SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 5/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
CHN 0 KOR 3 +10.8
-2.8
+1.2
USA 3 ITA 0 -0.2
-0.2
GER 1 JAP 3 +0.2
+0.2
DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot)*-0.1
-0.1
TUR 3 POL 0 -0.1
BRA 3 SRB 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
KOR vs GER+12.0+8.6-8.4-12.1
-1.7-1.4+1.0+1.8
+1.3+0.9-0.9-1.3
ITA vs RUS+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.5
+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
CHN vs POL-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
JAP vs USA+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
THA vs SRB+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
ARG vs DOM+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
BEL vs NED-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
TUR vs BRA+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the KOR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
4112-00-0In1000No2,123,309
4011-10-0In1000No293,485
3910-20-0In1000No919,551*
3810-10-1In10000No2,822,973*
3710-11-0In9910No6,999,404*
369-21-0In97300No15,214,878*
359-11-1In95500No31,482,343*
348-21-1In9010000No58,536,501*
338-22-0In82171000No100,722,926*
328-12-1100.0%712630000No165,356,351*
317-22-1100.05635810000No251,737,551*
307-12-2100.040411630000No361,842,776*
297-13-1100.02440269200000No497,913,975*
286-23-1100.0173632132000No362,285,944*
5-32-299.6623352592000000No281,845,297*
276-13-297.91826342182000000No421,956,874*
5-33-1100.0930361951000No372,252,739*
266-14-190.6031327291872000000No446,729,047*
5-23-298.331326292082000No492,481,849*
255-24-175.10151627271762000000No658,408,058*
4-33-294.2161526291751000No392,048,317*
245-14-236.8000210253121821000000.0%680,668,211*
4-34-188.8027213325920000No444,292,467*
235-15-119.60004163131153000No315,988,479
4-24-245.900281521231992000No503,423,652*
5-04-38.800027172626165100000.0336,233,992*
224-25-115.8000241023312271000No681,774,923*
4-14-30.30000314293016510000.0443,174,746*
214-15-20.0000162033271120000.0307,104,892
3-24-30.0000151628271661000.0391,973,049*
3-35-18.0000126193228112000No351,402,819*
204-16-11.60000015121622241441000.0386,569,920*
3-25-20.000017192926144100.1552,577,408*
193-26-10.3000000137193226102000.0421,942,170*
3-15-30.00000313283218510.6372,211,010*
183-16-2Out000151833291222.1370,007,976*
4-07-10.100000131123272111300.3274,116,998*
173-17-10.0000000251226321944.5497,937,449*
162-27-10.000000161832311211.7361,852,876*
152-17-2Out000002925392424.4251,748,600*
142-18-1Out0001316413939.2165,346,316*
132-08-2Out000019355454.4100,748,580*
121-18-2Out0004267069.958,540,691*
111-19-1Out0001188180.731,498,729*
101-09-2Out00118888.215,217,659*
91-010-1Out0069494.17,003,840*
80-110-1Out039796.72,817,349*
70-010-2Out029898.3919,335*
60-011-1Out19999.5294,031
50-012-0Out0010099.62,123,237
Total:43.7%67788777766655432.6%13,253,485,552

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)