Guadalajara Title Chances 2015Apertura 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.002 to 0.7% 16 points 5-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Querétaro 2 Tijuana 1 | | | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara | -0.7-0.4+1.1 | | -2.4-1.4+3.7 | | -1.5-0.3+1.9 | | Monterrey vs León | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.4+0.1-0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Santos Laguna vs Toluca | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.5+0.1-0.7 | | | | Dorados vs Veracruz | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Puebla vs Morelia | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | América vs Chiapas | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | Atlas vs Tigres UANL | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | Pachuca vs Cruz Azul | | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Veracruz vs Santos Laguna | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Tijuana vs América | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | Monterrey vs Puebla | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Guadalajara finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Copa | Chance will finish season at seed | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 67.7 | % | 96.7 | % | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8,967 | | 32 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 33.0 | | 80.1 | | 33 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47,126 | | 31 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 14.1 | | 55.2 | | 14 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 50,381 | | 30 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 6.1 | | 35.5 | | 6 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 111,978 | | 29 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1.1 | | 12.4 | | 1 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 238,366 | | 28 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 3.3 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 140,488 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 2.1 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 126,335 | | 27 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 0.3 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 448,800 | | 26 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 475,522 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 99,284 | | 25 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 421,685 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 169,321 | | 24 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 671,685 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 37,520 | | 23 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 475,451 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 198,086 | | 22 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 421,378 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 126,735 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | 5,970 | | 21 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 448,249 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 37,192 | | 20 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 237,812 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 99,066 | | 19 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 140,324 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 50,596 | | 18 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 29 | 7 | 111,890 | | 17 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 44 | 26 | 47,740 | | 16 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 55 | 9,197 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.7 | % | 2.8 | % | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5,457,144 | |
Chance Will Win Championship |