Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
Toronto5622811-04499.3%-0.028.3%+0.02816811873094202110000000000000004.41Toronto Marlies
Manitoba572268-55599.1-0.030.9+0.03126194355112101100000000000000003.25Manitoba Moose
Rochester541239-81597.8-0.010.8+0.01196119950158613320100000000000006.816at UticaRochester Americans
Syracuse5122412-33196.2-0.07.2-0.0764018950179615441111100000000008.02at BellevilleSyracuse Crunch
W-B/Scranton4952310-32891.6+0.010.0-0.110141528107076306310421100000000006.8-0.017Lehigh ValleyWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Texas462015-6-1586.5-0.10.3-0.001429013210021400280011222211110010.019Texas Stars
San Antonio4422116-2-286.1-0.00.5-0.00253001319002130127001122221111009.8-0.0111OntarioSan Antonio Rampage
Lehigh Valley5112312-5585.5+0.24.4+0.0481128107088408420632110000000008.8+0.013at W-B/ScrantonLehigh Valley Phantoms
Providence4832212-41681.3+0.03.6-0.04791797088509520743211000000009.715Providence Bruins
Milwaukee4432014-4-469.8+0.00.8-0.01231471123710247615554322111100012.714at Grand RapidsMilwaukee Admirals
Rockford4612115-4669.7-0.00.7+0.01231371023710248615554322111100012.825at ClevelandRockford IceHogs
Tucson4372011-31768.4-0.00.1+0.0001140021700216013120112344433221114.38San DiegoTucson Roadrunners
Utica4321814-7068.0+0.10.3+0.001102220655111121653344433222111015.2+0.0112RochesterUtica Comets
CharlotteWBridgeport 3-04522216-11862.4+6.90.9+0.21241455077501173011754322111100013.2+0.969BridgeportCharlotte Checkers
Chicago4511914-7561.5-0.00.4+0.001212582369258616665432211110014.117at IowaChicago Wolves
Iowa4321713-9-453.3-0.00.3+0.001102471258148616776543222111015.3+0.0124ChicagoIowa Wild
Stockton4161812-51146.4+0.00.000050011000112013120123456666544218.4+0.016at San JoseStockton Heat
BridgeportLCharlotte 0-34231814-6344.0-7.20.3-0.20120233045409630131076543222111015.7-1.0318at CharlotteBridgeport Sound Tigers
Grand Rapids431917-5042.4+0.00.1+0.000101251247147626887654433211017.0+0.0122MilwaukeeGrand Rapids Griffins
San Diego3961915-1-135.1-0.10.00003000700110002110112456777776520.6-0.014at TucsonSan Diego Gulls
Ontario4051915-2034.1+0.10.0-0.00003000600110002110113456777776520.7+0.0110at San AntonioOntario Reign
San Jose3671715-2-1324.0+0.00.0000200040007001900123567789910922.713StocktonSan Jose Barracuda
Laval391618-7-2122.8-0.00.0+0.000000000112034734566777666654321.026Laval Rocket
Hershey4011717-6-2019.9-0.00.0-0.00010011022205420101098766554432119.521at SpringfieldHershey Bears
Bakersfield3941614-7-219.4-0.00.00001000300060017011245678991010923.320Bakersfield Condors
Belleville3511621-3-5113.1-0.00.000000000011012532345666778888723.223SyracuseBelleville Senators
Springfield381821-2-710.2+0.10.0-0.000000010111022106788777777665321.8+0.0127HersheySpringfield Thunderbirds
Hartford361520-6-365.0+0.00.000000000001011103556677788999723.8+0.0128Hartford Wolf Pack
Cleveland2851119-6-404.2-0.00.000000000001001101234455678911141825.5+0.0130RockfordCleveland Monsters
Binghamton2921121-7-382.8-0.00.000000000000000110112234567912172926.929Binghamton Devils

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Charlotte 3 Bridgeport 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton+0.1
Lehigh Valley*+0.1
Providence*+0.1
Charlotte+6.9
+0.3
+1.0
Bridgeport-7.2
-0.2
-1.0
Wednesday
Charlotte vs BridgeportIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton91.791.1*91.391.190.9*91.6
6.96.96.96.96.96.8
Lehigh Valley85.885.085.184.884.8*85.5
8.88.98.98.98.98.8
Providence81.580.7*81.080.380.4*81.3
9.79.79.79.89.79.6
Charlotte69.167.567.560.660.855.3
1.21.31.20.70.70.5
12.312.412.413.413.414.3
Bridgeport36.941.941.849.149.350.8
0.20.30.20.50.40.5
16.716.016.014.914.914.8
Hershey*19.819.119.119.419.220.2
19.519.6*19.619.519.619.5
Springfield*10.29.89.5*10.09.610.3
21.821.921.9*21.821.921.8
Hartford*5.0*4.8*4.84.7*4.95.1
Iowa vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee70.068.768.968.868.870.0
12.612.812.812.812.812.7
Rockford*69.768.668.968.868.569.8
12.812.912.812.812.912.8
Tucson*14.314.214.3*14.3*14.314.3
Chicago54.559.559.667.166.668.1
0.2*0.3*0.30.60.60.6
15.114.314.313.113.213.1
Iowa60.058.758.651.651.746.2
0.40.30.3*0.2*0.20.1
14.314.414.415.415.416.3
Grand Rapids*42.441.540.940.641.542.5
16.917.017.117.117.016.9
San Jose vs StocktonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas86.7*86.285.985.886.186.4
10.0*10.110.110.210.110.1
San Antonio86.3*86.1*86.1*85.785.486.0
9.7*9.8*9.89.99.99.9
Tucson68.767.7*67.867.667.768.2
14.214.314.314.414.314.3
Stockton39.244.944.452.452.053.1
19.718.618.617.317.317.2
San Diego35.5*34.8*34.734.134.434.8
20.5*20.6*20.620.720.620.6
Ontario34.533.4*33.833.333.333.9
20.720.8*20.820.820.820.7
San Jose29.328.028.222.322.018.4
0.0*0.0*No*No*0.0No
21.721.821.822.922.923.8
Bakersfield19.719.0*19.118.719.019.3
23.323.423.4*23.423.423.3
Hartford23.823.823.8*23.8*23.823.7
Grand Rapids vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee63.668.167.974.874.975.7
0.50.7*0.81.21.11.1
13.712.912.911.811.811.7
Rockford69.568.668.9*69.469.170.0
12.712.912.812.912.812.8
Chicago*61.460.460.260.660.661.8
14.014.114.114.114.214.1
Iowa53.252.052.152.152.253.7
15.215.315.315.415.415.3
Grand Rapids49.047.747.739.939.935.3
16.016.116.117.217.218.0
Tucson vs San DiegoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas86.685.9*86.385.986.0*86.5
10.110.210.2*10.110.110.0
San Antonio86.385.885.685.485.6*86.0
9.99.99.9*9.99.99.7
Tucson74.673.773.766.866.961.8
13.113.213.214.514.515.5
Stockton46.545.845.645.345.6*46.4
18.418.518.518.518.518.3
San Diego28.332.932.940.440.341.5
0.0No*No*0.0No0.0
21.820.920.819.519.619.4
Ontario*34.233.633.533.333.5*34.2
20.720.820.820.820.820.7
Bakersfield*19.518.718.8*19.018.719.6
23.323.4*23.4*23.423.423.3
San Antonio vs OntarioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas86.9*86.3*86.285.985.886.2
10.110.210.210.110.210.0
San Antonio89.889.389.485.685.782.0
0.70.70.7*0.4*0.40.3
8.98.98.99.99.910.9
Milwaukee12.612.712.6*12.712.612.7
Tucson68.9*68.0*68.167.367.568.0
14.314.414.414.414.414.2
Stockton47.0*45.9*46.045.445.445.9
18.418.518.518.518.518.4
San Diego35.6*35.0*35.0*34.634.434.8
20.520.620.620.620.620.6
Ontario27.732.432.439.339.140.1
21.920.921.019.719.719.6
San Jose24.4*23.7*23.823.123.223.7
22.622.722.722.822.822.7
Bakersfield19.7*19.4*19.118.818.719.2
23.323.323.423.423.423.3
Cleveland vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba99.2*99.1*99.2*99.199.099.1
3.23.2*3.23.33.33.3
Milwaukee70.7*69.9*69.869.068.969.1
12.512.6*12.612.812.812.8
Rockford64.368.468.874.274.474.6
0.40.6*0.61.00.91.0
13.713.012.912.011.911.9
Chicago62.4*61.7*61.260.860.460.7
13.9*14.0*14.114.114.214.2
Iowa54.3*52.9*53.651.752.552.4
15.1*15.3*15.215.415.315.3
Grand Rapids43.4*42.6*42.241.741.241.4
16.9*16.9*17.017.017.017.0
San Jose22.722.722.8*22.7*22.722.6
Bakersfield23.423.423.3*23.3*23.323.3
Cleveland5.75.45.33.63.62.7
0.0*0.0*No*0.0No0.0
24.924.924.925.625.626.1
Binghamton26.926.926.926.9*26.926.8
Utica vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto99.2*99.299.2*99.3*99.399.4
29.0*28.6*28.3*27.927.527.7
4.34.44.44.54.54.5
Manitoba31.7*31.131.6*30.430.130.1
Rochester96.9*97.8*97.798.798.798.7
8.110.310.313.213.413.3
7.56.96.96.26.36.2
Syracuse95.996.095.9*96.1*96.196.4
7.4*7.2*7.0*6.9*6.97.0
7.98.08.18.28.18.0
W-B/Scranton10.3*9.9*10.09.69.79.7
Lehigh Valley4.5*4.4*4.4*4.2*4.34.2
8.88.88.98.88.88.8
Providence3.8*3.6*3.5*3.5*3.53.5
Utica72.872.472.666.967.162.8
0.50.40.40.20.20.2
14.414.514.515.415.416.1
Laval20.920.520.6*23.0*22.924.9
21.121.121.1*21.021.020.9
Belleville11.911.711.7*13.2*13.214.6
23.323.323.323.2*23.223.2
Binghamton2.42.52.4*2.8*2.83.1
Springfield vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton91.8*91.491.2*91.391.291.4
Lehigh Valley85.8*85.4*85.4*85.485.185.3
Providence81.5*81.180.8*81.180.781.2
Charlotte62.9*62.0*62.061.661.662.0
13.2*13.313.313.313.313.3
Bridgeport44.5*44.0*43.943.143.343.7
15.7*15.715.715.815.815.7
Ontario*20.720.820.7*20.820.720.7
Hershey15.318.418.823.623.924.2
20.419.719.718.718.718.6
Springfield13.012.713.09.29.47.1
21.021.121.122.022.022.7
Hartford5.1*4.9*5.0*4.84.74.9
23.723.8*23.8*23.8*23.823.7
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh ValleyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto28.127.627.6*28.0*28.228.7
Manitoba30.5*30.5*30.5*31.1*30.731.3
Rochester10.710.510.4*10.8*10.811.0
Syracuse7.1*7.0*7.26.8*7.27.3
W-B/Scranton93.993.693.7*91.291.289.1
12.512.312.19.19.17.4
6.06.26.27.17.17.7
Lehigh Valley81.984.885.088.588.688.9
2.93.84.05.85.65.7
9.79.19.18.08.07.9
Providence81.5*81.1*81.0*81.1*81.081.2
3.6*3.6*3.6*3.6*3.73.7
9.69.79.79.89.89.7
Charlotte62.861.8*62.1*62.061.562.2
*0.90.8*0.9*0.9*0.90.9
13.213.413.313.313.413.2
Bridgeport44.3*43.7*43.743.343.443.9
15.715.715.815.815.815.7
Hershey20.1*19.9*19.719.319.519.8
19.519.519.519.619.519.5
Springfield10.3*10.1*9.9*9.99.810.1
Belleville vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto28.9*28.4*28.5*27.8*28.027.8
4.3*4.4*4.44.54.54.5
Manitoba31.5*31.131.5*30.330.330.3
Rochester97.797.7*97.7*97.8*97.898.0
11.0*10.8*10.6*10.5*10.610.7
6.7*6.96.97.07.07.0
Syracuse94.8*96.0*96.197.497.397.5
5.16.76.79.39.19.0
8.68.08.07.47.47.4
W-B/Scranton10.3*10.0*10.0*9.79.69.8
Utica66.966.866.6*68.1*68.169.2
15.215.315.315.315.315.2
Laval22.621.922.1*22.4*22.523.1
21.021.121.121.121.021.0
Bakersfield23.423.423.4*23.323.323.3
Belleville16.115.815.712.512.310.0
22.522.522.523.323.424.0
Hartford23.823.8*23.8*23.8*23.823.7
Binghamton2.62.6*2.7*2.7*2.72.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.