Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleTop 16Chance will finish season at seedBottom 8
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
TBD B020-00-0050.0%+0.0100.0%505000000000000001.50.0%21TBD B
TBD A020-00-0050.0-0.0100.050500000000000000001.50.021TBD A
Hungary62-00-07No79.1+7.001298766554443332221411.0+1.640.0-0.113Hungary
Austria62-00-06No78.9+7.001198766554443332221411.0+1.630.0-0.13Austria
Poland62-00-04No78.9+7.001198766554443332221411.0+1.620.0-0.11Poland
France31-01-0-1No77.9+6.801298766554433332221511.2+1.620.0-0.110France
Denmark020-00-00No71.1-0.20987665554443333322112.8-0.060.1-0.021Denmark
Italy10-01-1-4No68.9-2.20776665554444333332313.4-0.550.1-0.014Italy
Japan62-00-013No65.0+8.50455555555444443332614.3+1.920.1-0.22Japan
Germany31-01-0-1No64.5-7.50555555554444433332614.4-1.760.1+0.012Germany
Norway00-02-0-5No63.9-7.20666555544444333332714.5-1.720.2+0.16Norway
Slovakia020-00-00No64.0-0.20666555544444333332714.5-0.060.2-0.021Slovakia
Romania41-00-13No53.4+8.70234444444444444433616.9+2.070.3-0.414Romania
Great Britain10-01-1-5No53.0-8.60334444444444444333717.1-1.970.4+0.114Great Britain
Kazakhstan00-02-0-4No47.6-8.70233334444444443334218.3-2.010.5+0.220Kazakhstan
China020-00-00No47.4-0.30233334444444444334218.4-0.060.6-0.121China
Australia020-00-00No47.5-0.20223334444444444334218.4-0.050.6-0.121Australia
Spain020-00-00No47.5-0.20223334444444444334218.4-0.050.6-0.121Spain
Slovenia20-11-0-1No32.7-9.20111222233333333445721.8-2.211.0+0.37Slovenia
Sweden020-00-00No30.7-0.20011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121Sweden
Canada020-00-00No30.7-0.20011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121Canada
Finland020-00-00No30.6-0.30011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121Finland
Switzerland020-00-00No30.6-0.20011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121Switzerland
Czech Republic020-00-00No30.6-0.20011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121Czech Republic
Russia020-00-00No30.6-0.20011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121Russia
United States020-00-00No30.6-0.20011222223333333335922.5-0.041.4-0.121United States
Latvia020-00-00No22.8-0.20001111222223333336824.7-0.032.1-0.221Latvia
Korea020-00-00No22.4-0.20001111222222333336824.8-0.032.2-0.221Korea
Belgium311-00-07No21.2+5.60001111122222333336924.8+2.221.7-2.117Belgium
Mexico020-00-00No22.3-0.20001111222223333336824.8-0.032.3-0.221Mexico
Iceland020-00-00No10.0-0.10000000111111222228429.2+0.015.1-0.421Iceland
Turkey020-00-00No9.7-0.10000000111111122228429.2-0.015.3-0.421Turkey
New Zealand020-00-00No9.7-0.10000000111111122228429.2-0.015.4-0.421New Zealand
Netherlands00-02-0-9No9.8-5.80000000111111122228429.3-2.255.3+1.517Netherlands
Belarus62-00-05No7.7+2.6000000001111122228629.3+2.143.2-3.63Belarus
Lithuania62-00-011No3.6+1.4000000000001111119331.5+2.045.3-5.210Lithuania
Chinese Taipei311-00-013No2.1+0.8000000000000011119533.6+1.9510.0-7.317Chinese Taipei
Serbia020-00-00No1.4-0.0000000000000000119735.4+0.0616.0-0.921Serbia
Croatia20-11-0-8No0.5-0.9000000000000000009936.8-1.8919.7+5.43Croatia
Ukraine20-11-0-1No0.5-0.0000000000000000009936.8+0.5818.9-4.77Ukraine
Bulgaria010-01-0-13No0.4-0.8000000000000000009937.3-1.8323.2+5.821Bulgaria
Israel020-00-00No0.1-0.0000000000000000010038.9+0.0931.1-1.421Israel
Estonia00-02-0-10No0.1-0.3000000000000000010039.0-1.6431.7+7.57Estonia
South Africa010-01-0-7No0.0-0.00000000010041.9-1.2853.5+10.621South Africa
DPR Korea020-00-00NoNo00010043.0+0.1066.1-1.521DPR Korea
Hong Kong020-00-00NoNo10044.0+0.0977.3-1.221Hong Kong
Georgia020-00-00NoNo10048.4+0.01100.021Georgia
UA Emirates020-00-00NoNo10048.4+0.01100.021UA Emirates
Luxembourg020-00-00NoNo10048.4+0.01100.021Luxembourg
Bosnia and Herz020-00-00NoNo10048.4+0.01100.021Bosnia and Herzegovina

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/13
Romania vs JapanIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan56.362.462.468.368.373.7
16.214.914.913.613.612.4
Romania62.856.656.650.350.344.0
0.10.20.2*0.3*0.30.4
14.916.216.217.617.619.0
Lithuania vs RomaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Romania44.450.550.556.556.562.4
0.40.30.30.20.20.1
18.917.517.516.216.214.9
Lithuania6.03.93.92.42.41.4
2.53.93.85.75.78.3
29.430.930.932.332.333.7
Great Britain vs ItalyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Italy61.366.766.771.771.776.4
15.113.913.912.712.711.6
Great Britain61.956.156.050.250.244.2
0.20.30.30.40.40.6
15.016.316.317.717.719.1
Estonia vs RomaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Romania44.550.550.556.456.462.3
0.4*0.3*0.30.10.10.1
18.917.517.516.216.214.9
Ukraine19.619.219.218.818.818.2
36.936.836.836.836.836.7
Bulgaria24.023.523.523.023.022.5
37.437.437.437.337.337.3
Israel32.031.431.430.830.930.2
39.038.938.938.938.938.8
Estonia0.20.10.10.00.00.0
22.028.028.034.434.341.5
37.538.638.639.539.540.5
South Africa54.653.953.953.153.252.3
41.941.941.941.841.941.8
DPR Korea67.266.566.565.865.865.0
43.143.043.043.043.042.9
Hong Kong78.277.677.777.177.176.4
44.144.044.044.044.044.0
Poland vs Great BritainHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Poland85.281.481.477.277.272.4
9.510.510.511.511.512.6
Great Britain44.250.150.256.056.061.9
0.60.40.40.30.30.2
19.117.717.716.316.415.0
Kazakhstan vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Norway55.961.561.466.866.771.8
0.3*0.2*0.20.10.10.1
16.415.115.113.913.912.7
Kazakhstan56.450.550.544.644.638.8
0.20.40.40.60.60.9
16.217.617.619.019.020.4
Austria vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Austria85.381.581.577.277.272.4
9.510.410.411.411.412.6
Kazakhstan38.944.644.650.450.456.3
0.90.60.60.40.40.2
20.419.019.017.617.616.2
Kazakhstan vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Kazakhstan56.250.450.544.744.739.0
0.20.40.40.60.60.9
16.217.617.618.918.920.4
Belarus3.75.75.78.48.311.8
5.23.43.42.22.21.3
31.530.130.128.628.627.0
Italy vs SloveniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Italy76.371.771.766.766.761.3
11.612.712.713.913.915.1
Slovenia24.229.529.535.235.241.3
1.61.11.10.70.70.4
24.022.522.521.021.019.6
Hungary vs SloveniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Hungary85.481.781.777.477.472.6
9.410.410.411.411.412.5
Slovenia24.229.529.535.235.241.3
1.61.11.10.70.70.4
24.022.522.521.021.019.6
Great Britain vs UkraineHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Great Britain61.656.056.050.350.344.5
0.10.20.20.40.40.7
15.116.316.317.717.719.0
Ukraine0.10.20.30.50.51.0
26.720.720.715.715.711.4
38.537.537.436.336.335.0
Estonia31.031.531.531.932.032.3
38.939.039.039.039.039.0
South Africa52.653.353.353.853.854.3
41.841.941.941.941.941.9
DPR Korea65.365.965.966.566.566.9
42.943.043.043.043.043.1
Hong Kong76.677.177.177.677.678.0
Japan vs NetherlandsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan73.468.268.162.662.656.6
12.513.613.614.814.816.2
Netherlands5.57.87.810.710.614.2
7.95.75.74.14.12.9
31.430.030.028.628.627.1
Japan vs LithuaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan73.368.168.162.662.656.7
12.513.613.614.814.816.2
Lithuania1.42.42.43.93.96.0
8.35.75.73.83.92.5
33.632.332.330.930.929.4
Ukraine vs SloveniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Slovenia24.529.729.735.135.141.0
1.71.11.10.70.70.4
24.022.522.521.021.019.6
Ukraine1.0*0.50.50.30.30.1
11.415.715.720.720.726.7
35.036.336.337.537.538.6
South Africa54.353.853.853.353.352.6
41.941.941.941.941.941.8
DPR Korea66.966.566.566.065.965.3
43.143.043.043.043.042.9
Hong Kong78.077.677.677.177.276.6
Germany vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
France71.676.276.280.480.484.1
12.711.611.610.610.69.6
Germany72.667.567.562.162.156.4
12.513.713.715.015.016.3
Germany vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Germany72.767.567.562.162.156.3
12.513.713.715.015.016.3
Norway55.961.461.466.766.771.8
0.3*0.2*0.20.10.10.1
16.415.115.113.913.912.7
Germany vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Germany72.567.567.562.162.156.5
12.613.713.714.914.916.2
Belarus3.85.75.78.38.411.8
5.23.43.42.22.21.3
31.530.130.128.628.627.0
France vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
France84.180.480.476.276.371.6
9.710.610.611.611.612.7
Norway56.061.561.566.766.771.7
0.3*0.20.20.10.10.1
16.415.115.113.913.912.7
Italy vs PolandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Poland72.477.277.281.481.485.1
12.611.511.510.510.59.5
Italy76.271.671.666.766.761.4
11.612.712.713.913.915.1
Chinese Taipei vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Belgium14.218.318.323.023.028.3
2.71.81.81.11.10.7
27.125.525.524.024.022.5
Chinese Taipei3.52.22.21.31.30.7
5.58.07.910.910.914.7
31.533.033.034.334.335.6
Bulgaria vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Belgium14.318.418.323.023.028.2
2.81.81.81.11.10.6
27.025.525.524.024.022.5
Bulgaria0.80.4*0.40.20.20.1
15.420.020.125.325.331.3
35.636.936.938.038.039.0
South Africa54.353.953.853.353.352.6
41.941.941.941.941.941.8
DPR Korea66.866.566.566.065.965.3
43.043.043.043.043.042.9
Hong Kong vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tue100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Belgium14.318.418.422.923.028.2
2.81.71.71.11.10.6
27.025.525.524.024.022.6
Israel31.931.331.330.830.830.3
Estonia32.531.931.931.431.330.9
South Africa54.453.753.753.153.152.6
41.941.941.941.941.941.8
DPR Korea67.166.366.365.765.865.2
43.143.043.043.043.042.9
Hong Kong67.675.175.181.481.486.6
43.243.843.844.344.344.8
Hungary vs PolandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Hungary85.381.581.677.477.472.7
9.410.410.411.411.412.5
Poland72.577.277.281.481.485.1
12.611.511.510.510.59.5
Austria vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Austria85.281.481.577.277.272.5
9.510.410.411.511.512.6
France71.676.276.280.480.484.1
12.711.611.610.610.69.6
Belarus vs AustriaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Austria72.677.377.381.581.485.1
12.511.411.410.410.49.5
Belarus11.78.38.45.75.73.8
1.32.22.23.43.45.2
27.128.628.630.130.131.5
Hungary vs UkraineHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Hungary85.181.581.577.477.472.9
9.510.410.411.411.412.5
Ukraine0.10.30.30.50.51.0
26.720.620.615.715.711.5
38.537.437.436.336.335.0
Israel30.430.930.931.431.431.8
38.838.938.939.039.039.0
Estonia30.931.531.531.931.932.4
38.939.039.039.039.039.1
South Africa52.653.353.353.953.954.3
41.841.941.941.941.941.9
DPR Korea65.265.965.966.566.567.0
42.943.043.043.043.043.1
Hong Kong76.677.177.177.677.678.0
Croatia vs NetherlandsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Netherlands5.77.97.910.610.614.0
8.15.85.84.04.02.7
31.530.030.028.628.627.1
Croatia0.80.40.40.20.20.1
12.116.516.521.521.527.5
35.036.336.337.437.438.6
Estonia vs NetherlandsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Netherlands5.77.97.910.610.614.0
8.15.75.74.04.02.6
31.430.030.028.628.627.1
Israel31.831.431.430.931.030.4
Estonia0.20.10.10.00.00.0
21.727.927.934.434.441.8
37.438.638.639.639.640.5
South Africa54.353.953.953.353.352.6
DPR Korea66.966.566.565.965.965.3
43.043.043.043.043.042.9
Hong Kong78.077.677.677.177.276.6
Croatia vs LithuaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Lithuania1.52.52.53.93.95.9
8.55.75.73.73.72.3
33.732.332.330.830.829.3
Croatia0.80.40.40.20.20.1
12.016.416.521.521.527.5
35.036.336.337.537.538.6
Chinese Taipei vs South AfricaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tue100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Chinese Taipei3.52.22.21.31.30.8
5.07.47.410.910.915.3
31.532.932.934.334.335.6
Israel30.330.930.931.431.431.8
Estonia30.931.531.532.032.032.4
South AfricaNoNoNo0.00.00.0
65.757.857.849.649.641.2
43.042.342.341.641.640.7
DPR Korea65.365.965.966.466.466.9
42.943.043.043.043.043.1
Chinese Taipei vs Hong KongHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Chinese Taipei3.52.22.21.31.30.8
5.17.67.710.810.815.1
31.633.033.034.334.335.5
Hong Kong87.181.681.675.175.167.2
44.944.344.343.843.843.2
Estonia vs CroatiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Croatia0.10.20.20.40.40.8
28.221.721.716.116.111.5
38.637.437.436.336.335.0
Estonia0.20.10.10.00.00.0
21.127.627.634.734.742.3
37.438.538.539.639.640.5
South Africa vs BulgariaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Bulgaria0.10.20.2*0.4*0.40.8
32.325.425.419.619.514.4
39.037.937.936.836.835.6
South Africa0.00.00.0NoNoNo
40.749.549.557.857.866.1
40.741.641.642.342.343.1
Bulgaria vs Hong KongHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Bulgaria0.8*0.40.40.20.20.1
14.619.619.625.325.332.1
35.636.836.837.937.939.0
Hong Kong87.581.881.875.075.066.8
44.944.344.343.843.843.1
Hong Kong vs South AfricaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
South AfricaNoNoNo0.00.00.0
66.357.757.749.349.340.6
43.142.342.341.541.540.6
Hong Kong66.474.974.981.981.987.8
43.143.843.844.444.444.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.