SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Germany vs France-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Great Britain vs Italy-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6020-00-0NoYes0991No10,913
58-59NoYes100No133*
5719-01-0NoYes9640No370*
5618-11-0NoYes9460No945*
5517-21-0NoYes9190No1,911*
5418-02-0NoYes087131No5,183*
5317-12-0NoYes0801810No10,486*
5216-22-0NoYes07324300No19,569*
5116-12-1NoYes06430500No41,656*
5016-13-0NoYes053379100No72,416*
4915-23-0NoYes04142142000No120,428*
4815-13-1NoYes029432251000No218,869*
4715-14-0NoYes0193929112000No342,257*
4614-24-0NoYes01031341851000No517,705*
4514-14-1NoYes05213326123100No832,353*
4414-15-0NoYes0211263020820000No1,177,628*
4313-25-0NoYes0416272717720000No1,637,562*
4213-15-1NoYes01718272515620000No2,370,303*
4113-16-0No100.0%0028182623146200000No3,074,611*
4012-26-0No100.0000281724231572100000No3,952,652*
3912-16-1No100.000027162323168310000No5,216,395*
3811-26-1No99.600002613212319115100000No6,260,701*
3711-16-2No96.6000014101822211473100000No7,460,000*
3611-17-1No83.40000127142022171041000000No9,071,204*
3510-27-1No53.80000014101721201483100000No10,078,480*
3410-17-2No21.20000126121922181262100000No11,190,040*
3310-18-1No4.200000138152021161041000000No12,580,347*
329-28-1No0.4000001491621201583100000No12,984,594*
319-18-2No0.000001251118211913731000000No13,442,478*
309-19-1No0.00000013713192118116210000No14,017,236*
298-29-1NoNo0000013814202116104200000No13,441,866*
288-19-2NoNo000001410162120158310000No12,979,644*
278-110-1NoNo00000126121821191362100000No12,574,917*
267-210-1NoNo000001381420211710410000No11,188,711*
257-110-2NoNo00000251017222014721000No10,077,317*
247-111-1NoNo0000013714202218104100000.0%9,071,090*
236-211-1NoNo000001511182321136200000.07,463,000*
226-111-2NoNo00000138162323167200000.06,257,850*
216-112-1NoNo000012714222418930000.55,220,205*
206-012-2NoNo000002513222620930003.13,954,775*
196-013-1NoNo000001513232720920011.03,075,860*
185-113-1NoNo00000151324282081029.32,370,813*
175-013-2NoNo00015142629185052.81,637,321*
165-014-1NoNo0001618312913273.61,179,201*
154-114-1NoNo00029233525689.2833,082*
144-014-2NoNo000031432361496.4518,027*
134-015-1NoNo001725432598.9342,834*
123-115-1NoNo000215424199.8219,642*
113-015-2NoNo0173656100.0120,937*
103-016-1NoNo0042868100.072,755*
92-116-1NoNo011362231Yes41,608*
82-016-2NoNo00655354Yes19,610*
72-017-1NoNo03454480Yes10,543*
62-018-0NoNo073643131Yes5,239*
51-017-2NoNo22546262Yes1,896*
41-018-1NoNo11343376Yes909*
31-019-0NoNo1104446Yes386*
20-018-2NoNo103555Yes82*
10-019-1NoNo54550Yes40
00-020-0NoNo100Yes10,915
Total:No22.3%00011112222233333333334444333333333222211110000002.3%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Friday, 2023-10-27 6:57 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)