Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.5 to 44.5%
79 points   36 28-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +2.1
+0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 -0.6
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary vs San Jose-2.0-2.8-2.1*+0.1-0.4+3.1
-0.1-0.2-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.2
Vegas vs Minnesota+0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
101110-0InNo0455506,657
100100-1InNo029701018,750
99101-0InNo19782043,444
90-2InNo178030027,940
9891-1100.0%No10828000131,239
80-3100.0No8811100025,056
9781-299.7No47619000175,305
92-099.9No579160000151,979
70-499.6No3722401014,949
9682-198.9No266300110411,734
71-398.2No160350220147,629*
9572-294.7No0464503500493,895
83-096.2No1524102400320,168
61-492.4No04049037075,874*
9473-186.8No031510412100767,987
62-382.8No026520416100345,599
51-577.4No02053052120026,897*
9363-267.5No015490428500804,056
74-073.0No018500423300447,781
52-460.2No011460433700161,989*
9264-148.6No073903381210939,529
53-341.7No053403411520483,340
42-533.8No3290243203047,650*
9154-224.4No022201412860844,555
65-029.4No22502412550437,664
43-418.2No11601403381190,455*
9055-111.9No011003339152789,633
44-38.6No0803041182424,632*
33-55.7No0500264322443,332
8945-23.3No03018413070593,590
56-04.5No04021422760306,664
34-42.0No02015393590133,451*
8846-11.0No01093341160459,466
35-30.6No01073043190237,029
24-50.2No05264523023,234*
8736-20.1No021945330276,205
47-00.2No0032245300153,322
25-40.1No02154439155,793*
8637-10.0No01939492183,303
26-30.0No0073654289,071*
8527-20.0No00325667082,903
38-00.0No00326646066,376*
8428-10.0No001147115048,124
17-3OutNo1117117017,388*
8318-2OutNo056430014,542
29-0OutNo066726013,748*
8219-1OutNo2524519,098*
81110-0OutNo1365942,943*
80010-1OutNo0187110542
79011-0OutNo1267211,026
Total:44.5%No0117260221171160011,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegChicagoAnaheimNashvilleMinnesotaSt-LouisEdmontonCalgaryArizonaSan JoseColoradoVegas
101110-06.7%37091692525320
100100-16.125161063529330
99101-06.21314744033440
90-26.213246442324400
9891-16.312223245344400
80-36.411323247334400
9781-26.401411150344400
92-06.201312148354400
70-46.2014111523144
9682-16.211411050335400
71-36.01151005131540
60-55.7115000522944
9572-25.911510049294400
83-06.011410048325400
61-45.81151005026440
50-66.5215100502444
9473-15.421410045264400
62-35.221410044234400
51-55.1214100432043
40-73.701201421743
9363-24.32131003618330
74-04.52131003822330
52-43.81130003415330
41-63.2113000311222
9264-13.01120002613220
53-32.61120002410220
42-52.111200208110
31-71.8111018611
9154-21.5001000146110
65-01.8111000168110
43-41.2001000124110
32-60.7000008300
9055-10.700000073000
44-30.50000062000
33-50.30000041000
22-70.4000410
8945-20.20000021000
56-00.30000031000
34-40.10000010000
23-60.1010
8846-10.10000010000
35-30.00000000
24-50.0000
8736-20.000000
47-00.0000000
25-40.00000
8637-10.000
8538-0No00
8428-1No0
79-83No
Total:2.8%0.70.62.00.40.20.123.413.22.01.90.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 -0.2
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 -0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs San Jose+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.2
Colorado vs Nashville+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
101110-00459301600
100100-1029433330100
99101-019130470200
90-21712850130000
9891-110020620710000
80-3801863010100000
9781-2401066016300000
92-0501267013200000
70-4386401940000
9682-120561022800110
71-3145702410000120
9572-2014502520012500
83-0125002417002400
61-4013902623013700
9473-1003102130000412100
62-300260203200416200
51-50020183400420200
9363-200150123600426600
74-000181437004224000
52-40011103500431810
9264-10076330033415200
53-300553000237183000
42-534250023922500
9154-202120001333010200
65-00222300234278100
43-41115001323413200
9055-100110002237226100
44-300800203725810
33-50050018372910100
8945-2003009293419400
56-0004011313316400
34-400207273622610
8846-10010316333113200
35-30010214323315300
24-5021230351840
8736-200519352910100
47-0000162235278100
25-40041735321120
8637-10018253723610
26-30016233725710
8527-200021030361840
38-0000211313517300
8428-100031635321220
17-30215333414300
8318-2005203628910
29-0005223826810
8219-101827372250
81110-00021231371520
80010-10318373291
79011-0182641223
Total:01011508180002171410742100000