SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

C.D. Guadalajara Playoff Chances 2012Apertura 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 6.5 to 61.4%

23 points 6-5-5

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
León 4 Jaguares 1	+1.3		+0.1

Week of 11/2	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Querétaro 0 Guadalajara 1	+24.3		+1.6
Atlante 2 León 3	+5.0		+0.2
Santos Laguna 2 Cruz Azul 1	-3.9		-0.2
Monterrey 2 Toluca 2	+3.5		+0.1
Monterrey 0 UANL 1	+2.4		+0.0
Toluca 0 Morelia 0	-1.5		+0.0
América 4 Pachuca 0	+1.2		+0.2
Jaguares 3 UNAM 0	+0.5		-0.0

Week of 11/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Morelia 2 Santos Laguna 0	+6.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guadalajara vs Tijuana	In+24.7-55.3		+1.6+0.4-1.8
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey	+7.3+1.3-8.2		+0.2-0.3-0.0
Pachuca vs Jaguares	+6.4+2.6-8.2		+0.3-0.0-0.3
UNAM vs Atlante	-0.6+4.3-2.3		-0.0+0.3-0.1
UANL vs América	+1.6-1.0-1.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Guadalajara finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Count

26		1	-	0	-	0	In							39	61												16,159,579
24		0	-	1	-	0	86.0	%							39	47	14										10,902,667
23		0	-	0	-	1	6.1									6	23	39	28	4							16,155,744

Total:							61.4	%						15	33	14	12	15	11	2							43,217,990

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs