Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.8 to 98.3%
84 points   38 24-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 +1.5
+0.1
Florida 2 Boston 4 +0.2
Montreal 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
108120-0In0.8%18474043,791
107110-1In0.103335312010,195
106111-0In0.001195623140,688*
105101-1InNo0094937495,049*
10491-2InNo03354913128,697*
102-0InNo00439471091,401
10392-1InNo01235223274,355
81-3InNo01205128111,184*
10282-2InNo0114742370,009
93-0InNo00135037212,112
71-4InNo09444764,547*
10183-1InNo053857576,085
72-3InNo043462295,039
61-5InNo03306727,326*
10073-2InNo022475691,561
84-0InNo022771335,697
62-4InNo012079163,276*
9974-1InNo011585806,183
63-3InNo001287482,980
52-5InNo0109057,620*
9864-2InNo0793845,517
75-0InNo0892375,435
53-4InNo0595231,800*
9765-199.9%No03970789,356
54-399.9No02970506,871
43-599.9No0298067,807*
9655-299.8No01990709,657
66-099.8No01980305,876
44-499.7No01990203,720*
9556-199.1No0991551,587
45-399.0No0991355,077
34-598.8No099147,541*
9446-297.4No09730414,730
57-097.7No0982191,305*
35-497.0No09730105,887
9347-193.9No09460276,897
36-393.2No09370185,544*
9237-287.2No087130165,973
48-088.4No08812080,687
26-485.8No08614039,579*
9138-177.6No078220097,211
27-375.6No76240054,602*
9028-262.5No62362043,527
39-064.0No64342032,809*
8929-145.8No464950031,792*
8819-230.1No3056131012,736*
87110-116.1No165525403,865*
86111-07.8No84539811,180*
85011-12.0No230462020203
84012-00.5No115413491970
Total:98.3%0.0%000314812000011,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNew JerseyBuffaloOttawaDetroitNY IslandersBostonColumbus
108120-07.0%22447224
107110-16.4724461904
106111-06.21225431603
105101-16.12126381203
10491-26.4312831802
102-06.2302832902
10392-16.2383024601
81-36.34031235010
10282-26.24533183010
93-06.24432194010
71-46.3463416301
10183-16.24835142000
72-36.34836132000
61-56.4493712200
10073-26.24938112000
84-06.3493712200
62-46.3493810100
9974-16.34939101000
63-36.35039101000
52-56.150399100
9864-26.2504091000
75-06.3493910100
53-46.250409100
9765-16.3504091000
54-36.350408100
43-56.350408100
9655-26.350418100
66-06.249409100
44-46.250418100
9556-16.249408100
45-36.249418100
34-56.149417100
9446-26.149407100
57-06.248408100
35-45.949407100
9347-15.947397100
36-35.947397100
9237-25.544376100
48-05.644377100
26-45.543366100
9138-14.839335100
27-34.838325100
9028-24.131274000
39-04.132274000
8929-12.92320300
8819-22.01513200
87110-11.187100
86111-00.33400
85011-1No01
84012-0No00
Total:6.2%47.237.811.01.80.00.50.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 2 Boston 4 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Detroit-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
108120-01080470404
107110-10030321053120
106111-000101810560231
105101-10007104913704
10491-200210342049013
102-0000310371047010
10392-1000102030520230
81-3000001730501280
10282-20000740452420
93-000000940482370
71-4000630412470
10183-10000230335570
72-30000220295610
61-500120255671
10073-2000010177732
84-0000110207692
62-400010137763
9974-10000077787
63-3000067798
52-500046809
9864-2000257618
75-00000367615
53-4000147520
9765-10000366310
54-3000264340
43-5000161370
9655-200001504900
66-00001524600
44-400147520
9556-1003563100
45-300326610
34-5003069100
9446-20020772000
57-0002275200
35-4018793000
9347-10010845100
36-309846100
9237-2038484100
48-0048483100
26-403838510
9138-10177994100
27-31758105100
9028-206261412410
39-006461312410
8929-10463132114400
8819-2301721261320
87110-1160214302891
86111-080624382141
85011-121933361610
84012-010418373091
Total:0000000031001135129100000000