How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
-7.6-3.2-3.2+1.8+1.8+7.9
+1.8+0.5+0.5-0.7-0.7-1.8
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
-7.6-3.2-3.2+1.8+1.9+7.9
+1.8+0.5+0.5-0.7-0.7-1.8
Estonia vs Croatia-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.4
+8.5+2.0+2.0-3.6-3.6-8.2
-1.8-0.7-0.7+0.5+0.5+1.8
Estonia vs Romania+0.6+0.2+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.6
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.6+0.2+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.6
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2*-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
Italy vs Slovenia-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.6-0.1-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.3+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.3
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.2-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.2
Belarus vs Austria+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulgaria vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Croatia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
4113-00-0NoYes003102127221241000No14,923
4012-10-0NoYes0039202521136200No8,160
3912-00-1No100.0%00291824221572100No15,822*
3812-01-0No99.7002715222317941000No72,273*
3711-11-0No97.4000151219232012620000No121,860*
3611-01-1No86.4000138162121169410000No204,946*
3511-02-0No58.40002511182219136210000No546,628*
3410-12-0No24.300013714202117105200000No789,813*
3310-02-1No5.00000149162121159410000No1,177,162*
3210-03-0No0.50000025111721201473100000No2,369,051*
319-13-0No0.0000012612192118126210000No3,005,720*
309-03-1No0.00000013714202117105200000No4,017,882*
299-04-0NoNo000001491521211594100000No6,659,585*
288-14-0NoNo000002511172120147310000No7,508,777*
278-04-1NoNo000012613192118115200000No4,072,142
7-24-0NoNo0000012613192118115200000No4,995,896*
268-05-0NoNo0000138152121169410000No6,932,343*
7-14-1NoNo00000138152121169410000No5,970,590*
257-15-0NoNo00000251118222013620000No6,520,743
6-24-1NoNo00000251118222013620000No6,495,326*
247-05-1NoNo00001381521221793100000.0%6,518,165
6-25-0NoNo00001381521221794100000.07,766,756*
236-15-1NoNo000002511192320125100000.09,583,980*
7-06-0NoNo000002511192320125100000.08,255,396*
226-16-0NoNo00000139172322157200000.07,605,623
6-05-2NoNo0000139172322156200000.08,474,880*
216-06-1NoNo0000127152324178200000.47,599,313
5-26-0NoNo000012715232417820000.48,474,655*
205-16-1NoNo000002614232619920002.67,137,349
6-07-0NoNo000002614232619920002.610,699,101*
195-17-0NoNo0000151424271982009.610,089,497*
4-26-1NoNo00000151424271982009.74,199,633*
185-07-1NoNo00000151425281971026.313,021,567*
175-08-0NoNo000016162829164049.16,876,037*
4-17-1NoNo000016162829164049.16,028,678*
164-18-0NoNo00002720322710170.49,070,702*
154-08-1NoNo0000210263522587.17,505,335*
144-09-0NoNo000141735331095.36,651,978*
133-19-0NoNo0001929421998.54,015,275*
123-09-1NoNo000318443499.73,005,429*
113-010-0NoNo000111414799.92,370,363*
102-110-0NoNo00063460100.01,175,759*
92-010-1NoNo0011660211100.0790,387*
82-011-0NoNo000955333100.0547,234*
71-111-0NoNo004464280Yes204,356*
61-011-1NoNo0073841131Yes121,811*
51-012-0NoNo022646242Yes72,611*
40-112-0NoNo011542366Yes16,067*
30-012-1NoNo094644Yes8,018
20-013-0NoNo043956Yes14,903
Total:No0.5%00000000000000000011111122233444556667776653000019.7%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship