Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
2/15PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIFriday
W-B/Scranton7723711-358100.0%+0.064.5%-1.278018040000001.51at AlbanyWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Grand RapidsWManitoba 7-56743214-34799.9+0.28.2+2.04139682200000000002.0+0.165San AntonioGrand Rapids Griffins
San Jose60102811-44599.2-0.18.8-0.237281886220100000002.4-0.083at StocktonSan Jose Barracuda
Lehigh Valley6643215-23898.9+0.012.8-0.4180480260601000003.52HartfordLehigh Valley Phantoms
AlbanyWSyracuse 6-16012921-2298.2+1.30.1+0.006302309030100003.2+0.4812W-B/ScrantonAlbany Devils
San Diego5892713-42897.2-0.12.6-0.11514331413441210000003.5-0.086at BakersfieldSan Diego Gulls
Bridgeport6253016-2894.7-0.02.2-0.1302604302205000005.04at RochesterBridgeport Sound Tigers
Chicago6412917-63293.9+1.00.1-0.0281230102057221100004.9-0.0611at TexasChicago Wolves
MilwaukeeWSan Antonio 5-16132817-5192.4+4.80.1+0.0361121142368321100005.2+0.449CharlotteMilwaukee Admirals
SyracuseLAlbany 1-65932516-9286.5-3.20.0-0.00200300230131642105.5-0.4115Syracuse Crunch
OntarioWIowa 3-15782513-7782.4+5.60.2+0.1231262911145753210006.0+0.497TucsonOntario Reign
TorontoLUtica 2-55232422-41379.4-4.20.0-0.00110260250171963106.4-0.4322ManitobaToronto Marlies
Providence6532813-92576.6+0.00.3-0.0107022047022100006.810HersheyProvidence Bruins
Texas4972320-3-450.3-0.80.0-0.0012295211117107643208.6+0.0118ChicagoTexas Stars
BinghamtonWSt. John's 6-44732225-3-3243.0+7.80.002080140192151513939.2+0.5414Binghamton Senators
ClevelandLRockford 0-25252319-6-1041.4-4.00.0-0.0001438917101111985319.5-0.4220at RockfordCleveland Monsters
St. John'sLBinghamton 4-65312322-7-1640.3-8.00.0-0.002070130182161613939.3-0.5226St. John's IceCaps
Tucson47102117-5-2137.0-1.00.0-0.0012285137151311975219.3+0.0416at OntarioTucson Roadrunners
IowaLOntario 1-3572521-7-1034.8-4.20.0-0.00002277161012121196319.9-0.4119Iowa Wild
Charlotte4752223-3-1033.3+3.20.0+0.000032771591111111086210.2+0.1421at MilwaukeeCharlotte Checkers
Hershey6132514-111629.5-0.00.0-0.000105023059631108.58at ProvidenceHershey Bears
Rochester4242027-2-2626.8+0.40.0010308014115171815710.424BridgeportRochester Americans
UticaWToronto 5-24842021-8-1725.8+5.90.0010308014115181815710.4+0.4429at SpringfieldUtica Comets
Stockton43101919-5-217.5-0.50.000012365911131413129311.2+0.0913San JoseStockton Heat
Bakersfield4491919-6-611.1-0.50.0000012447101214151512411.9+0.1017San DiegoBakersfield Condors
San AntonioLMilwaukee 1-54722125-5-245.3-2.60.000000122681012151819712.7-0.3425at Grand RapidsSan Antonio Rampage
ManitobaLGrand Rapids 5-74441924-6-324.0-1.10.0-0.00000011324691318241913.6-0.3028at TorontoManitoba Moose
RockfordWCleveland 2-04711823-11-470.4+0.1No00000000011259206215.3+0.2130ClevelandRockford IceHogs
Hartford4141826-5-410.2+0.00.0000000002101218263112.5-0.0527at Lehigh ValleyHartford Wolf Pack
Springfield4341723-9-240.1+0.00.00000000016814244712.9-0.0423UticaSpringfield Thunderbirds

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Ontario 3 Iowa 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Diego-0.2
Chicago+0.6
Milwaukee+0.9
Ontario+5.2
+0.5
Texas-1.6
Cleveland+2.2
Tucson-1.3
Iowa-6.0
*No
-0.5
Charlotte+1.7
Stockton-0.9
Bakersfield-0.7
San Antonio-0.5
Manitoba+0.4
St. John's 4 Binghamton 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton+7.7
+0.5
St. John's-8.4
-0.5
Rochester+0.4
Utica+0.3
Rockford 2 Cleveland 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago+0.6
Milwaukee+0.8
Cleveland-5.8
-0.5
Iowa+2.0
+0.1
Charlotte+1.7
Manitoba+0.5
Rockford+0.2
+0.1
Milwaukee 5 San Antonio 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago-0.3
-0.1
Milwaukee+3.3
+0.4
Ontario+0.2
Texas+0.7
Cleveland-0.8
Tucson+0.4
Iowa-0.9
Charlotte-0.9
Stockton+0.5
Bakersfield+0.3
San Antonio-2.2
-0.4
Manitoba-0.3
Utica 5 Toronto 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany+0.1
Syracuse-0.3
+0.1
Toronto-4.5
-0.5
Utica+5.2
+0.4
Hartford*No
Albany 6 Syracuse 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany+1.3
+0.4
Syracuse-2.9
-0.5
Toronto+0.3
Binghamton+0.4
St. John's+0.4
Rochester+0.3
Utica+0.3
Grand Rapids 7 Manitoba 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-1.2
Grand Rapids+0.2
+2.0
+0.2
San Jose-0.2
Lehigh Valley-0.3
Milwaukee+0.3
Cleveland+0.4
Iowa+0.4
Charlotte+0.4
San Antonio*No
Manitoba-1.7
-0.4
Friday
Providence vs HersheyIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence84.484.184.169.669.668.8
0.40.30.30.10.10.1
6.46.56.57.17.17.1
Hershey21.021.321.337.237.238.1
8.78.78.78.28.28.2
Ontario vs TucsonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Ontario88.087.587.577.577.576.6
0.30.20.20.10.10.1
5.55.55.56.46.46.5
Texas51.751.751.748.948.949.0
Tucson29.429.929.843.843.844.7
9.89.89.88.78.78.7
Texas vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago92.092.092.095.795.795.8
0.10.10.10.20.20.2
5.35.35.34.64.64.6
Texas56.155.655.744.644.744.6
8.18.28.29.09.09.0
Tucson35.135.235.138.938.938.9
9.39.39.39.29.29.2
Rochester vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport93.293.293.296.296.296.2
1.41.41.43.03.03.0
5.25.25.24.84.84.8
Binghamton41.741.941.944.444.444.4
9.39.39.39.19.19.1
St. John's39.039.239.141.641.641.6
9.49.49.49.39.39.3
Rochester32.030.930.921.721.721.7
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
10.010.110.110.810.810.8
Milwaukee vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee95.494.994.989.889.889.4
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
4.84.94.95.65.65.6
Cleveland42.842.942.940.240.140.0
Iowa36.236.436.433.633.633.3
9.99.89.89.99.99.9
Charlotte27.027.127.238.738.739.6
0.00.0No0.00.00.0
10.710.710.79.79.79.6
Toronto vs ManitobaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto84.083.483.574.974.974.8
5.96.06.06.86.86.8
Manitoba2.62.62.65.15.05.4
NoNo*No*NoNo0.0
13.913.913.913.313.313.2
Rockford vs ClevelandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Cleveland35.735.735.746.546.447.2
10.010.010.09.09.19.0
Iowa36.836.836.833.333.332.7
9.89.89.89.99.910.0
Charlotte35.335.335.331.431.431.3
10.110.110.110.210.210.2
Springfield vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton44.344.344.342.042.041.7
9.29.19.19.29.29.2
St. John's41.641.641.539.139.139.0
9.39.39.39.49.49.4
Utica20.620.620.629.929.831.2
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
10.810.810.810.010.09.9
Springfield12.712.812.813.213.213.2
Stockton vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton66.166.166.162.962.962.9
San Jose98.898.998.999.699.699.6
6.16.16.111.511.511.6
2.62.62.62.12.12.1
Texas48.949.249.251.751.651.6
Stockton21.921.421.413.213.213.2
0.00.00.0NoNo0.0
10.710.710.711.711.711.7
Bakersfield vs San DiegoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Diego96.096.196.198.398.398.4
1.51.51.53.63.63.7
3.83.83.83.23.23.2
Bakersfield14.413.813.87.87.87.8
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
11.411.411.412.312.312.3
Grand Rapids vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton62.963.863.766.065.966.0
Grand Rapids10.79.79.75.85.85.8
1.91.91.92.22.22.2
San Antonio3.63.63.66.76.77.0
No*No*No*No*No0.0
13.113.113.112.412.412.3
Albany vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton58.858.958.969.769.770.2
1.61.61.61.41.41.4
Grand Rapids9.69.69.67.17.26.7
San Jose10.210.310.27.47.47.4
Lehigh Valley14.514.514.411.311.311.2
3.43.43.43.53.53.5
Albany99.098.998.997.497.497.4
0.10.10.10.00.00.0
2.92.92.93.43.43.4
Manitoba0.0*0.0*0.0*0.0No*0.0
Lehigh Valley vs HartfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton62.763.163.166.366.266.2
1.61.61.61.51.51.5
Lehigh Valley99.499.399.398.598.598.5
15.815.315.39.99.99.9
3.33.33.33.73.73.7
Hartford0.10.10.10.30.30.3
No*No*No*No*No0.0
12.712.712.712.312.312.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.