Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
W-B/Scranton592288-34299.5%+0.045.0%-0.158228180200000002.11at HersheyWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Lehigh Valley5242510-23897.8+0.022.6-0.1322401161602000003.12Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Grand Rapids5142410-33797.8+0.011.7-0.0342411134713110000002.9-0.046at IowaGrand Rapids Griffins
Albany4622215-2791.8-0.01.3-0.0240125114171221104.3+0.0313SyracuseAlbany Devils
Chicago512313-52689.1+0.21.8-0.08121120618311222211005.2-0.0412Chicago Wolves
Syracuse4742010-71087.3-0.20.9-0.0232125115192332114.9+0.0314at AlbanySyracuse Crunch
MilwaukeeWCharlotte 3-04642112-4385.5+4.41.6+0.4891215918411233221105.6+0.4910at CharlotteMilwaukee Admirals
San Jose429199-43279.7+0.03.8-0.01515139125103753211005.1-0.019San Jose Barracuda
Providence5122210-71478.9+0.01.9-0.03015132223213421006.011Providence Bruins
Tucson429199-4-175.1-0.03.6-0.01311147144122964321005.55OntarioTucson Roadrunners
Ontario448198-6970.6+0.02.4+0.0910137144122975321106.04at TucsonOntario Reign
St. John'sLUtica 2-54321915-5-864.9-5.60.1-0.10101161192163797537.5-0.5020UticaSt. John's IceCaps
Stockton4071812-41457.6-0.00.7-0.046861151241197643217.4+0.013Stockton Heat
Bridgeport4051915-2-256.7-0.10.5-0.01071192254201054317.77Bridgeport Sound Tigers
San Diego3791712-3-153.3-0.00.8-0.0468611412311108653217.615San Diego Gulls
Hershey4731910-91852.1+0.00.4-0.01060161253241064317.9-0.018W-B/ScrantonHershey Bears
Cleveland3861714-4-652.0+0.30.1-0.01237412517468876539.018RockfordCleveland Monsters
Rochester3521721-1-2244.7-0.10.0+0.004091132154912121189.123Rochester Americans
Texas3951815-3-439.1+0.00.2-0.022438312416129765428.9+0.0116ManitobaTexas Stars
UticaWSt. John's 5-23831616-6-1837.9+5.90.0+0.0030711121449131313109.6+0.4826at St. John'sUtica Comets
Binghamton3531619-3-2436.8+0.10.0030711121449131414119.821Binghamton Senators
Toronto3341519-3036.5-0.00.0+0.0030711111439121314129.828Toronto Marlies
Iowa3911819-3-1332.0+0.10.00113273145791111109610.7+0.0127Grand RapidsIowa Wild
Manitoba3541517-5-2120.1-0.10.0000214210468111213141312.0+0.0230at TexasManitoba Moose
CharlotteLMilwaukee 0-33421621-2-2019.2-5.00.0-0.000021429358101214151212.0-0.5122MilwaukeeCharlotte Checkers
Bakersfield3381414-5-415.4-0.00.0-0.001123252791012131313811.6+0.0224Bakersfield Condors
Springfield3741515-7-1311.4+0.00.0-0.00000207114171314151510.9-0.0217Springfield Thunderbirds
San Antonio3621619-4-199.1-0.00.00000114281011111314141012.2+0.0319San Antonio Rampage
Rockford3221320-6-384.4+0.00.0000001031235812204414.4+0.0329at ClevelandRockford IceHogs
Hartford3221421-4-363.5-0.00.000000021691014213812.3-0.0225Hartford Wolf Pack

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
St. John's 2 Utica 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany-0.1
Syracuse-0.1
St. John's-5.6
-0.1
-0.5
Rochester-0.1
Utica+5.9
+0.5
Charlotte 0 Milwaukee 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.2
Lehigh Valley-0.1
Grand Rapids+0.1
Chicago+0.2
Milwaukee+4.4
+0.4
+0.5
Cleveland+0.3
Iowa+0.1
Manitoba-0.1
Charlotte-5.0
-0.5
Wednesday
Texas vs ManitobaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids97.998.0*98.0*97.8*97.897.6
Chicago89.589.8*89.388.588.788.6
Milwaukee86.1*85.9*85.8*85.484.984.9
San Jose79.0*79.3*79.5*80.380.380.4
Tucson74.374.474.2*75.875.975.8
Ontario69.869.969.671.871.471.4
6.16.16.16.06.06.0
Stockton56.556.856.759.358.658.7
7.47.47.47.37.47.3
San Diego52.552.152.2*53.953.954.2
7.77.77.77.67.67.6
Cleveland52.953.053.751.050.951.0
9.08.98.99.09.09.0
Texas44.243.744.333.934.334.0
0.30.3*0.30.10.10.1
8.48.58.59.49.49.4
Iowa32.932.633.1*31.5*31.531.1
10.610.710.610.710.710.7
Manitoba16.216.416.222.823.024.0
0.0No*No*0.0*0.00.0
12.412.412.411.611.611.5
Charlotte19.819.8*19.318.5*18.818.6
Bakersfield14.9*15.114.8*15.5*15.816.0
San Antonio8.78.7*8.7*9.59.89.6
Rockford4.6*4.6*4.6*4.5*4.44.2
St. John's vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse4.9*4.94.94.84.94.9
St. John's71.071.270.959.158.958.8
0.20.2*0.10.00.10.1
6.97.06.98.08.08.0
Utica31.731.731.242.943.444.3
10.110.110.29.39.29.1
Cleveland vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids97.6*97.6*97.7*97.9*97.997.9
Chicago88.7*88.7*88.889.689.589.5
5.25.25.25.15.15.1
Milwaukee85.085.0*85.486.286.285.9
5.65.65.65.55.55.5
Cleveland57.356.356.446.146.746.7
0.2*0.2*0.2*0.10.10.1
8.58.58.59.59.59.5
Iowa30.931.4*31.333.533.033.1
10.710.710.710.610.710.7
Manitoba19.219.418.821.020.920.9
Charlotte18.418.6*18.720.120.219.9
Rockford2.93.02.95.55.66.0
No*No*No*No*No0.0
14.714.714.714.214.214.1
Hershey vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton99.399.499.499.799.899.8
39.840.139.649.348.750.4
2.32.22.32.02.01.9
Lehigh Valley97.697.6*97.6*98.198.198.0
24.123.824.321.521.721.1
3.03.13.03.13.13.1
Grand Rapids12.913.113.211.010.910.6
Albany1.5*1.41.6*1.3*1.21.1
Chicago2.12.1*1.9*1.71.61.6
Syracuse1.01.1*1.1*0.8*0.90.8
Milwaukee1.81.8*1.8*1.4*1.51.4
San Jose4.24.34.23.33.53.4
Providence77.578.178.080.480.380.2
2.12.1*2.0*1.8*1.91.7
6.16.16.16.06.06.0
Tucson4.04.04.0*3.33.23.3
Ontario2.72.72.7*2.22.12.1
Stockton0.8*0.8*0.8*0.6*0.60.6
Bridgeport54.654.554.159.258.958.9
0.6*0.50.60.4*0.40.4
7.77.77.77.67.67.6
San Diego0.9*0.9*0.9*0.7*0.70.7
Hershey57.256.757.246.546.647.0
0.60.60.50.20.20.2
7.57.67.58.28.28.2
Springfield10.510.510.512.412.512.2
Hartford3.23.23.2*3.83.93.9
Tucson vs OntarioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose79.9*79.7*79.8*79.8*79.679.6
Tucson80.379.679.770.370.169.9
4.84.94.92.32.52.4
5.05.05.06.06.06.1
Ontario64.965.265.175.675.676.3
1.61.51.53.33.23.3
6.66.66.65.55.55.4
Iowa vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton46.246.046.3*44.444.343.8
Lehigh Valley23.4*23.1*23.3*22.121.821.9
Grand Rapids96.997.097.098.598.698.6
9.09.39.013.513.714.5
3.23.13.12.62.62.6
Albany1.4*1.4*1.4*1.2*1.31.2
Chicago88.588.6*88.889.789.689.7
1.9*2.0*1.9*1.7*1.91.8
Milwaukee84.885.0*85.486.286.086.1
San Jose3.9*3.9*3.9*3.7*3.83.7
Providence2.02.1*2.1*2.0*1.91.8
Tucson3.83.9*3.8*3.5*3.53.5
Ontario2.5*2.5*2.3*2.4*2.42.3
Cleveland50.7*51.5*51.353.353.153.2
Iowa37.135.935.527.427.227.0
10.210.310.311.211.211.2
Manitoba19.319.319.3*20.720.820.8
12.012.0*12.011.911.911.9
Charlotte18.518.6*18.6*19.720.019.9
12.112.1*12.112.012.012.0
Rockford4.24.1*4.2*4.6*4.74.7
Charlotte vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton45.3*45.3*45.1*44.9*45.044.8
Chicago88.9*88.9*88.8*89.2*89.189.2
5.15.15.15.25.25.2
Milwaukee81.882.182.288.288.789.2
1.11.11.02.02.12.1
6.06.06.05.25.15.1
Cleveland51.6*51.8*52.1*52.7*52.152.4
Iowa31.8*31.7*32.1*32.432.732.2
Charlotte23.722.822.414.914.914.8
11.511.611.612.512.512.5
Bakersfield11.611.611.7*11.611.611.6
San Antonio12.212.2*12.212.112.112.1
Albany vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany94.193.593.689.889.789.5
1.81.71.60.80.80.8
3.93.94.04.64.74.7
Syracuse84.484.584.689.689.890.3
0.60.50.61.11.21.3
5.35.35.34.54.54.4
St. John's65.1*65.3*65.3*64.4*64.664.8
7.47.47.4*7.57.57.5
Toronto36.7*37.0*36.6*36.1*36.536.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.