How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Romania vs Japan-8.2-2.5-2.5+2.8+2.7+7.4
-1.8-0.6-0.6+0.6+0.6+1.6
Japan vs Netherlands+5.8+1.2+1.2-3.9-3.9-9.4
+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8-2.0
Japan vs Lithuania+7.9+3.4+3.5-1.5-1.5-7.1
+1.7+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.5
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
Poland vs Great Britain+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Italy vs Poland-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.2+0.1+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Norway+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Austria vs France+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Norway+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6921-00-0NoYes199No32,516
6820-10-0NoYes199No123
6719-20-0NoYes0100No284*
6620-01-0NoYes1990No1,171*
6519-11-0NoYes01000No2,836*
6418-21-0NoYes01000No6,055*
6319-02-0NoYes0990No16,357*
6218-12-0NoYes0991No32,706*
6117-22-0NoYes09910No61,442*
6017-12-1NoYes09820No129,136*
5917-13-0NoYes09640No227,604*
5816-23-0NoYes094600No378,224*
5716-13-1NoYes0909000No682,726*
5616-14-0NoYes0861410No1,076,702*
5515-24-0NoYes07919100No1,624,823*
5415-14-1NoYes07226200No2,582,075*
5315-15-0NoYes062335000No3,678,471*
5214-25-0NoYes051399100No5,100,059*
5114-15-1NoYes04044142000No7,304,222*
5013-25-1NoYes029452240000No9,544,435*
4913-26-0NoYes019422991000No12,190,279*
4813-16-1NoYes01135351530000No15,945,577*
4712-26-1NoYes06253723710000No19,218,852*
4612-27-0NoYes021633301441000No22,741,144*
4512-17-1NoYes0182433239200000No27,390,856*
4411-27-1NoYes00314282917610000No30,559,088*
4311-17-2NoYes01719292513510000No33,654,631*
4211-18-1NoYes00021022282211410000No37,500,312*
4110-28-1No100.0%00031222272011410000No38,871,367*
4010-18-2No100.00001412222520114100000No39,905,583*
3910-19-1No100.00001412212420115100000No41,295,842*
389-29-1No99.40001410192421136200000No39,785,052*
379-19-2No95.90001381622221583100000No38,129,098*
369-110-1No81.50000026132022181152000000No36,706,738*
358-210-1No51.800001491621211583100000No32,882,152*
348-110-2No20.60000126121921181262100000No29,391,196*
338-111-1No4.20000138142021171052000000No26,349,283*
327-211-1No0.4000001491620201594100000No21,892,973*
317-111-2No0.00000125111720191473100000No18,249,939*
307-112-1No0.000000126121820181262100000No15,204,735*
296-212-1NoNo0000013713192117115200000No11,691,718*
286-112-2NoNo000000149152020159410000No9,069,979*
276-113-1NoNo0000012511182119137210000No7,013,912*
265-213-1NoNo000001381420211710410000No4,959,879*
255-113-2NoNo00000251118222013620000No3,566,686*
245-114-1NoNo0000013816222216831000No2,547,385*
235-014-2NoNo00001261421241810310000.0%1,641,004*
225-015-1NoNo0000025122125201141000.01,090,986*
214-115-1NoNo00014112025211241000.1715,683*
204-015-2NoNo000014112127221130000.5416,669*
194-016-1NoNo00014112228221020002.6252,670*
183-116-1NoNo000141224292082009.9151,496*
173-016-2NoNo000151426291861024.377,641*
163-017-1NoNo00016183028133044.342,874*
152-117-1NoNo000282332259167.022,796*
142-017-2NoNo000312293418384.59,988*
132-018-1NoNo016213629793.24,929*
122-019-0NoNo021130411697.42,211*
111-018-2NoNo01419453099.3766*
101-019-1NoNo3124837Yes318*
91-020-0NoNo4275117Yes113*
80-120-0NoNo476129Yes28*
70-020-1NoNo8234623Yes13
60-021-0NoNo0073641141Yes32,492
Total:No73.7%03567776655544333222221111111100000000000000000000.0%653,658,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship