"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
| 100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||
| Chance will win title | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| G | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | GD | % | Change | 1 | 2 | Avg. | Change | RPI | |||
| Caruana | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | % | 50 | 50 | 1.5 | 1 | Fabiano Caruana | ||||
| Carlsen | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 50 | 50 | 1.5 | 1 | Magnus Carlsen | |||||
White is the "home team" and I need to work out the tiebreakers still.
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Friday, 11/9 | ||||
| Caruana vs CarlsenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | |
| Caruana | 65.5*50.034.5 | 1.3*1.51.7 | ||
| Carlsen | 34.5*50.065.5 | 1.7*1.51.3 | ||
| Saturday, 11/10 | ||||
| Carlsen vs CaruanaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | |
| Caruana | 34.5*50.065.5 | 1.7*1.51.3 | ||
| Carlsen | 65.5*50.034.5 | 1.3*1.51.7 | ||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
