Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Montreal 1-4, playoff odds down 0.4 to 0.6%
72 points   33 33-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Montreal 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.6
Philadelphia 5 Columbus 3 +0.6
NY Islanders 3 Washington 1 -0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
92100-035.9%No0323604012,087
9190-120.6No01926910033,817
9091-012.3No01216918078,681
80-210.5No010169201045,328
8981-15.8No060613120213,048
70-34.6No04061322036,399
8871-22.3No020484460256,097
82-02.9No030494350249,244
60-41.5No1047456019,331
8772-11.0No1034521300596,731
61-30.7No103353131178,939
50-50.4No0031541416,817
8662-20.3No0020542420628,318
73-00.4No00020542320464,823
51-40.2No001854252082,449*
8563-10.1No00104737600975,558
52-30.1No0094637700376,621
41-50.0No0846397024,611*
8453-20.0No00433471510877,741
64-00.0No0435471400570,691
42-40.0No0332471710141,799
31-6OutNo330471924,812*
8354-10.0No01204828301,024,084
43-30.0No0118463140439,256
32-5OutNo11645335034,523*
8244-20.0No0083743111769,659
55-00.0No009404290478,860
33-4OutNo073444131131,720
22-6OutNo0633441615,208*
8145-1OutNo032449222718,129
34-3OutNo022148263307,585
23-5OutNo02184630424,372*
8035-2OutNo011041409430,492
46-0OutNo011245367280,118
24-4OutNo0836431271,509*
7936-1OutNo04284919334,872
25-3OutNo03245023129,806
14-5OutNo22050288,453*
7826-2OutNo01134839150,466
37-0OutNo01164933111,562
15-4OutNo09454519,698*
7727-1OutNo06395599,934
16-3OutNo04356131,474*
7617-2OutNo012375030,030
28-0OutNo022771031,462*
7518-1OutNo01485017,587
07-3OutNo0118903,022
7419-0OutNo079317,121*
7309-1OutNo39521,332
72010-0OutNo19441,260
Total:0.6%No01011262821104011,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNew JerseyBuffaloOttawaDetroitNY IslandersBostonColumbusPhiladelphia
92100-02.1%12003102
9190-11.311001801
9091-00.700001100
80-20.700001000
8981-10.400005000
70-30.300040
8882-00.2000300
71-20.20000200
60-40.10010
8772-10.1000010
61-30.0000010
50-50.0000
8662-20.000000
73-00.00000
51-40.0000
40-6No
8563-10.00000
52-30.0000
41-5No0
30-7No
8453-20.000
64-00.000
42-40.00
31-6No
20-8No
8354-10.00
43-3No0
32-5No
21-7No
10-9No
8244-2No00
55-00.00
33-4No
22-6No
11-8No
72-81No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.50.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.7
Florida 2 Boston 4 -0.1
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 -0.1
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 -0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Nashville+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs San Jose-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Washington vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
92100-00092403421830
9190-1021702323113300
9091-000110115322711200
80-2009115332811200
8981-1006052133259100
70-300405213425920
8871-2002018253422710
82-0003018253422610
60-41018243423710
8772-1010021229341830
61-3100212293519300
50-500021128361930
8662-2000041635331110
73-00000041735331010
51-4000031634341110
8563-1000016244124400
52-3000016234125500
41-50015224027500
8453-20000110353913100
64-000011136381210
42-400011033391520
31-601832391720
8354-100003214327500
43-300031941297100
32-5002174031810
8244-20018314017300
55-000019344015200
33-4007284120400
22-60626402250
8145-1002174030910
34-30021537331210
23-5011234361420
8035-2000525392460
46-000728392140
24-400421392880
7936-1011234361520
25-3011031381820
14-51827402130
7826-200318393270
37-000421402960
15-40215383680
7727-10183143170
16-30062846190
7617-2021647341
28-0021846331
7518-1017385050
07-306365250
7419-0022462110
7309-101462231
72010-00557361
Total:0001000137121821171063100