Japan Title Chances 2016 50/50Beat Croatia 11-2, average seed up 1.9 to 14.3 6 points 2-0 0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Week of 12/13 | 100.0* | Top 16 | 100.0* | Bottom 8 | 100.0* | Average seed | Romania vs Japan | -8.8-2.6-2.6+3.2+3.3+8.7 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | -1.9-0.6-0.6+0.7+0.7+1.9 | | Japan vs Netherlands | +8.4+3.1+3.1-2.5-2.4-8.5 | | -0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1 | | +1.8+0.7+0.7-0.5-0.5-1.9 | | Japan vs Lithuania | +8.3+3.1+3.0-2.5-2.5-8.4 | | -0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1 | | +1.8+0.7+0.7-0.5-0.5-1.9 | | Estonia vs Romania | +0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | | | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Great Britain vs Ukraine | -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Ukraine vs Slovenia | +0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Hong Kong vs Belgium | +0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Bulgaria vs Belgium | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Lithuania vs Romania | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Chinese Taipei vs Belgium | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Hungary vs Ukraine | -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Kazakhstan vs Belarus | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Germany vs Belarus | -0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Estonia vs Netherlands | +0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Croatia vs Netherlands | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Belarus vs Austria | +0.1*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Austria vs Kazakhstan | +0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Poland vs Great Britain | +0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Hungary vs Slovenia | +0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Germany vs France | -0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Croatia vs Lithuania | +0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Great Britain vs Italy | -0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | | | France vs Norway | +0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0 | | | | | | South Africa vs Bulgaria | *+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Bottom | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | - | OT | wins title | Top 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 8 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 21 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,909 | | 66 | -68 | | No | Yes | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 237 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 439 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 952 | * | 63 | | 19 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,612 | * | 62 | | 18 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,482 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,401 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,315 | * | 59 | | 17 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,079 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,828 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 126,106 | * | 56 | | 16 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 202,412 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 313,567 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 513,014 | * | 53 | | 15 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 748,067 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,069,029 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,573,953 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 56 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,111,818 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | 0 | 44 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,788,708 | * | 48 | | 13 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 31 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,754,557 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 20 | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,655,462 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | No | Yes | | 0 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,710,633 | * | 45 | | 12 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,105,373 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,182,144 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | No | Yes | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,356,384 | * | 42 | | 11 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | No | Yes | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,801,615 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 2 | 8 | - | 1 | No | 100.0 | % | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,579,333 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | No | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,379,053 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | No | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,284,940 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 2 | 9 | - | 1 | No | 99.6 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,277,398 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 2 | No | 96.5 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,281,828 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | No | 82.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,285,092 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 2 | 10 | - | 1 | No | 52.3 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,377,000 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 2 | No | 20.2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,576,272 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 1 | 11 | - | 1 | No | 3.9 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,802,816 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 2 | 11 | - | 1 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,358,535 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 1 | 11 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,182,895 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 1 | 12 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,106,330 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 2 | 12 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,716,679 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 1 | 12 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,656,627 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 1 | 13 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,757,332 | * | 26 | | 6 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,784,628 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 1 | 13 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,111,538 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 1 | 14 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,573,704 | * | 23 | | 5 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 1,067,871 | * | 22 | | 5 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 747,427 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 1 | 15 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.6 | | 513,562 | * | 20 | | 4 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3.2 | | 313,778 | * | 19 | | 4 | - | 0 | 16 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 11.3 | | 202,529 | * | 18 | | 3 | - | 1 | 16 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 29.5 | | 126,213 | * | 17 | | 3 | - | 0 | 16 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 51.9 | | 68,463 | * | 16 | | 3 | - | 0 | 17 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 11 | 1 | | | | | 73.0 | | 40,164 | * | 15 | | 2 | - | 1 | 17 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 5 | | | | | 88.2 | | 22,366 | * | 14 | | 2 | - | 0 | 17 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 35 | 11 | | | | | 96.0 | | 10,395 | * | 13 | | 2 | - | 0 | 18 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 43 | 20 | | | | | 98.8 | | 5,492 | * | 12 | | 2 | - | 0 | 19 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 35 | | | | | 99.5 | | 2,664 | * | 11 | | 1 | - | 0 | 18 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 41 | 46 | | | | | Yes | 943 | * | 10 | | 1 | - | 0 | 19 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | | | | | 99.8 | | 414 | * | 9 | | 1 | - | 0 | 20 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 59 | 20 | 3 | | | Yes | 159 | * | 8 | | 0 | - | 0 | 19 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 11 | 60 | 17 | 9 | | | Yes | 35 | * | 7 | | 0 | - | 0 | 20 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 44 | 6 | | | Yes | 18 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 0 | 21 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 38 | 40 | 13 | 0 | Yes | 10,911 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | No | 65.0 | % | | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 219,400,500 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |