China Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Lost to KOR 0-3, playoff odds down 11.7 to 47.5% 6 points 2-0 1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | CHN 0 KOR 3 | -11.5 | | +1.0 | | -1.2 | | GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | USA 3 ITA 0 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot) | *-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | CHN vs POL | +12.2+8.3-8.4-12.1 | | -1.4-1.2+0.8+1.5 | | +1.2+0.9-0.9-1.3 | | ITA vs RUS | +0.5+0.4-0.3-0.5 | | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | | JAP vs USA | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | THA vs SRB | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | KOR vs GER | -0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | | BEL vs NED | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | ARG vs DOM | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | TUR vs BRA | +0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the CHN finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,123,430 | | 41 | | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 293,645 | | 40 | | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 920,245 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,819,994 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,004,931 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,224,768 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,484,104 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,554,135 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,747,425 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 165,328,459 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 63 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 251,747,627 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 47 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 361,878,489 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 31 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 497,939,326 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 23 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 362,335,591 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | 9 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 281,804,418 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 98.5 | | 2 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 433,649,474 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 13 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 360,583,017 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 92.5 | | 1 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 386,363,603 | * | | 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 99.2 | | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 288,791,059 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 99.8 | | 7 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 264,017,650 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 97.2 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 307,097,113 | | | 5 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | 85.5 | | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | No | 743,350,631 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 56.5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 680,702,029 | * | | 4 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 93.3 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 444,253,925 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 25.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 514,023,069 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 40.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 378,619,553 | * | | 4 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 76.8 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 263,002,282 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 25.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 681,786,117 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | 1.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 443,190,230 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 699,055,419 | * | | 3 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 11.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 351,384,747 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 263,356,145 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 1.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 411,752,265 | * | | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | | 263,984,442 | * | 20 | | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 433,616,769 | * | | 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0.4 | | 360,542,610 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0.7 | | 644,132,111 | * | 18 | | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 2.7 | | 497,923,435 | * | 17 | | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 7.9 | | 361,871,656 | * | 16 | | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 18.0 | | 251,719,768 | * | 15 | | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 33 | 32.6 | | 165,358,242 | * | 14 | | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 48.4 | | 100,723,988 | * | 13 | | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | 64.4 | | 58,555,172 | * | 12 | | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 77.4 | | 31,489,463 | * | 11 | | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 86.1 | | 15,220,736 | * | 10 | | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 92.7 | | 7,001,488 | * | 9 | | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 96.1 | | 2,823,264 | * | 8 | | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 98.0 | | 921,531 | * | 7 | | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.4 | | 292,400 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | | 2,123,562 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 47.5 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2.1 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |