15	59	25	1		No		21,607,479
	4	-	4	-	2	24.0		18.2		1	23	60	16	0		No		18,374,083	*
15	4	-	3	-	3	7.6		5.7		0	8	54	37	2	0	No		34,792,724
	5	-	0	-	5	3.9		3.1		0	4	45	47	5	0	No		6,222,333
	3	-	6	-	1	13.8		9.5		0	14	60	26	1		No		2,335,725
14	4	-	2	-	4	1.4		1.1		0	1	33	55	10	0	No		37,535,396
	3	-	5	-	2	3.3		2.2		0	3	44	48	5	0	No		10,140,994	*
13	3	-	4	-	3	0.4		0.3			0	22	59	18	0	No		24,183,843
	4	-	1	-	5	0.2		0.1			0	15	58	26	1	No		22,303,714	*
12	3	-	3	-	4	0.0		0.0			0	8	51	38	3	No		34,791,207
	4	-	0	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	4	44	46	6	No		5,184,463
	2	-	6	-	2	0.1		0.0			0	13	57	28	1	No		3,517,594	*
11	3	-	2	-	5	0.0		0.0			0	2	33	54	11	No		30,029,846
	2	-	5	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	4	42	48	7	No		10,205,441	*
10	2	-	4	-	4	Out		No				1	23	58	19	No		18,138,023
	3	-	1	-	6	Out		No				0	17	58	25	No		15,112,328	*
9	2	-	3	-	5	Out		No				0	10	54	36	No		20,883,646
	3	-	0	-	7	Out		No				0	6	50	44	No		2,964,616
	1	-	6	-	3	Out		No				0	14	57	28	No		2,347,785	*
8	2	-	2	-	6	Out		No				0	3	42	55	No		15,022,759
	1	-	5	-	4	Out		No				0	5	47	47	No		5,108,640	*
7	1	-	4	-	5	Out		No				0	1	33	66	No		7,260,162
	2	-	1	-	7	Out		No				0	1	27	72	No		6,411,406	*
6	1	-	3	-	6	Out		No					0	19	81	No		6,965,454
	2	-	0	-	8	Out		No					0	18	82	No		1,696,781	*
5	1	-	2	-	7	Out		No					0	10	90	No		5,308,636	*
4	1	-	1	-	8	Out		No					0	4	96	0.0	%	1,544,061
	0	-	4	-	6	Out		No					0	6	94	0.0		1,211,377
3	0	-	3	-	7	Out		No					0	2	98	0.1		1,243,493	*
2	0	-	2	-	8	Out		No						1	99	1.7		538,363
1	0	-	1	-	9	Out		No						0	100	7.3		172,709
0	0	-	0	-	10	Out		No							100	29.6		128,210

Total:						19.4	%	17.3	%	6	14	23	26	20	12	0.0	%	499,062,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC	+0.6+0.1-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	-0.6+0.1+0.5

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

30	10	-	0	-	0	100	0
28	9	-	1	-	0	99	1
27	9	-	0	-	1	95	5	0
26	8	-	2	-	0	94	6	0
25	8	-	1	-	1	86	14	0
24	8	-	0	-	2	78	22	0
23	7	-	2	-	1	68	31	1	0
22	7	-	1	-	2	50	46	4	0
	6	-	4	-	0	60	38	2	0
21	6	-	3	-	1	40	53	7	0
	7	-	0	-	3	31	58	11	0	0
20	6	-	2	-	2	23	60	17	0	0
19	6	-	1	-	3	10	55	34	2	0
	5	-	4	-	1	15	59	26	1	0
18	5	-	3	-	2	5	47	44	4	0	0
	6	-	0	-	4	3	41	50	6	0	0
17	5	-	2	-	3	1	28	58	12	0	0
	4	-	5	-	1	2	37	54	7	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	4	0	12	58	28	1	0	0
	4	-	4	-	2	0	18	61	21	1	0	0
15	4	-	3	-	3	0	6	50	40	4	0	0
	5	-	0	-	5	0	3	43	47	7	0	0
	3	-	6	-	1	0	10	57	32	2	0	0
14	4	-	2	-	4	0	1	30	54	13	1	0	0
	3	-	5	-	2	0	2	39	50	9	1	0
13	3	-	4	-	3		0	19	55	23	3	0	0
	4	-	1	-	5		0	13	53	29	4	0	0
12	3	-	3	-	4		0	6	43	39	10	1	0	0
	4	-	0	-	6		0	4	37	44	14	1	0	0
	2	-	6	-	2		0	10	48	34	7	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	5		0	1	25	46	24	4	0	0
	2	-	5	-	3		0	3	30	44	20	3	0	0
10	2	-	4	-	4			0	13	40	35	10	1	0	0
	3	-	1	-	6			0	10	38	37	13	1	0	0
9	2	-	3	-	5			0	4	25	42	24	5	0	0
	3	-	0	-	7			0	3	22	42	28	6	0	0
	1	-	6	-	3			0	6	28	41	21	4	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	6			0	1	10	34	39	15	1	0
	1	-	5	-	4			0	1	12	36	36	13	1	0
7	1	-	4	-	5			0	0	3	21	41	29	5	0	0
	2	-	1	-	7				0	3	18	41	31	6	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	6				0	0	7	30	44	18	1	0
	2	-	0	-	8				0	0	6	29	45	18	1	0
5	1	-	2	-	7				0	0	1	13	42	37	7	0
4	1	-	1	-	8					0	0	3	24	50	22	1	0
	0	-	4	-	6					0	0	3	25	49	22	1	0
3	0	-	3	-	7						0	0	8	40	43	8	0
2	0	-	2	-	8							0	2	21	51	25	2
1	0	-	1	-	9								0	8	42	43	7
0	0	-	0	-	10								0	1	16	53	30

Total:						4	13	23	24	16	10	6	3	1	0	0	0