Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Chicago 1-4, playoff odds down 0.003 to 99.98%

92 points 42 21-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4	-1.3
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Ottawa vs Dallas	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

113	-114						In		38.6	%	100														25,131	*
112		10	1		-	0	In		20.8		100	0	0												43,791
		9	0		-	2	In		19.5		100	0	0												27,993
111		9	1		-	1	In		9.9		100	0	0												130,122
		8	0		-	3	In		9.1		100	0	0												25,026
110		8	1		-	2	In		3.6		99	0	1												175,767
		9	2		-	0	In		4.2		99	0	0												152,664
		7	0		-	4	In		3.2		98	1	1												15,294
109		8	2		-	1	In		1.2		97	1	2	0											409,751
		7	1		-	3	In		1.1		96	2	3	0											147,808	*
108		7	2		-	2	In		0.2		90	4	6	0	0										493,841
		8	3		-	0	In		0.3		92	3	5	0											319,858
		6	1		-	4	In		0.2		88	4	8	0											76,075	*
107		7	3		-	1	In		0.0		80	7	13	0	0										767,095
		6	2		-	3	In		0.0		77	8	15	1	0										344,436
		5	1		-	5	In		0.0		73	9	17	1											27,069	*
106		6	3		-	2	In		0.0		60	12	26	2	0										804,385
		7	4		-	0	In		0.0		64	11	23	2	0										447,357
		5	2		-	4	In		0.0		56	13	29	3	0										161,990	*
105		6	4		-	1	In		0.0		41	14	37	7	0	0									941,723
		5	3		-	3	In		0.0		37	15	40	8	0										483,013
		4	2		-	5	In		No		33	15	42	9	0										47,846	*
104		5	4		-	2	In		No		20	14	47	17	1	0									846,840
		6	5		-	0	In		No		24	14	46	15	1	0									438,348
		4	3		-	4	In		No		17	13	48	20	1	0									191,152	*
103		5	5		-	1	In		No		9	10	46	30	4	0									789,282
		4	4		-	3	In		No		7	10	46	33	5	0									421,977
		3	3		-	5	In		No		6	8	44	36	6	0									44,577	*
102		4	5		-	2	In		No		2	5	35	45	12	1									590,803
		5	6		-	0	In		No		3	6	37	43	11	0									307,529
		3	4		-	4	In		No		2	4	32	47	14	1									133,166	*
101		4	6		-	1	In		No		0	2	21	49	25	2									461,538
		3	5		-	3	In		No		0	2	19	50	26	2									236,267
		2	4		-	5	In		No		0	1	17	51	27	2									23,170	*
100		3	6		-	2	In		No		0	0	9	43	41	7									276,267
		4	7		-	0	In		No		0	1	10	43	39	7									153,287
		2	5		-	4	In		No		0	0	8	43	42	7									55,818	*
99		3	7		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	3	30	51	16	0								191,346	*
		2	6		-	3	100.0		No		0	0	3	29	51	16	0								82,759
98		2	7		-	2	100.0		No			0	1	17	53	29	0								82,475
		3	8		-	0	100.0		No			0	1	18	53	28	0								53,696
		1	6		-	4	100.0		No				0	16	53	30	0								12,578	*
97		2	8		-	1	99.8		No				0	8	47	44	0								48,136
		1	7		-	3	99.8		No				0	8	47	45	0								17,148	*
96		1	8		-	2	99.0		No				0	3	36	60	1								15,630	*
		2	9		-	0	99.2		No				0	4	36	60	1	0							12,525
95		1	9		-	1	95.9		No				0	1	24	71	4	0							8,849	*
94		1	10		-	0	86.8		No					0	14	72	12	1							2,722	*
93		0	10		-	1	67.1		No					0	6	61	27	6							566
92		0	11		-	0	46.5		No						2	45	37	15	2	0					1,050

Total:							100.0	%	0.5	%	41	8	26	17	7	2	0	0	0	0					11,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:								Chance will play in first round
TP	W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Chicago	Anaheim	Nashville	Minnesota	St-Louis	Edmonton	Calgary	Vancouver	Arizona	San Jose	Colorado	Vegas

114	11	0		-	0	6.2	%	10		12	20	50	1	2	1	1	1	2
113	10	0		-	1	6.2		9	0	11	20	51	1	2	1	1	1	3
112	10	1		-	0	6.3		9	0	12	20	51	1	1	2	1	1	3
	9	0		-	2	6.2		8	0	11	21	51	1	2	1	1	1	3	0
111	9	1		-	1	6.3		9	0	11	21	51	1	2	2	1	1	3	0
	8	0		-	3	5.9		7	0	11	21	52	1	1	2	1	1	3
110	8	1		-	2	6.3		8	0	11	21	51	1	2	2	1	1	3
	9	2		-	0	6.3		9	0	11	21	51	1	2	2	1	1	3	0
	7	0		-	4	6.5		7	0	11	22	52	1	1	2	1	1	3	0
109	8	2		-	1	6.2		8	0	11	21	51	1	2	2	1	1	3	0
	7	1		-	3	6.2		8	0	11	22	51	1	1	2	1	1	3	0
108	7	2		-	2	6.2		9	0	12	22	48	1	1	1	1	1	2	0
	8	3		-	0	6.2		9	0	12	22	49	1	1	1	1	1	3	0
	6	1		-	4	6.3		9	0	12	23	49	1	1	1	1	1	2
107	7	3		-	1	6.3		11	0	15	23	44	1	1	1	1	1	2	0
	6	2		-	3	6.2		11	0	15	24	43	1	1	1	1	1	2	0
	5	1		-	5	6.2		11	0	16	25	42	1	1	1	1	1	2
106	6	3		-	2	6.3		15	0	20	24	36	1	1	1	1	0	2	0
	7	4		-	0	6.3		15	0	18	24	37	1	1	1	1	1	2
	5	2		-	4	6.3		15	0	21	25	34	1	1	1	0	0	2	0
105	6	4		-	1	6.3		19	0	24	25	28	0	1	1	0	0	1	0
	5	3		-	3	6.2		20	0	25	25	26	0	1	1	0	0	1	0
	4	2		-	5	6.4		20	0	27	25	24	0	0	1	0	0	1
104	5	4		-	2	6.2		24	1	30	25	19	0	0	0	0	0	1
	6	5		-	0	6.3		24	1	28	25	20	0	0	0	0	0	1
	4	3		-	4	6.2		24	1	31	25	17	0	0	0	0	0	1
103	5	5		-	1	6.3		26	3	32	24	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	4	4		-	3	6.2		26	4	33	24	12	0	0	0	0	0	0
	3	3		-	5	6.2		26	5	34	23	11	0	0	0	0	0	0
102	4	5		-	2	6.3		26	10	33	21	9	1	0	0	0	0	0
	5	6		-	0	6.2		27	9	32	22	10	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	3	4		-	4	6.3		26	11	34	20	8	1	0	0	0	0	0
101	4	6		-	1	6.3		25	19	30	18	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
	3	5		-	3	6.3		24	20	31	17	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
	2	4		-	5	6.2		24	21	31	16	6	1	0	0	0	0	0
100	3	6		-	2	6.1		23	30	26	13	5	2	0	0	0	0	0
	4	7		-	0	6.3		23	29	26	15	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
	2	5		-	4	6.3		23	32	27	12	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
99	3	7		-	1	6.2		22	39	22	10	3	2	1	0	0	0	0
	2	6		-	3	6.2		22	40	23	9	3	2	1	0	0	0	0
98	2	7		-	2	6.3		24	45	19	7	2	2	1	0	0	0	0
	3	8		-	0	6.2		24	44	20	8	2	2	1	0	0	0	0
97	2	8		-	1	6.4		26	46	18	6	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
	1	7		-	3	6.1		27	46	18	5	1	1	1	0	0	0
96	1	8		-	2	6.1		31	43	17	5	1	1	0	0	0
	2	9		-	0	6.4		30	43	18	6	1	1	0	0		0
95	1	9		-	1	5.4		35	36	18	5	1	1	0	0		0
94	1	10		-	0	5.4		35	30	16	4	1	0	0	0	0
93	0	10		-	1	4.8		29	21	12	4	1	0	0
92	0	11		-	0	2.1		24	12	8	2	0	0

Total:						6.3	%	18.8	5.8	23.1	22.0	26.4	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.3	1.2	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4	+1.0
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado vs Nashville	-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Vegas vs Minnesota	-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Anaheim vs Detroit	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

114	11	0		-	0	50	50
113	10	0		-	1	34	66
112	10	1		-	0	21	79	0		0
	9	0		-	2	20	80	0	0	0
111	9	1		-	1	10	90	0	0	0	0
	8	0		-	3	9	91	0	0	0	0
110	8	1		-	2	4	95	0	0	0	0
	9	2		-	0	4	95	0	0	0	0
	7	0		-	4	3	95	0	0	1	0
109	8	2		-	1	1	96	0	1	1	1			0	0
	7	1		-	3	1	95	0	1	2	1			0	0
108	7	2		-	2	0	90	1	3	3	4			0	0			0
	8	3		-	0	0	91	0	3	2	3			0	0
	6	1		-	4	0	88	1	4	3	5			0	0
107	7	3		-	1	0	80	0	6	3	10			0	0			0
	6	2		-	3	0	77	1	7	4	11			1	0			0
	5	1		-	5	0	73	1	8	4	13			1	0
106	6	3		-	2	0	60	0	11	3	23			1	1			0	0
	7	4		-	0	0	64	0	10	3	20			1	1			0	0
	5	2		-	4	0	56	0	12	3	26			2	1			0	0
105	6	4		-	1	0	41	0	14	2	36	0	0	3	4			0	0	0
	5	3		-	3	0	37	0	15	2	38	0		3	5			0	0
	4	2		-	5		33	0	15	1	41			3	6			0	0
104	5	4		-	2		20	0	14	1	47	0	0	4	13			1	0	0
	6	5		-	0		24	0	14	1	45	0	0	4	11			1	0	0
	4	3		-	4		17	0	13	0	48	0	0	4	15			1	0	0
103	5	5		-	1		9	0	10	0	46	0	0	4	27			3	2	0	0
	4	4		-	3		7	0	9	0	45	0	0	4	29			3	2	0	0
	3	3		-	5		6	0	8	0	44	0	0	4	32			3	2	0
102	4	5		-	2		2	0	5	0	35	0	0	2	43			5	7	0	0
	5	6		-	0		3	0	6	0	37	0	0	2	41			5	6	0	0
	3	4		-	4		2	0	4	0	32	0	0	2	45			5	8	1	0
101	4	6		-	1		0		2	0	21	0	0	1	48	0	0	6	19	2	0
	3	5		-	3		0		2	0	19	0	0	1	49	0		6	20	2	0
	2	4		-	5		0		1		17	0	0	1	51	0		6	22	2	0
100	3	6		-	2		0		0		8	0	0	0	43	0	0	5	36	5	2
	4	7		-	0		0		1		10	0	0	0	43	0	0	5	34	5	1
	2	5		-	4		0		0		7	0	0	0	42	0		4	38	6	2
99	3	7		-	1				0		3	0	0	0	30	0	0	2	48	10	6	0
	2	6		-	3		0		0		2	0	0	0	29	0	0	2	49	11	6	0
98	2	7		-	2				0		1	0	0	0	17	0	0	1	53	14	15	0
	3	8		-	0				0		1	0	0		18	0	0	1	52	14	14	0
	1	6		-	4						0	0	0		16	0	0	1	53	14	16	0
97	2	8		-	1						0	0	0		8	0	0	0	47	16	28	0
	1	7		-	3						0		0		8	0	0	0	47	16	29	0
96	1	8		-	2						0		0		3	0	0	0	36	14	45	1	0
95	1	9		-	1								0		1	0	0		24	11	60	4	0
94	1	10		-	0										0	0	0		14	6	66	12	1	0
93	0	10		-	1											0			6	4	57	25	7	1
92	0	11		-	0														2	1	44	31	18	4	0

Total:						1	40	0	8	1	24	0	0	2	15	0	0	2	6	1	1	0	0	0	0