How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Great Britain vs Italy-7.6-2.2-2.2+2.8+2.8+7.5
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
-1.8-0.5-0.5+0.6+0.6+1.7
Italy vs Slovenia+7.4+2.9+2.8-2.1-2.2-7.6
-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
+1.7+0.6+0.6-0.5-0.5-1.7
Italy vs Poland+7.4+2.7+2.7-2.2-2.2-7.4
-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+1.7+0.6+0.6-0.5-0.5-1.8
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2*-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*+0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Hungary vs Slovenia+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Germany vs France-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Hungary vs Poland+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Italy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7625-00-0NoYes595No10,905
71-74NoYes100No78*
7023-02-0NoYes298No165*
6922-12-0NoYes298No356*
6821-22-0NoYes199No755*
6721-12-1NoYes199No1,701*
6621-13-0NoYes01000No3,407*
6520-23-0NoYes01000No6,255*
6420-13-1NoYes01000No12,249*
6320-14-0NoYes01000No22,044*
6219-24-0NoYes01000No37,026*
6119-14-1NoYes09900No64,403*
6018-24-1NoYes0991No103,165*
5918-25-0NoYes09910No160,964*
5818-15-1NoYes09820No256,069*
5717-25-1NoYes09730No379,041*
5617-26-0NoYes095500No549,001*
5517-16-1NoYes092800No802,143*
5416-26-1NoYes0881200No1,107,069*
5316-16-2NoYes08317100No1,498,926*
5216-17-1NoYes07523200No2,024,414*
5115-27-1NoYes066294000No2,613,480*
5015-17-2NoYes0553681000No3,312,302*
4915-18-1NoYes04441132000No4,184,374*
4814-28-1NoYes031432051000No5,062,461*
4714-18-2NoYes02040281020000No6,035,110*
4614-19-1NoYes01133341751000No7,153,450*
4513-29-1NoYes052233251130000No8,129,351*
4413-19-2NoYes0212273019820000No9,137,258*
4313-110-1NoYes01517282716620000No10,175,503*
4212-210-1NoYes0027192724146100000No10,913,431*
4112-110-2No100.0%00029192623146200000No11,549,265*
4012-111-1No100.000039182423157200000No12,127,217*
3911-211-1No100.0000027162323168310000No12,260,003*
3811-111-2No99.600002613202319115100000No12,255,121*
3711-112-1No96.500001410172221147310000No12,136,109*
3610-212-1No82.4000012713202218115200000No11,554,857*
3510-112-2No51.600001491621211583100000No10,911,449*
3410-113-1No19.6000012511182119136210000No10,178,685*
339-213-1No3.80000137131921171152000000No9,132,593*
329-113-2No0.3000001481520201694100000No8,137,912*
319-114-1No0.00000025101620201583100000No7,153,947*
308-214-1No0.0000012511172119137310000No6,032,222*
298-114-2NoNo0000013713182118126210000No5,063,631*
288-115-1NoNo000001481420211610410000No4,186,448*
277-215-1NoNo000002510162120148310000No3,311,601*
267-115-2NoNo000001261219211812520000No2,614,170*
257-116-1NoNo0000149162121158310000No2,023,557*
246-216-1NoNo0000126121922191251000No1,497,715*
236-116-2NoNo0000141017232214720000.0%1,107,199*
226-117-1NoNo000013815232317820000.0802,328*
216-017-2NoNo0000026132225199300000.5549,745*
205-117-2NoNo0000151322262093002.9379,864*
195-118-1NoNo0001513232720820010.4254,772*
185-018-2NoNo00141325282071028.2161,178*
174-118-2NoNo00015152829164050.2103,056*
164-119-1NoNo0002720322710171.064,178*
154-019-2NoNo00210253522587.437,060*
144-020-1NoNo00141635331195.421,797*
133-120-1NoNo02929411998.312,248*
123-020-2NoNo0317453599.76,377*
113-021-1NoNo0112404799.93,322*
102-121-1NoNo073657Yes1,767*
92-021-2NoNo011759221Yes750*
82-022-1NoNo955342Yes376*
71-122-1NoNo443458Yes141*
61-022-2NoNo211373515Yes46*
51-023-1NoNo303535Yes23*
41-024-0NoNo144343Yes7*
30-124-0NoNo100Yes2*
20-024-1NoNo100Yes1
10-025-0NoNo22970Yes10,905
Total:No68.9%07766655544443333322222211111111100000000000000000.1%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship