Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Red Bull Salzburg Playoff Chances 2019-2020ChampionshipRelegationRound

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 61.6%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	+14.8-0.9-14.1		+14.5-0.7-14.0		+0.4-0.0-0.4
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC	+1.1+1.6-2.2		+1.2+1.6-2.3
LASK vs Hartberg	-1.4+0.6+1.0		-1.2+0.5+0.9		-0.1+0.0+0.0
Austria Wien vs Admira			-0.1+0.1+0.1
Mattersburg vs Rheindorf Altach			+0.1+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Champions League	100.0*	Average seed
Hartberg vs Salzburg	-10.6-1.8+11.9		-10.2-1.9+11.5		-0.3-0.0+0.4
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz	-3.0+1.8+1.7		-3.2+1.8+2.0
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK	-1.5+1.1+0.8		-1.8+1.1+1.0
St. Pölten vs Austria Wien			+0.1+0.1-0.1
Rheindorf Altach vs Tirol			-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Salzburg finishes out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Champions		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Relegated	Count

30	10	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		100						No	127,972
28	9	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No	171,536
27	9	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	247,005
26	8	-	2	-	0	In		Yes		100	0					No	538,359
25	8	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		100	0					No	1,544,801
24	8	-	0	-	2	In		Yes		99	1					No	2,105,712	*
23	7	-	2	-	1	In		Yes		98	2					No	4,298,487
22	7	-	1	-	2	100.0	%	100.0	%	95	5	0				No	6,180,532
	6	-	4	-	0	In		Yes		97	3					No	1,211,268
21	6	-	3	-	1	100.0		100.0		93	7	0				No	6,966,748
	7	-	0	-	3	100.0		100.0		89	11	0				No	2,962,060
20	6	-	2	-	2	100.0		100.0		87	13	0				No	16,031,994	*
19	6	-	1	-	3	99.9		99.9		76	24	0				No	14,416,930
	5	-	4	-	1	100.0		100.0		83	17	0				No	7,256,844
18	5	-	3	-	2	99.8		99.8		71	29	0	0			No	20,882,835
	6	-	0	-	4	99.4		99.5		64	35	1	0			No	5,768,707	*
17	5	-	2	-	3	98.8		99.0		55	43	1	0			No	30,035,601
	4	-	5	-	1	99.6		99.6		64	35	0				No	5,043,885
16	5	-	1	-	4	95.5		96.2		38	57	5	0			No	21,600,765
	4	-	4	-	2	97.8		98.2		47	50	2	0			No	18,374,254	*
15	4	-	3	-	3	92.3		93.6		30	63	8	0			No	34,796,990
	5	-	0	-	5	86.9		89.4		22	65	13	0			No	6,218,162
	3	-	6	-	1	96.2		96.6		39	57	4	0			No	2,338,251
14	4	-	2	-	4	80.1		83.3		15	66	19	0	0		No	37,546,901
	3	-	5	-	2	87.8		89.4		22	66	12	0			No	10,145,872	*
13	3	-	4	-	3	70.9		75.1		9	62	28	1	0		No	24,174,390
	4	-	1	-	5	60.3		66.0		5	55	37	3	0		No	22,306,164	*
12	3	-	3	-	4	46.4		53.3		2	44	47	6	0		No	34,795,136
	4	-	0	-	6	34.2		42.5		1	33	54	11	0		No	5,183,622
	2	-	6	-	2	59.4		64.2		4	55	38	3	0		No	3,516,870	*
11	3	-	2	-	5	22.2		29.3		0	22	57	20	1		No	30,033,896
	2	-	5	-	3	33.4		40.1		1	33	55	12	0		No	10,204,138	*
10	2	-	4	-	4	12.5		18.3		0	12	54	31	2	0	No	18,138,368
	3	-	1	-	6	7.5		12.1		0	8	48	41	4	0	No	15,101,962	*
9	2	-	3	-	5	2.8		5.3		0	3	35	52	10	0	No	20,882,234
	3	-	0	-	7	1.2		2.7			1	25	56	18	0	No	2,962,791
	1	-	6	-	3	6.1		9.7		0	6	45	44	5	0	No	2,347,169	*
8	2	-	2	-	6	0.3		0.8			0	14	54	29	2	No	15,020,585
	1	-	5	-	4	0.9		2.0			1	23	56	20	1	No	5,107,115	*
7	1	-	4	-	5	0.0		0.2			0	7	47	42	4	No	7,256,350
	2	-	1	-	7	0.0		0.1			0	4	39	50	8	No	6,411,494	*
6	1	-	3	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	1	27	57	16	No	7,549,242	*
	2	-	0	-	8	Out		0.0				0	18	58	23	No	1,113,602
5	1	-	2	-	7	Out		No				0	11	55	33	No	5,306,837	*
4	1	-	1	-	8	Out		No				0	3	41	56	No	1,545,190
	0	-	4	-	6	Out		No				0	5	47	48	No	1,210,790
3	0	-	3	-	7	Out		No				0	1	29	70	No	1,244,238	*
2	0	-	2	-	8	Out		No					0	16	83	No	538,042
1	0	-	1	-	9	Out		No					0	7	93	No	171,783
0	0	-	0	-	10	Out		No						2	98	No	128,321

Total:						61.6	%	64.2	%	27	34	21	11	5	1	No	499,062,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien	-0.4+0.0+0.4
LASK vs Hartberg	+0.1-0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hartberg vs Salzburg	+0.3+0.0-0.4

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

30	10	-	0	-	0	100
28	9	-	1	-	0	100	0
27	9	-	0	-	1	100	0
26	8	-	2	-	0	100	0
25	8	-	1	-	1	99	1
24	8	-	0	-	2	99	1
23	7	-	2	-	1	97	3
22	7	-	1	-	2	94	6	0
	6	-	4	-	0	97	3
21	6	-	3	-	1	92	8	0
	7	-	0	-	3	88	12	0
20	6	-	2	-	2	85	15	0
19	6	-	1	-	3	74	26	0
	5	-	4	-	1	80	20	0
18	5	-	3	-	2	68	32	0	0
	6	-	0	-	4	63	37	0	0
17	5	-	2	-	3	53	46	1	0
	4	-	5	-	1	61	39	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	4	37	59	4	0	0
	4	-	4	-	2	45	53	2	0
15	4	-	3	-	3	29	65	6	0	0
	5	-	0	-	5	22	67	10	0	0
	3	-	6	-	1	36	61	3	0
14	4	-	2	-	4	15	68	16	0	0
	3	-	5	-	2	21	69	10	0	0
13	3	-	4	-	3	9	66	24	1	0
	4	-	1	-	5	5	60	33	2	0	0
12	3	-	3	-	4	2	51	42	4	0	0
	4	-	0	-	6	1	41	50	8	0	0
	2	-	6	-	2	4	60	33	2	0
11	3	-	2	-	5	0	29	55	15	1	0
	2	-	5	-	3	1	39	51	9	0	0	0
10	2	-	4	-	4	0	18	55	24	2	0	0
	3	-	1	-	6	0	12	52	33	3	0	0
9	2	-	3	-	5	0	5	41	44	9	0	0	0
	3	-	0	-	7		3	33	50	13	1	0	0
	1	-	6	-	3	0	10	49	36	5	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	6		1	20	52	24	3	0	0
	1	-	5	-	4		2	28	50	17	2	0	0
7	1	-	4	-	5		0	10	45	36	9	1	0
	2	-	1	-	7		0	6	39	42	12	1	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	6		0	2	25	45	23	4	0	0
	2	-	0	-	8		0	2	23	45	25	5	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	7			0	10	37	38	13	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	8			0	2	20	42	30	6	0	0
	0	-	4	-	6			0	3	23	42	26	5	0	0
3	0	-	3	-	7			0	0	8	32	41	17	1	0
2	0	-	2	-	8				0	2	16	42	34	6	0	0
1	0	-	1	-	9				0	0	4	27	48	19	1	0
0	0	-	0	-	10					0	0	6	37	45	12	0

Total:						27	38	20	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0