"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Average seed
Poland vs Great Britain+6.4+2.6+2.6-1.7-1.7-6.5
+1.5+0.6+0.6-0.4-0.4-1.6
Italy vs Poland-6.4-1.7-1.7+2.5+2.6+6.3
-1.6-0.4-0.4+0.6+0.6+1.5
Hungary vs Poland-6.4-1.7-1.7+2.5+2.5+6.3
-1.6-0.4-0.4+0.6+0.6+1.5
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Japan vs Netherlands-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Germany vs France-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Poland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
7523-00-0NoYes496No10,906
73-74NoYes100No10*
7222-01-0NoYes298No42*
7121-11-0NoYes100No109*
7020-21-0NoYes199No224*
6920-11-1NoYes298No653*
6820-12-0NoYes0990No1,424*
6719-22-0NoYes0100No2,830*
6619-12-1NoYes01000No6,180*
6519-13-0NoYes01000No11,911*
6418-23-0NoYes01000No21,025*
6318-13-1NoYes01000No40,042*
6218-14-0NoYes01000No67,961*
6117-24-0NoYes01000No110,660*
6017-14-1NoYes09910No186,422*
5916-24-1NoYes09910No287,094*
5816-25-0NoYes09820No428,506*
5716-15-1NoYes09730No656,059*
5615-25-1NoYes095500No929,015*
5515-26-0NoYes093700No1,288,986*
5415-16-1NoYes0891100No1,807,069*
5314-26-1NoYes08415100No2,377,867*
5214-16-2NoYes07721200No3,069,109*
5114-17-1NoYes068284000No3,989,310*
5013-27-1NoYes057357100No4,884,115*
4913-17-2NoYes04540122000No5,899,903*
4813-18-1NoYes033432040000No7,140,156*
4712-28-1NoYes021412792000No8,169,573*
4612-18-2NoYes012333316410000No9,261,253*
4512-19-1NoYes062334251030000No10,477,709*
4411-29-1NoYes0213273019720000No11,229,356*
4311-19-2NoYes01517282615610000No11,957,004*
4211-110-1NoYes002819272414510000No12,663,749*
4110-210-1NoYes0002919262314620000No12,743,136*
4010-110-2No100.0%00039182422157200000No12,743,047*
3910-111-1No100.00000271623231683100000No12,662,700*
389-211-1No99.600002613202319115100000No11,949,588*
379-111-2No96.500001410172221147310000No11,232,439*
369-112-1No82.1000012713202218115200000No10,467,489*
358-212-1No50.90000149162121158310000No9,256,752*
348-112-2No19.10000125111821191372100000No8,168,744*
338-113-1No3.60000013713192118115210000No7,134,027*
327-213-1No0.30000013814202116104100000No5,898,607*
317-113-2No0.000000249162020158410000No4,879,853*
307-114-1No0.0000012511172119147310000No3,985,353*
296-214-1NoNo000013612182118126210000No3,069,386*
286-114-2NoNo0000013814202117104100000No2,376,592*
276-115-1NoNo0000024101621201583100000No1,805,725*
266-015-2NoNo00001261219211912620000No1,289,833*
255-115-2NoNo0000014915212116831000No928,934*
245-116-1NoNo0000126121922191252000No656,209*
235-016-2NoNo000014917232215720000.0%428,582*
224-116-2NoNo00013715222317930000.1286,444*
214-117-1NoNo0000025132125191031000.6186,263*
204-017-2NoNo00001512212621103003.2110,442*
194-018-1NoNo0001412232721920011.168,223*
183-118-1NoNo00141324292081029.340,010*
173-018-2NoNo00015142730175052.021,685*
163-019-1NoNo001719322811172.211,695*
152-119-1NoNo0029263524589.16,355*
142-019-2NoNo0041735331195.52,853*
132-020-1NoNo1829422098.81,410*
121-120-1NoNo2194434Yes647*
111-020-2NoNo0104347Yes215*
101-021-1NoNo163162Yes87*
91-022-0NoNo1157294Yes28*
80-021-2NoNo105040Yes10*
60-023-0NoNo0073841131Yes10,905
Total:No78.9%011987665544433322222111111111000000000000000000000.0%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship