United States Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat ITA 3-0, playoff odds up 11.4 to 51%
7 points 2-0 0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| USA 3 ITA 0 | +11.3 | -2.4 | +1.2 | |||
| GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.3 | +0.1 | ||||
| DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot) | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| CHN 0 KOR 3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| TUR 3 POL 0 | *-0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| BRA 3 SRB 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| JAP vs USA | -12.1-8.8+8.5+12.2 | +1.3+0.8-1.0-1.2 | -1.2-0.9+0.9+1.2 | |||
| ITA vs RUS | +0.5+0.4-0.3-0.5 | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| CHN vs POL | -0.3-0.1+0.1+0.3 | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| THA vs SRB | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| KOR vs GER | -0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| BEL vs NED | -0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| ARG vs DOM | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0 | ||||
| TUR vs BRA | +0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the USA finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 2,123,450 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 292,188 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 919,797 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,820,523 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 6,994,003 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 15,215,957 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,486,901 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,543,214 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 87 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 100,730,935 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,353,324 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 251,736,991 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 53 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 361,859,504 | * | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 38 | 41 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 497,956,814 | * | ||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 31 | 44 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 362,307,505 | * | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 281,822,333 | * | ||||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 98.7 | 3 | 19 | 35 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 433,649,189 | * | |||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 360,536,930 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 527,349,919 | * | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 93.7 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 411,786,768 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 99.2 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 307,101,144 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | 76.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 351,302,256 | * | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | 99.4 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 392,003,636 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 67.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 657,347,839 | * | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 96.0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 467,601,696 | * | ||||||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 38.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 513,990,434 | * | ||||
| 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 71.1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 641,661,489 | * | |||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 39.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 307,103,561 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 443,162,028 | * | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 47.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 374,667,628 | * | ||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 699,139,606 | * | ||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 351,357,174 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 386,598,154 | * | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 552,611,621 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 329,162,503 | * | ||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 465,039,142 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 358,333,344 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 285,773,664 | * | |||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 1.9 | 497,892,993 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 5.4 | 361,860,973 | * | ||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 12.9 | 251,746,456 | * | ||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 41 | 25 | 25.5 | 165,363,500 | * | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 41 | 41.1 | 100,743,853 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 57 | 56.9 | 58,564,126 | * | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 71.2 | 31,493,594 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 82.1 | 15,220,756 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 89.6 | 6,997,664 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 94.4 | 2,821,924 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 97.1 | 920,334 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 99 | 98.8 | 292,993 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.4 | 2,123,222 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 51.0 | % | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
