How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Lithuania vs Romania+2.4+0.3+0.3-1.2-1.2-2.2
-2.8-1.4-1.5+0.4+0.4+3.0
+2.2+0.6+0.6-0.8-0.8-2.1
Japan vs Lithuania-2.2-1.3-1.2+0.3+0.3+2.4
+3.0+0.4+0.4-1.4-1.4-2.8
-2.1-0.8-0.8+0.6+0.6+2.1
Croatia vs Lithuania-2.2-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.3+2.3
+3.2+0.4+0.4-1.6-1.6-3.0
-2.2-0.8-0.8+0.7+0.7+2.2
Estonia vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Belarus vs Austria+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Estonia vs Croatia+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lithuania finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4513-00-0NoYes624342410200No15,003
4412-10-0NoYes214283117610No8,289
4312-00-1NoYes15182927145100No15,997*
4212-01-0NoYes0292128231241000No72,535*
4111-11-0NoYes003102127221241000No121,521*
4011-01-1No100.0%00131020252113520000No204,304*
3911-02-0No100.000139182422147210000No548,463*
3810-12-0No99.700027152223179410000No789,349*
3710-02-1No97.40000151219231912620000No1,177,299*
3610-03-0No86.100001381621211694100000No2,371,143*
359-13-0No57.500002511182219137310000No3,007,659*
349-03-1No23.5000012713202117115200000No4,017,987*
339-04-0No4.70000001381520211694100000No6,658,792*
328-14-0No0.40000014101721201483100000No7,506,937*
318-04-1No0.0000012612182119126210000No4,074,418
7-24-0No0.0000012612182119126210000No4,997,153*
308-05-0No0.00000137131921171152000000No6,873,910*
7-14-1No0.000000137131921171152000000No6,031,344*
297-15-0NoNo000001381520211694100000No13,016,081*
287-05-1NoNo000002510172120147310000No9,309,380*
6-25-0NoNo0000025101721201473100000No4,980,173*
276-15-1NoNo0000012613192218115200000No9,380,983*
7-06-0NoNo0000126121922181252000000No8,459,381*
266-16-0NoNo00000138152121169410000No7,605,393
6-05-2NoNo00000138152121169410000No8,471,101*
256-06-1NoNo00000251219221912620000No7,601,318
5-26-0NoNo0000251119222013620000No4,245,655*
5-15-2NoNo00000251219221912620000No4,223,647*
245-16-1NoNo000001381521221693100000.0%7,135,458
6-07-0NoNo00001381521221693100000.010,699,411*
235-17-0NoNo000002512202319125100000.06,517,159
5-06-2NoNo000002612202319115100000.07,768,175*
225-07-1NoNo00001410182322146200000.013,016,282*
215-08-0NoNo000013816232416720000.45,205,639
4-17-1NoNo000013816232416720000.47,697,095*
204-18-0NoNo0000002615232518820002.49,071,200*
194-08-1NoNo0000261424261872009.17,505,408*
184-09-0NoNo0000161525271861025.56,659,994*
173-19-0NoNo0000016162828164048.34,012,157*
163-09-1NoNo00002820322710169.93,006,881*
153-010-0NoNo0000210263522586.82,369,011*
142-110-0NoNo000141635331195.21,177,518*
132-010-1NoNo0001929422098.5788,223*
122-011-0NoNo000318443499.7548,208*
111-111-0NoNo00111404899.9205,074*
101-011-1NoNo00063460100.0120,959*
91-012-0NoNo0011660211100.072,512*
80-112-0NoNo00954333Yes15,915*
70-012-1NoNo05454280Yes8,250
60-013-0NoNo0083741140Yes14,756
Total:No3.6%0000000000011111122223334445555555554433221000005.3%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship