St-Louis Blues Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Colorado 2-1, playoff odds up 7.9 to 92.3%

83 points 36 23-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1	+7.4		+0.5
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	+0.6
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4	-0.1
Montreal 4 Pittsburgh 1					*No

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Colorado vs Nashville	-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.0		-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.1
Calgary vs San Jose	-0.2-0.5-0.4-0.1-0.2+0.5
Vegas vs Minnesota	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St-Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

107	12	0		-	0	In		0.0	%	75	5	20	1											3,789
106	11	0		-	1	In		No		58	7	32	2	0										10,336
105	11	1		-	0	In		No		38	9	46	7	0	0									40,466	*
104	10	1		-	1	In		No		19	9	51	18	2	0									95,218	*
103	9	1		-	2	In		No		7	6	46	33	8	0									117,096
	10	2		-	0	In		No		8	6	47	32	6	0									103,045	*
102	9	2		-	1	In		No		2	3	33	43	18	2									274,067
	8	1		-	3	In		No		2	2	29	43	21	2									110,805	*
101	8	2		-	2	In		No		0	1	16	41	35	7									369,429
	9	3		-	0	In		No		0	1	18	43	31	6									213,258
	7	1		-	4	In		No		0	1	13	40	38	9									65,451	*
100	8	3		-	1	In		No		0	0	7	31	45	16									574,552
	7	2		-	3	In		No		0	0	5	29	48	18									296,197
	6	1		-	5	In		No		0	0	4	25	50	21									26,916	*
99	7	3		-	2	100.0	%	No		0	0	2	17	49	32	0								690,393
	8	4		-	0	100.0		No		0	0	2	19	48	30	0								336,166
	6	2		-	4	100.0		No		0	0	1	14	49	35	0								163,050	*
98	7	4		-	1	100.0		No			0	0	8	43	49	0								805,543
	6	3		-	3	100.0		No			0	0	7	42	51	0								483,953
	5	2		-	5	100.0		No			0	0	5	41	53	0								57,539	*
97	6	4		-	2	99.9		No				0	3	31	66	0								844,493
	7	5		-	0	99.9		No				0	3	32	65	0								375,469
	5	3		-	4	99.9		No				0	2	30	68	0								231,871	*
96	6	5		-	1	99.5		No			0	0	1	20	79	0	0							790,132
	5	4		-	3	99.4		No				0	1	19	79	1	0							506,214
	4	3		-	5	99.2		No				0	0	18	80	1	0							67,810	*
95	5	5		-	2	97.9		No				0	0	11	87	2	0	0						710,557
	6	6		-	0	98.2		No				0	0	11	87	2	0							307,276
	4	4		-	4	97.1		No				0	0	11	86	3	0							203,776	*
94	5	6		-	1	93.2		No					0	6	88	7	0	0						553,203
	4	5		-	3	91.7		No					0	5	86	8	0	0						354,355
	3	4		-	5	89.2		No					0	5	84	10	1	0						47,487	*
93	4	6		-	2	79.9		No					0	2	78	18	2	0	0					413,873
	5	7		-	0	82.7		No					0	2	80	16	1	0						184,685
	3	5		-	4	75.3		No					0	2	73	22	3	0	0					113,457	*
92	4	7		-	1	60.5		No					0	1	60	32	7	1	0					276,137
	3	6		-	3	54.3		No					0	1	54	35	9	1	0					185,468	*
91	3	7		-	2	32.9		No						0	33	42	21	4	0					166,090
	4	8		-	0	37.0		No						0	37	42	18	3	0					80,766
	2	6		-	4	26.7		No						0	27	42	25	6	0					39,468	*
90	3	8		-	1	14.7		No						0	15	37	34	13	2					96,333
	2	7		-	3	11.5		No						0	11	34	37	16	2					54,387	*
89	2	8		-	2	3.7		No							4	21	39	30	7	0				50,979	*
	3	9		-	0	4.8		No						0	5	23	40	26	6	0				25,018
88	2	9		-	1	0.7		No							1	8	31	42	18	0				32,050	*
87	1	9		-	2	0.1		No							0	2	17	44	36	0				12,783	*
86	1	10		-	1	0.1		No							0	0	7	36	54	2				3,879	*
85	1	11		-	0	Out		No								0	2	22	70	6				1,064	*
84	0	11		-	1	Out		No										7	82	12				208
83	0	12		-	0	Out		No										3	72	25	0			979

Total:						92.3	%	0.0	%	1	0	4	10	24	53	5	2	1	0	0	0			11,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St-Louis finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Winnipeg	Chicago	Anaheim	Nashville	Minnesota	Edmonton	Calgary	Vancouver	Arizona	San Jose	Colorado

107		12	0		-	0	6.2	%	8	30		25	36	0	0	0	0	0	0
106		11	0		-	1	6.1		11	25	0	27	35	0	0	0	0	0	0
105		11	1		-	0	6.3		14	25	0	29	30	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	0		-	2	6.1		16	26	0	28	29	0	0	0	0	0	0
104		10	1		-	1	6.3		18	26	2	30	24	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	0		-	3	6.4		19	27	2	29	22	0	0	0	0	0	0
103		9	1		-	2	6.2		21	26	6	27	18	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	2		-	0	6.1		20	25	5	29	20	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	0		-	4	6.3		21	27	8	27	17	0	0	0	0	0	0
102		9	2		-	1	6.2		20	24	15	25	15	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	1		-	3	6.3		20	25	17	23	14	1	0	0	0	0	0
101		8	2		-	2	6.2		19	21	28	19	11	2	0	0	0	0	0
		9	3		-	0	6.2		19	20	25	21	12	2	0	0	0	0	0
		7	1		-	4	6.2		19	21	31	17	10	2	0	0	0	0	0
100		8	3		-	1	6.3		19	17	37	16	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
		7	2		-	3	6.3		19	18	39	14	7	2	0	0	0	0	0
		6	1		-	5	6.4		19	18	41	13	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
99		7	3		-	2	6.2		22	16	42	12	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
		8	4		-	0	6.3		22	15	41	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
		6	2		-	4	6.3		22	17	42	11	5	2	1	0	0	0	0
98		7	4		-	1	6.3		26	15	40	11	5	2	0	0	0	0	0
		6	3		-	3	6.2		26	17	40	11	4	2	0	0	0	0	0
		5	2		-	5	6.5		26	19	39	10	4	2	0	0	0	0
97		6	4		-	2	6.2		30	18	34	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
		7	5		-	0	6.2		31	16	35	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
		5	3		-	4	6.2		30	21	34	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		4	2		-	6	6.2		29	23	32	10	3	1	0	0	0	0
96		6	5		-	1	6.2		34	20	29	12	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
		5	4		-	3	6.2		33	22	28	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
		4	3		-	5	6.2		32	25	27	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
95		5	5		-	2	6.1		35	24	23	12	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
		6	6		-	0	6.2		37	21	24	12	4	1	0	0	0	0
		4	4		-	4	6.1		34	27	22	11	4	0	0	0	0	0
		3	3		-	6	6.3		32	30	20	10	3	0	0	0
94		5	6		-	1	5.8		35	24	19	11	4	0	0	0	0	0
		4	5		-	3	5.8		33	26	18	11	3	0	0	0	0	0
		3	4		-	5	5.4		31	29	17	9	3	0	0	0		0
93		4	6		-	2	5.0		29	24	14	9	3	0	0	0	0	0
		5	7		-	0	5.2		32	22	16	10	3	0	0	0	0	0
		3	5		-	4	4.6		26	25	13	8	3	0	0	0	0	0
92		4	7		-	1	3.7		22	19	10	7	2	0	0	0
		3	6		-	3	3.4		19	19	9	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
91		3	7		-	2	2.0		11	12	5	3	1	0	0	0
		4	8		-	0	2.1		12	11	6	4	1	0
90		3	8		-	1	0.8		4	5	2	1	0	0
89		2	8		-	2	0.2		1	2	1	0	0
88		2	9		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0
87		1	9		-	2	0.0		0	0	0
86		1	10		-	1	No			0
83	-85						No

Total:							5.8	%	26.4	19.4	27.1	12.4	5.5	1.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1	-0.6
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	+0.1
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vegas vs Minnesota	-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Colorado vs Nashville	-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

107	12	0		-	0	0	75	0	4	8	11			0	0
106	11	0		-	1		58	0	7	6	26			2	1			0
105	11	1		-	0		38	0	9	4	41		0	4	3			0	0	0
104	10	1		-	1		19	0	9	2	50	0		7	12			2	0	0
103	9	1		-	2		7	0	6	0	45	0	0	7	27			5	2	0	0
	10	2		-	0		8	0	6	0	47	0	0	7	25			5	2	0	0
102	9	2		-	1		2	0	3	0	33	0	0	4	38			9	8	2	0
	8	1		-	3		2	0	2	0	29	0	0	4	40			10	10	2	0
101	8	2		-	2		0		1	0	16	0	0	1	40			11	23	7	0
	9	3		-	0		0		1	0	18	0	0	2	41	0		11	20	6	0
	7	1		-	4		0		1		13	0	0	1	39			11	26	8	1
100	8	3		-	1		0		0		7	0	0	0	31	0		8	37	14	2
	7	2		-	3		0		0		5	0	0	0	28	0	0	8	40	15	3
	6	1		-	5		0		0		4	0	0	0	25			7	42	17	4
99	7	3		-	2		0		0		2	0	0	0	17	0	0	4	45	24	9	0
	8	4		-	0		0		0		2	0	0	0	19	0		4	44	23	8	0
	6	2		-	4		0		0		1	0	0	0	14	0		3	46	25	11	0
98	7	4		-	1				0		0	0	0	0	8	0	0	1	41	29	20	0
	6	3		-	3				0		0	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	41	29	22	0
	5	2		-	5				0		0	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	40	29	25	0
97	6	4		-	2						0	0	0		2	0	0	0	31	29	37	0
	7	5		-	0						0	0	0		3	0	0	0	31	30	35	0
	5	3		-	4						0	0	0		2	0	0	0	30	28	40	0
96	6	5		-	1				0		0		0		1	0	0	0	20	26	53	0	0
	5	4		-	3						0	0	0		1	0	0	0	19	24	56	1	0
	4	3		-	5						0		0		0	0	0	0	18	22	58	1	0
95	5	5		-	2						0		0		0	0	0	0	11	18	69	2	0	0
	6	6		-	0						0		0		0	0	0	0	11	19	67	2	0
	4	4		-	4								0		0	0	0	0	11	16	71	3	0	0
94	5	6		-	1										0	0	0	0	6	12	76	6	0	0	0
	4	5		-	3										0	0	0	0	5	10	76	8	0	0	0
	3	4		-	5												0		5	9	76	10	1	0	0
93	4	6		-	2										0	0	0		2	5	72	17	3	0	0
	5	7		-	0										0		0		2	6	74	15	2	0	0
	3	5		-	4												0		2	4	69	21	4	0	0
92	4	7		-	1												0		1	2	58	29	9	1	0	0
	3	6		-	3										0				1	2	52	32	12	2	0	0
91	3	7		-	2														0	0	32	34	25	7	1	0
	4	8		-	0														0	1	36	34	22	6	1	0	0
	2	6		-	4														0	0	26	34	28	10	2	0
90	3	8		-	1														0	0	14	26	35	19	5	1	0
	2	7		-	3														0	0	12	24	35	22	7	1	0	0
89	2	8		-	2															0	4	11	30	33	18	4	0	0
	3	9		-	0														0	0	5	13	32	32	15	3	0	0
88	2	9		-	1																1	3	16	32	32	14	2	0
87	1	9		-	2																0	0	5	19	35	29	10	1	0
86	1	10		-	1																0		1	8	24	38	23	6	1
85	1	11		-	0																		0	1	9	34	37	16	3	0
84	0	11		-	1																				2	19	35	32	12	1
83	0	12		-	0																				0	5	22	39	26	8	1

Total:						0	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	9	0	0	2	22	17	36	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0