Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.8 to 56.7%
80 points   37 28-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +2.4
+0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary vs San Jose+11.4+10.3+7.9-3.3-3.9-13.8
+0.7+0.7+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.9
Vegas vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
102110-0InNo2564206,712
101100-1InNo04059018,710
100101-0InNo02970143,759
90-2InNo02672228,314
9991-1100.0%No01679500130,704
80-3InNo148060025,307
9881-2100.0No88012000176,219
92-0100.0No98110000152,374
70-4100.0No6791500015,036
9782-199.9No475210000411,747
71-399.8No37225000147,655*
9672-298.9No161360110492,425
83-099.3No265320110319,794
61-498.5No15641011075,459*
9573-196.1No0464702400767,146
62-394.7No0415003500345,086
51-593.0No036540370026,802*
9463-286.4No02755031310803,933
74-089.7No032540310100448,059
52-482.6No02256041620162,333*
9364-172.2No016530423400938,560
53-366.0No012500428600483,112
42-559.6No0947043181047,811*
9254-246.8No053902361520845,539
65-054.3No084403331110438,319
43-439.5No043402381930190,524*
9155-128.5No22501382760790,549
44-322.0No12001363291422,775
33-517.3No11601333513144,689*
9045-210.6No010002740193592,540
56-014.7No114003137152314,017*
34-47.3No070023412450126,994
8946-14.2No04016403280459,415
35-32.6No030123737120236,665
24-51.5No0209334116023,196*
8836-20.8No01052744230276,016
47-01.4No01083242170153,220
25-40.4No003224629055,638*
8737-10.2No021644380183,594
26-30.1No01114245189,434*
8627-20.0No0053359382,876
38-00.0No0073654254,164
16-4OutNo032866412,794*
8528-1OutNo0221707048,423
17-3OutNo0116749017,307*
8418-2OutNo00107317028,383*
8319-1OutNo03653108,997*
82110-0OutNo1514812,888*
81010-1OutNo36613486
80011-0OutNo217091,037
Total:56.7%No012331021713840011,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegChicagoAnaheimNashvilleMinnesotaSt-LouisEdmontonVancouverArizonaSan JoseColoradoVegas
102110-05.9%6701219142813110
101100-16.535191393818210
100101-06.324161074521220
90-26.323269647212200
9991-16.312245453242200
80-36.212235355233300
9881-26.311423258253300
92-06.211323257263300
70-46.21141215925330
9782-16.301411159263300
71-36.300511160254400
60-56.0015110612444
9672-26.210500060254400
83-06.200501059263300
61-46.110500060244400
50-65.6115000592354
9573-15.911500058244400
62-35.911500057224400
51-55.8115000562144
40-76.32140552053
9463-25.41140005220440
74-05.61150005422430
52-45.221410050184400
41-64.811410481644
9364-14.51140004316330
53-34.21130004014330
42-53.81130003711330
31-73.51131033832
9254-22.91120002910220
65-03.41130003312220
43-42.5112000257220
32-62.11120022612
9155-11.8001000186110
44-31.400100154110
33-51.10010012311
22-71.0001011210
9045-20.70000072000
56-00.900100103000
34-40.50000051000
23-60.500004100
8946-10.300000031000
35-30.20000020000
24-50.100001000
8847-00.1000010000
36-20.1000010000
25-40.0000000
8737-10.000000
26-30.000000
8638-00.000
80-85No
Total:3.6%0.70.62.70.50.40.234.113.22.22.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 -0.2
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs San Jose-1.2-1.1-0.9+0.3+0.4+1.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
102110-02560132270
101100-104073220000
100101-0029334330010
90-202623337120
9991-101612850014000
80-3140265416000
9881-28017620011100000
92-09020610910000
70-460166301310000
9782-14010650183000000
71-33096302040000
9672-21045702511000110
83-020560023900010
61-413530271300110
9573-10145026210002400
62-3014002724002500
51-5013502726012700
9463-200270213400312100
74-000320223200039100
52-400220203600315200
9364-100151340003225000
53-30012123900326710
42-50091037003301010
9254-200553400233173000
65-00087370033013200
43-40044300023421500
9155-102224001312910200
44-31119001293313200
33-51115001273517400
9045-200100001935268100
56-010130002135226100
34-4007001535291120
8946-100408283520500
35-300206243524710
24-500104213528910
8836-20010212303418300
47-00010315323214200
25-40019273721400
8737-100041735311110
26-300314343413200
8627-20005213827710
38-00017243824610
16-4003193929910
8528-1019303719400
17-3017283821500
8418-20021434331420
8319-100420382991
82110-01825392350
81010-12103437152
80011-00317403190
Total:0100221001120000115128531000000