"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Romania vs Japan-8.2-2.5-2.5+2.8+2.7+7.4
-1.8-0.6-0.6+0.6+0.6+1.6
Japan vs Netherlands+5.8+1.2+1.2-3.9-3.9-9.4
+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8-2.0
Japan vs Lithuania+7.9+3.4+3.5-1.5-1.5-7.1
+1.7+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.5
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Norway+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6921-00-0NoYes199No32,516
6820-10-0NoYes199No123
6719-20-0NoYes0100No284*
6620-01-0NoYes1990No1,171*
6519-11-0NoYes01000No2,836*
6418-21-0NoYes01000No6,055*
6319-02-0NoYes0990No16,357*
6218-12-0NoYes0991No32,706*
6117-22-0NoYes09910No61,442*
6017-12-1NoYes09820No129,136*
5917-13-0NoYes09640No227,604*
5816-23-0NoYes094600No378,224*
5716-13-1NoYes0909000No682,726*
5616-14-0NoYes0861410No1,076,702*
5515-24-0NoYes07919100No1,624,823*
5415-14-1NoYes07226200No2,582,075*
5315-15-0NoYes062335000No3,678,471*
5214-25-0NoYes051399100No5,100,059*
5114-15-1NoYes04044142000No7,304,222*
5013-25-1NoYes029452240000No9,544,435*
4913-26-0NoYes019422991000No12,190,279*
4813-16-1NoYes01135351530000No15,945,577*
4712-26-1NoYes06253723710000No19,218,852*
4612-27-0NoYes021633301441000No22,741,144*
4512-17-1NoYes0182433239200000No27,390,856*
4411-27-1NoYes00314282917610000No30,559,088*
4311-17-2NoYes01719292513510000No33,654,631*
4211-18-1NoYes00021022282211410000No37,500,312*
4110-28-1No100.0%00031222272011410000No38,871,367*
4010-18-2No100.00001412222520114100000No39,905,583*
3910-19-1No100.00001412212420115100000No41,295,842*
389-29-1No99.40001410192421136200000No39,785,052*
379-19-2No95.90001381622221583100000No38,129,098*
369-110-1No81.50000026132022181152000000No36,706,738*
358-210-1No51.800001491621211583100000No32,882,152*
348-110-2No20.60000126121921181262100000No29,391,196*
338-111-1No4.20000138142021171052000000No26,349,283*
327-211-1No0.4000001491620201594100000No21,892,973*
317-111-2No0.00000125111720191473100000No18,249,939*
307-112-1No0.000000126121820181262100000No15,204,735*
296-212-1NoNo0000013713192117115200000No11,691,718*
286-112-2NoNo000000149152020159410000No9,069,979*
276-113-1NoNo0000012511182119137210000No7,013,912*
265-213-1NoNo000001381420211710410000No4,959,879*
255-113-2NoNo00000251118222013620000No3,566,686*
245-114-1NoNo0000013816222216831000No2,547,385*
235-014-2NoNo00001261421241810310000.0%1,641,004*
225-015-1NoNo0000025122125201141000.01,090,986*
214-115-1NoNo00014112025211241000.1715,683*
204-015-2NoNo000014112127221130000.5416,669*
194-016-1NoNo00014112228221020002.6252,670*
183-116-1NoNo000141224292082009.9151,496*
173-016-2NoNo000151426291861024.377,641*
163-017-1NoNo00016183028133044.342,874*
152-117-1NoNo000282332259167.022,796*
142-017-2NoNo000312293418384.59,988*
132-018-1NoNo016213629793.24,929*
122-019-0NoNo021130411697.42,211*
111-018-2NoNo01419453099.3766*
101-019-1NoNo3124837Yes318*
91-020-0NoNo4275117Yes113*
80-120-0NoNo476129Yes28*
70-020-1NoNo8234623Yes13
60-021-0NoNo0073641141Yes32,492
Total:No73.7%03567776655544333222221111111100000000000000000000.0%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship