Croatia Title Chances 2016 50/50Lost to Japan 2-11, average seed down 1.9 to 36.8 2 points 0-1 1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Week of 12/13 | 100.0* | Top 16 | 100.0* | Bottom 8 | 100.0* | Average seed | Croatia vs Netherlands | +0.4-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3 | | -7.6-3.2-3.2+1.8+1.8+7.9 | | +1.8+0.5+0.5-0.7-0.7-1.8 | | Croatia vs Lithuania | +0.4-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3 | | -7.6-3.2-3.2+1.8+1.9+7.9 | | +1.8+0.5+0.5-0.7-0.7-1.8 | | Estonia vs Croatia | -0.3-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.4 | | +8.5+2.0+2.0-3.6-3.6-8.2 | | -1.8-0.7-0.7+0.5+0.5+1.8 | | Estonia vs Romania | | | +0.6+0.2+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.6 | | | | Lithuania vs Romania | | | +0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Ukraine vs Slovenia | | | +0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Japan vs Lithuania | | | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2 | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Great Britain vs Ukraine | | | -0.5-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5 | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Hong Kong vs Belgium | | | +0.6+0.2+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.6 | | | | Bulgaria vs Belgium | | | +0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5 | | | | Japan vs Netherlands | | | -0.2*-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | Chinese Taipei vs Belgium | | | +0.2+0.1+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Hungary vs Ukraine | | | -0.5-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5 | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Kazakhstan vs Belarus | | | -0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | Germany vs Belarus | | | -0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Estonia vs Netherlands | | | +0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5 | | | | Italy vs Slovenia | | | -0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | | Chinese Taipei vs South Africa | | | -0.6-0.1-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5 | | | | Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong | | | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4 | | | | South Africa vs Bulgaria | | | +0.3+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.3 | | | | Hong Kong vs South Africa | | | -0.2-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.2 | | | | Belarus vs Austria | | | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Bulgaria vs Hong Kong | | | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Croatia finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Bottom | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | - | OT | wins title | Top 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 8 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,923 | | 40 | | 12 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,160 | | 39 | | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | No | 100.0 | % | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,822 | * | 38 | | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | No | 99.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,273 | * | 37 | | 11 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | No | 97.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,860 | * | 36 | | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | No | 86.4 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 204,946 | * | 35 | | 11 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | No | 58.4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 546,628 | * | 34 | | 10 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | No | 24.3 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 789,813 | * | 33 | | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | No | 5.0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,177,162 | * | 32 | | 10 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | No | 0.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,369,051 | * | 31 | | 9 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,005,720 | * | 30 | | 9 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,017,882 | * | 29 | | 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,659,585 | * | 28 | | 8 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,508,777 | * | 27 | | 8 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,072,142 | | | 7 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,995,896 | * | 26 | | 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,932,343 | * | | 7 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,970,590 | * | 25 | | 7 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,520,743 | | | 6 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,495,326 | * | 24 | | 7 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 6,518,165 | | | 6 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 7,766,756 | * | 23 | | 6 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 9,583,980 | * | | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 8,255,396 | * | 22 | | 6 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.0 | | 7,605,623 | | | 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.0 | | 8,474,880 | * | 21 | | 6 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0.4 | | 7,599,313 | | | 5 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.4 | | 8,474,655 | * | 20 | | 5 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2.6 | | 7,137,349 | | | 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2.6 | | 10,699,101 | * | 19 | | 5 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 9.6 | | 10,089,497 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 9.7 | | 4,199,633 | * | 18 | | 5 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 26.3 | | 13,021,567 | * | 17 | | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 49.1 | | 6,876,037 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 49.1 | | 6,028,678 | * | 16 | | 4 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 1 | | | | | 70.4 | | 9,070,702 | * | 15 | | 4 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | | | | | 87.1 | | 7,505,335 | * | 14 | | 4 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 33 | 10 | | | | | 95.3 | | 6,651,978 | * | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 19 | | | | | 98.5 | | 4,015,275 | * | 12 | | 3 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 34 | | | | | 99.7 | | 3,005,429 | * | 11 | | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 47 | | | | | 99.9 | | 2,370,363 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | | | | | 100.0 | | 1,175,759 | * | 9 | | 2 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 60 | 21 | 1 | | | 100.0 | | 790,387 | * | 8 | | 2 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 55 | 33 | 3 | | | 100.0 | | 547,234 | * | 7 | | 1 | - | 1 | 11 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 46 | 42 | 8 | 0 | | Yes | 204,356 | * | 6 | | 1 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 41 | 13 | 1 | Yes | 121,811 | * | 5 | | 1 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 46 | 24 | 2 | Yes | 72,611 | * | 4 | | 0 | - | 1 | 12 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 36 | 6 | Yes | 16,067 | * | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 46 | 44 | Yes | 8,018 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 39 | 56 | Yes | 14,903 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | No | 0.5 | % | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.7 | % | 219,400,500 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |