How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan vs Netherlands-4.2-2.0-2.0+0.9+0.9+4.4
+2.6+0.4+0.4-1.2-1.2-2.4
-2.2-0.7-0.8+0.7+0.7+2.2
Croatia vs Netherlands-4.1-1.9-1.9+0.9+0.8+4.2
+2.8+0.5+0.4-1.3-1.3-2.6
-2.2-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.7+2.2
Estonia vs Netherlands-4.1-1.9-1.9+0.8+0.9+4.2
+2.8+0.4+0.4-1.3-1.3-2.7
-2.2-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.7+2.2
Estonia vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Lithuania vs Romania+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Japan vs Lithuania-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Belarus-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Chinese Taipei vs South Africa-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
South Africa vs Bulgaria+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Hong Kong vs South Africa-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Estonia vs Croatia+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Netherlands finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
5418-00-0NoYes087121No10,963
5317-10-0NoYes78211No183
5216-20-0NoYes762220No372*
5117-01-0NoYes653050No1,705*
5016-11-0NoYes5535910No3,899*
4915-21-0NoYes0444014200No7,643*
4816-02-0NoYes0314321510No20,755*
4715-12-0NoYes20402910200No38,269*
4614-22-0NoYes0113234175100No67,036*
4514-12-1NoYes05223325113000No141,662*
4414-13-0NoYes021227301982000No229,029*
4313-23-0NoYes0151728271662000No362,293*
4213-13-1NoYes01719272414510000No640,201*
4113-14-0NoYes002919262314620000No930,032*
4012-24-0No100.0%0002918252314620000No1,335,815*
3912-14-1No100.000028162323168310000No2,072,775*
3812-15-0No99.60002613212318104100000No2,736,004*
3712-05-1No96.700001410182220137210000No3,593,674*
3611-15-1No83.800012714212217104100000No4,997,020*
3511-16-0No54.000001410172120148310000No6,029,220*
3411-06-1No21.200000126121921181262100000No7,300,798*
3310-16-1No4.2000013814202116104200000No9,222,202*
3210-17-0No0.4000001491621201584100000No10,226,753*
3110-07-1No0.00000002511182119137310000No11,456,033*
309-17-1No0.00000012613192118126210000No13,239,804*
299-18-0NoNo0000013814202117105200000No13,529,241*
289-08-1NoNo00000014101621201583100000No14,049,360*
278-18-1NoNo0000012612182119136210000No14,921,166*
268-19-0NoNo000001381420211710410000No14,044,222*
258-09-1NoNo0000002510182220147210000No13,529,244*
247-19-1NoNo00000137142122171041000000.0%13,243,916*
237-110-0NoNo000002511192320136200000.011,453,086*
227-010-1NoNo00000139172322157200000.010,226,081*
216-110-1NoNo000012715222418830000.59,224,044*
206-111-0NoNo000002613222619920002.87,301,937*
196-011-1NoNo000001513232720820010.46,025,436*
185-111-1NoNo00000151324281971028.05,000,475*
175-112-0NoNo000015152729175051.13,594,144*
165-012-1NoNo00002719312811172.12,733,322*
154-112-1NoNo00029243524588.22,070,524*
144-012-2NoNo000141534351295.81,335,191*
134-013-1NoNo001827432198.7932,704*
123-113-1NoNo000317443799.7639,958*
113-013-2NoNo00193950100.0361,001*
103-014-1NoNo0053263100.0229,214*
92-114-1NoNo011561211Yes140,190*
82-014-2NoNo00855333Yes67,689*
72-015-1NoNo04454380Yes38,326*
62-016-0NoNo0073741131Yes21,017*
51-015-2NoNo022547242Yes7,705*
41-016-1NoNo11443376Yes3,883*
31-017-0NoNo094645Yes1,758*
20-016-2NoNo33363Yes402*
10-017-1NoNo13366Yes170
00-018-0NoNo100Yes10,954
Total:No9.8%00000001111111222223333334444444444443332221100005.3%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship