Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPITuesday
San Antonio213105-11289.9%+0.16.9%-0.17811201351311390126000111111111108.3+0.016at BakersfieldSan Antonio Rampage
TorontoSyracuse243124-02087.5+0.414.6-0.11512105667244512331222211111000007.7+0.092Toronto Marlies
W-B/Scranton235112-12082.2-0.017.6-0.21810621163184206310532211111000008.2-0.031Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
ManitobaWLaval 5-2241115-21578.7+3.58.2+1.488756753464235313333222111100010.0+0.837LavalManitoba Moose
Texas17288-1-1573.6-0.01.6-0.0234111241312313013110011223333332113.221at ChicagoTexas Stars
Rochester20395-2-172.9+0.65.3-0.156636673456234622333332221111011.6+0.1026Rochester Americans
Stockton214104-11365.6+0.10.6-0.011381241211313013120011233444433215.1+0.045Stockton Heat
Lehigh Valley222105-2065.3-0.06.8-0.175428531943084208643322211110011.9-0.033Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Cleveland17574-3-365.1-0.64.2-0.045534652464246413444333222211112.9-0.0813Cleveland Monsters
Tucson19682-3964.0+0.10.7-0.011381241212312013110112233444433215.2+0.0218Tucson Roadrunners
LavalLManitoba 2-520197-2-563.6-4.22.9-1.134434562456235623334443332221113.6-0.9316at ManitobaLaval Rocket
RockfordChicago18397-0661.7-0.43.3-0.034434542464246423444433322221113.6-0.0510Rockford IceHogs
Iowa18386-2060.3-0.53.1-0.034434542464246423444443332221113.8-0.0517Iowa Wild
Charlotte202107-0657.1-0.14.3-0.144317431842084208654433222111013.5-0.014BellevilleCharlotte Checkers
Milwaukee16487-0257.1-0.82.7-0.134433542454246423444443333222114.5-0.1111Milwaukee Admirals
ProvidenceWHershey 4-118485-2855.8+4.84.3+0.844317431842084208754433222211013.7+0.8923Providence Bruins
Belleville17288-1-1153.9+0.91.8-0.022323452346235623344444433332115.5+0.0820at CharlotteBelleville Senators
BridgeportWSpringfield 2-118397-0851.8+4.93.4+0.733216431742084208755433322221114.5+0.918Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Grand Rapids18188-2249.8-0.61.6-0.022322442354236424455544433322115.8-0.0612Grand Rapids Griffins
Binghamton13468-1-444.5+0.81.1-0.011212342345234623344555444443217.3+0.0922Binghamton Devils
Utica13468-1-244.4+0.91.0-0.012212342345234623344555444443217.4+0.1015Utica Comets
HersheyLProvidence 1-418188-2-1239.2-5.71.7-0.722214321532074208866554433322116.7-1.029Hershey Bears
San JoseOntario13666-1-133.5-0.00.1+0.000020015012801210001123456789101121.5+0.0114San Jose Barracuda
Hartford17178-3-1333.5-0.31.1-0.011113220532063208776555444433217.8-0.0224Hartford Wolf Pack
Syracuseat Toronto11448-3-1233.3+0.70.5-0.001111231234123523345555555565419.5+0.0828Syracuse Crunch
San Diego15477-1-432.3-0.10.1-0.000020015012801210001123456789101121.719San Diego Gulls
Chicagoat Rockford9549-1-827.3-0.50.4+0.001111221133124313455555666666520.3-0.0229TexasChicago Wolves
Ontarioat San Jose9747-1-920.9-0.20.0+0.000010003001500170011223567810142024.127Ontario Reign
Bakersfield11558-1-1220.2+0.00.000010003001500170011223567911142024.2+0.0325San AntonioBakersfield Condors
SpringfieldLBridgeport 1-213612-1-914.9-3.60.2-0.100001110211032105555666666778621.9-0.8430Springfield Thunderbirds

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Manitoba 5 Laval 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.3
*-0.2
+0.1
Manitoba+3.4
+1.6
+0.8
Rochester+0.8
+0.1
Cleveland-0.6
-0.1
Laval-4.2
-1.1
-0.9
Rockford-0.5
-0.1
Iowa-0.6
-0.1
Milwaukee-0.5
-0.1
Belleville+0.8
+0.1
Grand Rapids-0.6
-0.1
Binghamton+0.8
+0.1
Utica+0.8
+0.1
Syracuse+0.8
+0.1
Chicago-0.5
-0.1
Providence 4 Hershey 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton*+0.1
*-0.1
Texas*+0.0
Lehigh Valley*+0.1
Providence+5.2
+0.9
+0.9
Belleville*+0.0
Hershey-5.4
-0.7
-1.0
Hartford*-0.0
Bakersfield*-0.0
Bridgeport 2 Springfield 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton*-0.1
*-0.1
-0.0
Manitoba*-0.0
Lehigh Valley-0.0
Charlotte-0.3
-0.0
Providence*-0.2
-0.0
Bridgeport+4.8
+0.7
+0.9
Grand Rapids*+0.0
Binghamton*-0.1
Hershey*-0.2
-0.0
Hartford-0.2
Syracuse*+0.0
San Diego+0.0
Chicago+0.0
Ontario+0.0
Springfield-3.7
-0.1
-0.9
Rockford vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford66.665.965.760.560.356.5
4.13.84.4*3.1*3.12.4
12.712.812.813.713.914.6
Milwaukee*57.0*56.656.0*56.6*56.757.4
14.514.5*14.6*14.5*14.514.4
Grand Rapids*49.748.5*49.1*48.8*49.450.1
15.9*16.015.915.915.915.8
Chicago22.925.926.030.930.931.4
0.3*0.4*0.4*0.4*0.50.5
21.320.620.519.519.519.5
Toronto vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto90.189.789.6*86.886.884.6
17.117.416.6*14.4*14.111.7
7.07.07.0*7.97.88.5
W-B/Scranton17.2*17.1*17.5*17.6*17.918.0
Laval64.0*64.0*63.3*62.7*63.063.2
13.613.6*13.713.713.713.6
Belleville54.2*53.5*53.8*53.552.9*53.7
15.515.6*15.5*15.515.615.5
Grand Rapids15.8*15.916.0*15.815.815.9
Binghamton44.9*44.0*44.8*43.543.644.3
17.3*17.4*17.3*17.517.417.3
Utica44.9*44.5*43.9*43.5*44.044.0
17.317.417.417.5*17.417.4
Syracuse28.731.932.237.537.637.5
0.3*0.4*0.4*0.60.70.7
20.419.719.618.618.618.6
San Jose vs OntarioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas*73.572.6*72.9*72.8*73.273.9
13.2*13.313.3*13.3*13.213.1
Utica*17.417.517.517.2*17.5*17.4
San Jose38.136.937.0*32.632.428.7
20.520.720.721.621.622.4
Ontario16.919.4*20.524.124.124.6
24.924.3*24.123.323.423.3
Tuesday
Charlotte vs BellevilleIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto87.9*87.6*87.9*87.686.887.0
7.6*7.7*7.67.77.87.8
W-B/Scranton81.8*81.9*81.9*81.9*82.582.7
8.28.3*8.28.2*8.18.1
Rochester73.7*73.3*73.9*72.5*72.372.1
11.511.611.5*11.7*11.711.7
Lehigh Valley64.864.563.6*65.3*65.166.0
12.0*12.012.1*11.9*11.911.8
Laval64.5*64.0*64.0*63.062.562.7
13.513.6*13.6*13.713.813.7
Charlotte61.561.461.3*57.056.252.3
5.45.55.8*4.23.93.2
12.712.712.7*13.613.714.5
Providence55.0*55.0*55.3*56.2*56.256.6
13.813.8*13.8*13.7*13.713.7
Belleville49.2*53.252.557.857.758.2
1.21.5*1.72.22.42.3
16.515.7*15.814.714.714.6
Bridgeport51.1*51.6*51.1*51.8*52.052.6
14.6*14.5*14.6*14.6*14.514.4
Binghamton45.5*44.2*45.0*43.8*43.843.7
17.3*17.4*17.3*17.417.417.4
Utica45.2*44.3*43.4*43.3*44.243.7
17.3*17.4*17.517.5*17.417.4
Hershey38.5*38.7*39.0*39.0*39.240.0
16.8*16.8*16.7*16.7*16.716.6
Hartford32.832.1*33.2*33.7*33.834.4
17.918.0*17.9*17.8*17.817.7
Syracuse34.1*33.3*33.431.9*32.632.6
19.4*19.5*19.5*19.619.619.5
Springfield14.5*14.8*14.5*15.1*15.015.4
21.9*21.9*22.022.0*21.921.9
Chicago vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio90.1*89.6*89.9*89.3*89.589.6
8.2*8.3*8.2*8.48.48.4
Manitoba78.2*78.6*78.4*78.6*78.779.2
10.0*10.0*10.1*10.0*10.09.9
Texas69.5*73.5*73.877.577.277.4
1.11.4*1.42.02.02.1
14.213.3*13.212.312.312.3
Stockton66.2*65.7*65.2*65.0*64.965.0
14.9*15.115.115.215.215.2
Cleveland64.4*65.0*64.8*65.0*65.665.9
12.9*12.9*12.9*12.9*12.812.8
Tucson64.8*63.5*64.462.8*63.763.4
15.1*15.3*15.215.415.415.3
Rockford61.160.9*61.0*61.3*61.662.4
13.6*13.7*13.713.7*13.613.5
Iowa59.7*59.959.0*60.2*60.560.9
13.9*13.813.9*13.9*13.813.8
Milwaukee56.556.2*56.6*57.3*56.857.8
14.514.6*14.5*14.5*14.514.4
Grand Rapids49.348.8*49.2*50.2*50.350.4
15.9*16.0*15.9*15.8*15.815.8
San Jose34.2*33.2*33.8*33.6*33.232.9
21.4*21.5*21.4*21.4*21.521.5
San Diego33.0*32.8*32.3*31.831.531.6
21.6*21.6*21.721.721.821.7
Chicago30.830.631.0*27.326.423.4
0.6*0.5*0.5*0.3*0.30.2
19.519.619.6*20.4*20.521.2
Ontario21.5*21.2*20.7*20.620.020.3
24.0*24.0*24.1*24.124.124.1
Bakersfield20.7*20.4*19.8*19.4*19.919.8
24.124.2*24.2*24.3*24.224.2
Manitoba vs LavalHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto87.9*87.7*87.2*87.486.987.1
7.6*7.7*7.87.77.87.8
Manitoba81.882.081.6*78.378.075.2
9.99.69.97.57.46.3
9.29.29.210.110.210.8
Rochester73.6*73.0*72.7*72.2*72.572.2
11.511.6*11.711.711.711.7
Cleveland64.6*64.6*65.0*65.7*65.465.7
12.913.012.912.912.812.8
Laval59.162.8*63.567.667.067.7
2.02.6*2.63.43.73.8
14.613.813.812.812.912.7
Rockford61.3*61.1*60.9*62.1*62.062.2
13.713.7*13.7*13.5*13.613.5
Iowa59.6*60.0*60.0*59.6*60.261.0
13.913.9*13.9*13.9*13.813.7
Milwaukee56.656.2*56.6*56.7*57.457.7
14.514.614.614.5*14.414.4
Belleville54.8*53.8*53.9*52.9*53.753.0
15.415.5*15.515.6*15.515.6
Grand Rapids49.2*49.2*48.7*50.4*49.450.5
15.9*15.916.0*15.815.915.8
Binghamton45.3*45.1*44.843.343.643.9
17.3*17.317.317.517.417.4
Utica45.3*44.6*44.1*44.643.543.6
17.3*17.417.5*17.317.517.5
Syracuse34.0*32.9*33.832.1*33.032.6
19.419.519.4*19.719.519.5
Chicago26.9*26.9*27.1*27.1*27.727.7
20.420.420.3*20.4*20.320.3
Bakersfield vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio87.5*89.7*89.791.991.992.0
5.2*6.5*6.68.38.38.3
9.18.4*8.47.67.57.6
W-B/Scranton17.9*17.5*17.716.7*17.417.4
Tucson*63.963.1*64.3*63.9*63.964.3
15.2*15.4*15.115.315.315.3
Bakersfield23.523.223.219.2*19.616.6
23.423.523.524.424.325.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.