Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Toronto 2-1, playoff odds unchanged at 100%

98 points 45 17-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1	In				+7.4
Philadelphia 5 Columbus 3			*+0.0
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4					+0.4
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6					-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Ottawa vs Dallas					-1.5-1.5-1.4+0.5+0.5+1.9
Anaheim vs Detroit					+0.2*+0.1+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in	Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs	Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

122	12	0		-	0	In	100.0	%	100	0													3,783
121	11	0		-	1	In	100.0		100	0													10,083
120	11	1		-	0	In	99.6		100	0													40,659	*
119	10	1		-	1	In	98.7		99	1	0												95,185	*
118	9	1		-	2	In	96.7		97	3	0												117,431
	10	2		-	0	In	96.8		97	3	0												102,370	*
117	9	2		-	1	In	93.3		93	7	0												274,538
	8	1		-	3	In	93.4		93	6	0												111,430	*
116	8	2		-	2	In	87.4		87	12	1												368,929
	9	3		-	0	In	87.4		87	12	1												213,720
	7	1		-	4	In	87.4		87	12	1												64,907	*
115	8	3		-	1	In	78.7		79	20	2												575,255
	7	2		-	3	In	78.7		79	19	2												295,706
	6	1		-	5	In	78.2		78	20	2												27,187	*
114	7	3		-	2	In	67.0		67	29	4	0											690,079
	8	4		-	0	In	67.4		67	29	4	0											336,021
	6	2		-	4	In	66.8		67	29	4	0											163,329	*
113	7	4		-	1	In	53.6		54	38	8	0											805,272
	6	3		-	3	In	53.2		53	38	9	0											482,497
	5	2		-	5	In	52.9		53	38	9	0											57,839	*
112	6	4		-	2	In	38.4		39	46	15	0											845,724
	7	5		-	0	In	39.0		39	47	14	0											389,887	*
	5	3		-	4	In	37.9		38	45	16	0	0										217,347
111	6	5		-	1	In	24.9		25	49	25	1	0										789,194
	5	4		-	3	In	24.3		25	48	26	1	0										506,726
	4	3		-	5	In	23.5		24	48	27	1	0										67,906	*
110	5	5		-	2	In	13.2		14	46	37	2	0										710,968
	6	6		-	0	In	13.8		15	48	36	2	0										307,223
	4	4		-	4	In	12.6		14	45	39	3	0										203,573	*
109	5	6		-	1	In	5.9		7	38	49	6	0										552,460
	4	5		-	3	In	5.6		7	37	50	7	0										354,391
	3	4		-	5	In	4.8		6	35	51	8	0										46,956	*
108	4	6		-	2	In	1.8		3	26	56	15	1										414,217
	5	7		-	0	In	2.0		3	28	55	14	1										185,049
	3	5		-	4	In	1.5		2	24	56	16	1										113,011	*
107	4	7		-	1	In	0.4		1	16	55	26	3	0									276,007
	3	6		-	3	In	0.3		1	14	54	28	3										185,734	*
106	3	7		-	2	In	0.0		0	7	45	41	7	0									165,860
	4	8		-	0	In	0.0		0	8	47	38	7	0									80,868
	2	6		-	4	In	0.0		0	6	44	42	8	0									39,798	*
105	3	8		-	1	In	0.0		0	3	32	50	16	0									96,904
	2	7		-	3	In	No		0	2	30	51	17	0									54,277	*
104	2	8		-	2	In	0.0		0	1	18	51	30	1									43,860
	3	9		-	0	In	No			1	19	51	29	1									32,819	*
103	2	9		-	1	In	No			0	8	44	46	3									31,836	*
102	1	9		-	2	In	No			0	3	31	58	8									12,646	*
101	1	10		-	1	In	No				1	17	65	17									3,747	*
100	1	11		-	0	In	No				0	9	58	33									1,152	*
99	0	11		-	1	In	No					3	48	49									205
98	0	12		-	0	In	No					1	37	61									971

Total:						In	40.1	%	40	32	22	5	1	0									11,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:								Chance will play in first round
TP	W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		New Jersey	Ottawa	Detroit	NY Islanders	Boston	Columbus	Tampa Bay	Toronto	Pittsburgh	Philadelphia	Florida	Washington	Montreal

122	12	0		-	0	6.2	%		1	4		8		87	0	0		0
121	11	0		-	1	6.4			1	5		10	0	84	1	0	0	0
120	11	1		-	0	6.1			1	5		10	0	84	1	0	0	0
119	10	1		-	1	6.2			1	5	0	11	0	82	1	0	0	0
118	9	1		-	2	6.1			1	6	0	12	0	81	1	0	0	0
	10	2		-	0	6.2			1	6		11	0	81	1	0	0	0
117	9	2		-	1	6.3			1	7		13	0	78	1	0	0	0	0
	8	1		-	3	6.3			1	7		13	0	77	1	0	0	0	0
116	8	2		-	2	6.3			2	9		15	0	73	1	0	0	0
	9	3		-	0	6.3			2	9		15	0	74	1	0	0	0		0
	7	1		-	4	6.3			2	8		16		72	1	0	0	0
115	8	3		-	1	6.3			2	11		18	0	67	1	0	0	0
	7	2		-	3	6.2			2	11		19	0	66	1	0	0	0
	6	1		-	5	6.2			2	11		21		65	1	0	0	0
114	7	3		-	2	6.3			3	15		23	0	58	1	0	0	0
	8	4		-	0	6.2			3	15		22	0	58	1	0	0	0
	6	2		-	4	6.3			3	15		23	0	57	1	0	0	0
113	7	4		-	1	6.2			4	19		27	0	48	1	0	0	0	0
	6	3		-	3	6.2			4	19		27	0	48	1	0	0	0
	5	2		-	5	6.1			4	19		28	0	48	1	0	0	0
112	6	4		-	2	6.3			6	25		31	0	37	1	0	0	0
	7	5		-	0	6.3			6	24		31	0	38	1	0	0	0
	5	3		-	4	6.2		0	6	25		32	0	37	1	0	0	0
111	6	5		-	1	6.2		0	8	30		34	0	27	0	0	0	0
	5	4		-	3	6.2		0	8	30		34	0	27	0	0	0	0
	4	3		-	5	6.3			8	31		34	0	26	0	0	0	0
110	5	5		-	2	6.2		0	10	35		35	0	19	0	0	0	0
	6	6		-	0	6.3		0	10	35		35	0	19	0	0	0	0
	4	4		-	4	6.3		0	11	36	0	35	0	18	0	0	0	0
109	5	6		-	1	6.2		0	13	40		35		12	0	0		0
	4	5		-	3	6.3		0	13	40	0	34		12	0	0	0	0
	3	4		-	5	6.4		0	14	41		33		12	0			0
108	4	6		-	2	6.3		0	16	43	0	33		8	0	0		0
	5	7		-	0	6.3		0	16	42	0	33		8	0		0	0
	3	5		-	4	6.2		0	16	44	0	32		8	0			0
107	4	7		-	1	6.2		1	18	45	0	30		6	0
	3	6		-	3	6.1		1	18	45	0	30		6	0			0
106	3	7		-	2	6.3		2	21	45	0	28	0	4	0
	4	8		-	0	6.2		2	20	45	0	29		4	0
	2	6		-	4	6.4		2	21	47	0	27		4	0
105	3	8		-	1	6.4		4	23	44	0	25	0	4
	2	7		-	3	6.3		4	23	45	0	24		4
104	2	8		-	2	6.4		8	28	41	0	21	0	3
	3	9		-	0	6.4		7	27	41	0	21		3
103	2	9		-	1	6.3		13	32	36	0	16		2
102	1	9		-	2	6.5		20	38	29	0	12	0	1
101	1	10		-	1	6.3		27	41	23	0	9		1
100	1	11		-	0	6.2		38	38	18	0	6		1
99	0	11		-	1	6.8		51	34	10		4
98	0	12		-	0	5.8		53	33	10		3

Total:						6.3	%	0.3	7.9	25.8	0.0	27.5	0.0	37.8	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1	-0.4
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6	+0.1
Florida 2 Boston 4	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Dallas	+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
Anaheim vs Detroit	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

122	12	0		-	0	100		0
121	11	0		-	1	100		0
120	11	1		-	0	100		0
119	10	1		-	1	99		1		0
118	9	1		-	2	97		3		0
	10	2		-	0	97		3		0
117	9	2		-	1	93		7		0
	8	1		-	3	93		6		0
116	8	2		-	2	87		12		1
	9	3		-	0	87		12		1
	7	1		-	4	87		12		1
115	8	3		-	1	79		20		2
	7	2		-	3	79		19		2
	6	1		-	5	78		20		2
114	7	3		-	2	67	0	29		4				0
	8	4		-	0	67	0	29		4				0
	6	2		-	4	67	0	29		4				0
113	7	4		-	1	54	0	38		8				0
	6	3		-	3	53	0	38		9				0
	5	2		-	5	53	0	38		9				0
112	6	4		-	2	38	0	46		15				0
	7	5		-	0	39	0	47	0	14				0
	5	3		-	4	38	0	45		16				0				0
111	6	5		-	1	25	0	49	0	25				1				0
	5	4		-	3	24	1	48	0	26				1				0
	4	3		-	5	23	1	48	0	27				1				0
110	5	5		-	2	13	1	46	0	37	0	0		2				0
	6	6		-	0	14	1	48	0	36	0	0		2				0
	4	4		-	4	13	1	45	0	39	0	0		3				0
109	5	6		-	1	6	1	38	0	48	0	0		6				0
	4	5		-	3	6	1	37	0	49	0	0		7				0
	3	4		-	5	5	1	35	0	51	0	0		8				0
108	4	6		-	2	2	1	26	0	55	1	0		15	0			1
	5	7		-	0	2	1	28	0	54	0	0		14	0			1
	3	5		-	4	2	1	24	0	55	1	0		16	0			1
107	4	7		-	1	0	0	15	0	52	2	1		26	0			3		0
	3	6		-	3	0	0	14	1	51	3	1		28	0			3
106	3	7		-	2	0	0	6	1	38	6	1		40	0			7	0	0
	4	8		-	0	0	0	7	1	40	5	1		38	0			7		0
	2	6		-	4	0	0	5	1	35	7	2		41	0			8	0	0
105	3	8		-	1	0	0	2	0	21	8	2		48	2			16	0	0
	2	7		-	3		0	2	0	18	9	2		48	2			17	0	0
104	2	8		-	2	0	0	0	0	7	8	3		44	7	0		30	0	1
	3	9		-	0			1	0	7	9	3		44	6			29	0	1
103	2	9		-	1			0	0	1	5	2	0	30	14	0		44	1	3
102	1	9		-	2				0	0	2	1	0	14	18	0		52	6	8	0
101	1	10		-	1						0	0		3	14	0		48	16	17	0
100	1	11		-	0							0		1	8	0		32	26	31	2
99	0	11		-	1										2	1		14	34	37	12
98	0	12		-	0										1	0		7	31	46	15

Total:						40	0	32	0	21	0	0	0	5	0	0		1	0	0	0