How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/13100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Italy vs Slovenia-8.5-3.2-3.2+2.5+2.5+8.6
+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.6
-2.2-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.8+2.2
Hungary vs Slovenia-8.5-3.2-3.2+2.5+2.5+8.6
+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.6
-2.2-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.8+2.2
Ukraine vs Slovenia-8.2-3.1-3.0+2.4+2.4+8.3
+0.7+0.1+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.6
-2.2-0.7-0.7+0.8+0.8+2.2
Estonia vs Romania+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Great Britain vs Ukraine-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Hong Kong vs Belgium+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lithuania vs Romania+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Bulgaria vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Japan vs Lithuania-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.2
Hungary vs Ukraine-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.2
Chinese Taipei vs Belgium+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Kazakhstan vs Belarus-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2
Japan vs Netherlands-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Germany vs Belarus-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Estonia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Netherlands+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Austria+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.1
Poland vs Great Britain+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Austria vs Kazakhstan+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Germany vs France-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Croatia vs Lithuania+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
France vs Norway+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Romania vs Japan-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Slovenia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedBottom
TPW-OTL-OTwins titleTop 1612345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849508Count
6220-00-0NoYes01000No10,916
6119-10-0NoYes100No36
6018-20-0NoYes982No104*
5919-01-0NoYes991No392*
5818-11-0NoYes9910No849*
5717-21-0NoYes973No1,859*
5618-02-0NoYes9540No5,236*
5517-12-0NoYes09460No10,352*
5416-22-0NoYes0901000No19,302*
5316-12-1NoYes0851410No41,654*
5216-13-0NoYes07820200No72,437*
5115-23-0NoYes069274000No120,456*
5015-13-1NoYes058347100No219,787*
4915-14-0NoYes0464012200No341,930*
4814-24-0NoYes03442194000No518,299*
4714-14-1NoYes0224027920000No831,692*
4614-15-0NoYes01333331641000No1,176,674*
4513-25-0NoYes06233424103000No1,638,309*
4413-15-1NoYes0213273019720000No2,372,184*
4313-16-0NoYes01517282615610000No3,076,670*
4212-26-0NoYes028192724145100000No3,951,774*
4112-16-1NoYes002919262313620000No5,216,427*
4011-26-1No100.0%00039182422146200000No6,257,745*
3911-16-2No100.0000028162323168310000No7,461,065*
3811-17-1No99.700002614212318104100000No9,066,467*
3710-27-1No96.800001410182220137210000No10,081,096*
3610-17-2No83.9000013714202217104100000No11,190,796*
3510-18-1No54.100000141017212014731000000No12,581,698*
349-28-1No21.5000012612192118126210000No12,984,379*
339-18-2No4.300000138142021171042000000No13,440,777*
329-19-1No0.400000149162120158410000No14,016,056*
318-29-1No0.00000125111721191373100000No13,444,689*
308-19-2No0.000000136121821181262100000No12,981,019*
298-110-1NoNo0000013814192117105200000No12,576,901*
287-210-1NoNo000001491620201583100000No11,190,707*
277-110-2NoNo0000012611182119137210000No10,077,052*
267-111-1NoNo0000013714202117105100000No9,068,993*
256-211-1NoNo000002510172120147310000No7,463,122*
246-111-2NoNo000013713202218114100000.0%6,259,583*
236-112-1NoNo00000141018232114620000.05,221,437*
226-012-2NoNo00000138162323167200000.03,951,292*
216-013-1NoNo000012614222418930000.53,076,267*
205-113-1NoNo000025132226201030003.02,370,811*
195-013-2NoNo00001513232720920010.71,637,115*
185-014-1NoNo0000151324282081029.01,176,846*
174-114-1NoNo00015152729175051.5832,117*
164-014-2NoNo00002719312811172.3518,220*
154-015-1NoNo00029243524588.4343,105*
143-115-1NoNo000141534351295.8219,691*
133-015-2NoNo001827422198.7119,926*
123-016-1NoNo00316443799.772,835*
112-116-1NoNo00193950100.041,766*
102-016-2NoNo0053264100.019,494*
92-017-1NoNo011462221Yes10,578*
82-018-0NoNo0855343Yes5,277*
71-017-2NoNo04444580Yes1,888*
61-018-1NoNo073741141Yes933*
51-019-0NoNo12547243Yes392*
40-018-2NoNo1839376Yes79*
30-019-1NoNo174637Yes35
20-020-0NoNo43956Yes10,912
Total:No32.7%01112222333333334444433333333322222211111000000001.0%219,400,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship