| Week of 4/14 |
| Palmeiras 1 Sport Recife 1 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sport Recife | +0.5 | | -0.0 | |
| Palmeiras | -4.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Colo-Colo | *-0.1 | | | |
| LDU | +3.9 | | | |
|
| Week of 4/21 |
| Sport Recife 2 Colo-Colo 1 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sport Recife | In | | +0.8 | |
| Palmeiras | +0.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Colo-Colo | -23.9 | | -0.7 | |
| LDU | Out | | -0.1 | |
|
| Palmeiras 2 LDU 0 |
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sport Recife | +1.8 | | -0.0 | |
| Palmeiras | +26.9 | | +0.7 | |
| Colo-Colo | -4.3 | | -0.0 | |
| LDU | -24.3 | | -0.7 | |
|
| Week of 4/28 |
| Colo-Colo 0 Palmeiras 1 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sport Recife | | | -0.1 | |
| Palmeiras | In | | +1.0 | |
| Colo-Colo | Out | | -0.9 | |
| LDU | | | +0.0 | |
|
| LDU 2 Sport Recife 3 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sport Recife | | | +0.3 | |
| Palmeiras | | | -0.0 | |
| Colo-Colo | | | -0.1 | |
| LDU | | | -0.2 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.