"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 5/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ARG 0 THA 3 -7.5
+6.5
-1.2
USA 3 ITA 0 -0.2
-0.4
GER 1 JAP 3 +0.2
+0.4
TUR 3 POL 0 -0.1
-0.3
DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot)*-0.1
-0.2
CHN 0 KOR 3 +0.2
BRA 3 SRB 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ARG vs DOM+5.5+3.3-4.0-5.3
-8.5-6.7+5.7+8.8
+1.1+0.7-0.8-1.1
ITA vs RUS+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
+1.1+0.9-0.7-1.1
CHN vs POL-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6-0.3+0.5+0.5
JAP vs USA+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.2-0.5
KOR vs GER-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.4+0.4
THA vs SRB+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.3-0.6
BEL vs NED-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
TUR vs BRA-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ARG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
3612-00-0In9640No2,123,574
3511-10-0In9460No293,292
3410-20-0In881200No919,214*
3310-10-1In8019100No2,821,051*
3210-11-0In69274000No6,996,325*
319-21-0100.0%533791000No15,227,582*
309-11-1100.037421730000No31,486,524*
298-21-1100.022402792000No58,570,326*
288-22-099.810293419610000No100,736,182*
278-12-198.5417302815510000No165,380,300*
267-22-193.417182825145100000No251,728,075*
257-12-279.1027182725145100000No361,839,761*
247-13-152.0002717252415621000000.0%497,928,098*
236-23-112.6000210212623124100000.0382,062,953*
7-14-037.4001511202723102000No262,049,714*
225-33-115.1000131024322171000No311,394,879*
6-13-21.40001616282714510000.0482,802,114*
216-14-10.0000151527261772000.0451,323,112*
5-23-23.1000012817232417610000.0487,876,682*
205-24-11.0000001481424271751000.0384,445,991*
4-33-20.000021026342161000.0313,535,279*
5-13-30.00001620332711200.3352,446,161*
195-14-20.000002921292512200.2511,491,430*
5-25-00.4000000137183126102000.0238,650,165*
4-23-3Out000210253221811.3374,784,580*
185-15-1Out000041530311633.3659,253,024*
4-24-20.000000002616252718610.6496,426,635*
174-25-10.0000000151430321522.2680,686,689*
4-14-3Out00021334371413.6444,272,407*
164-15-20.00000000161833311110.9654,750,060*
3-24-3Out0001726422524.7395,680,893*
154-16-1Out0000422452828.3263,321,952
3-25-2Out0000031127382020.3361,758,277*
4-05-3Out000213414443.9314,036,203*
143-26-1Out000001418443433.9433,633,660*
3-15-3Out0005336161.1360,533,206*
133-16-2Out0003286868.5394,339,909*
2-36-1Out0000211365251.6249,784,382*
123-17-1Out000003227675.5497,992,069*
112-27-1Out0001148584.9361,887,341*
102-17-2Out000089191.5251,735,154*
92-18-1Out00049695.6165,345,398*
82-08-2Out0029897.8100,732,488*
71-18-2Out0019999.058,552,473*
61-19-1Out0010099.631,473,948*
51-09-2Out0010099.815,217,586*
41-010-1Out010099.97,000,374*
30-110-1Out0100100.02,822,192*
20-010-2Out0100100.0919,060*
0-1Out100Yes2,416,808*
Total:10.4%0112234456781012142019.7%13,253,485,552

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs