SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
NED93-00-0870.4%+11.420141198765443321104.9+1.160.5%-0.81Netherlands
TUR82-10-0767.2+11.5181311108766544322115.3+1.180.6-1.01Turkey
USA72-00-1451.0+11.499988877765544326.9+1.251.7-2.38United States
SRB62-01-0447.7-11.588888877766554327.2-1.142.1+0.83Serbia
CHN62-01-0347.5-11.788888877766554327.2-1.162.1+0.86China
BRA62-01-0247.2+10.988888877766554327.3+1.232.2-2.58Brazil
RUS62-01-0147.0-11.778888877766554327.3-1.182.2+0.96Russia
BEL51-11-0143.7+7.467788777766655437.6+0.882.6-2.25Belgium
KOR51-11-0143.7+10.667788777766655437.6+1.232.6-2.93Korea
THA31-02-0-225.4+7.623455667778888879.7+1.167.3-6.310Thailand
JAP31-02-0-325.2+7.423455667778888879.8+1.137.5-6.010Japan
GER31-02-0-325.2-11.023455667778888879.8-1.247.5+2.612Germany
POL20-12-0-422.5-10.7234455677788899910.1-1.268.6+3.112Poland
DOM20-01-2-514.0-6.21123344566791011131511.4-0.8715.4+3.714Dominican Republic
ITA10-02-1-712.1-8.01122344566781011141711.7-1.1917.5+5.714Italy
ARG00-03-0-710.4-7.50112234456781012142012.0-1.1619.7+6.314Argentina

This does not factor in the fact that China autmatically advances as the host of the final round. Due to site limitations this uses game diferential instead of game ratio for a tie breaker and uses drawn lots in place of any further tie breakers.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday, 5/17
RUS 0 NED 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NED+11.5
-0.8
+1.2
RUS-11.6
+0.9
-1.2
BRA 3 SRB 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SRB-11.6
+0.9
-1.2
BRA+11.3
-2.5
+1.3
THA+0.2
JAP+0.2
DOM+0.2
ITA+0.2
ARG+0.2
TUR 3 POL 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
TUR+11.6
-1.0
+1.2
THA-0.3
JAP-0.3
POL-10.7
+3.0
-1.2
DOM-0.2
ITA-0.2
ARG-0.3
USA 3 ITA 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NED-0.3
TUR-0.3
USA+11.3
-2.4
+1.2
SRB-0.2
CHN-0.2
BRA-0.2
-0.2
RUS-0.3
BEL-0.2
-0.2
KOR-0.2
-0.2
THA-0.2
-0.4
JAP-0.2
-0.4
GER-0.2
-0.2
POL-0.2
-0.2
DOM-0.2
-0.4
ITA-8.2
+5.4
-1.2
ARG-0.2
-0.4
CHN 0 KOR 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
CHN-11.5
+1.0
-1.2
KOR+10.8
-2.8
+1.2
THA+0.2
JAP+0.3
DOM+0.3
ITA+0.2
ARG+0.2
GER 1 JAP 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NED+0.2
TUR+0.2
USA+0.3
SRB+0.2
CHN+0.2
BRA+0.2
+0.2
RUS+0.2
BEL+0.2
+0.2
KOR+0.2
+0.2
THA+0.2
+0.4
JAP+7.8
-5.7
+1.2
GER-10.8
+3.0
-1.2
POL+0.2
+0.2
DOM+0.2
+0.4
ITA+0.2
+0.4
ARG+0.2
+0.4
ARG 0 THA 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
THA+7.7
-6.2
+1.2
ARG-7.5
+6.5
-1.2
DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
USA-0.2
CHN*-0.1
RUS-0.2
BEL+7.4
-2.2
+0.9
THA-0.2
JAP-0.2
DOM-6.2
+3.6
-0.9
ITA-0.1
ARG-0.2
Tuesday, 5/22
TUR vs BRAIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
TUR78.275.359.855.8
0.20.20.81.1
4.24.56.06.4
BRA35.038.755.659.6
3.63.01.10.8
8.58.16.46.0
THA vs SRBHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SRB35.439.356.059.9
3.73.01.00.7
8.58.16.36.0
THA35.531.818.315.6
3.64.49.611.1
8.58.910.611.0
ARG20.220.219.519.2
JAP vs USAHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
USA38.942.259.563.1
3.02.50.70.6
8.17.86.05.7
JAP35.231.618.015.4
3.74.59.811.4
8.58.910.611.0
ITA17.817.817.217.0
ARG20.220.119.519.2
BEL vs NEDHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NED59.563.278.081.0
0.80.60.20.1
6.05.74.23.9
BEL55.852.335.131.6
1.11.33.64.3
6.46.78.58.9
CHN vs POLHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
CHN59.655.839.035.3
0.71.03.03.7
6.06.48.18.5
POL13.415.629.031.9
12.911.35.24.4
11.311.09.28.9
ITA16.817.118.018.0
ARG19.219.520.220.2
KOR vs GERHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
KOR55.752.335.231.6
1.01.23.64.5
6.46.78.58.9
GER15.418.031.635.2
11.49.84.53.7
11.010.68.98.5
ITA vs RUSHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NED70.770.770.169.9
TUR67.667.566.966.7
USA51.551.450.650.5
1.91.91.61.6
SRB48.148.047.447.2
2.32.32.02.0
CHN47.947.847.247.0
2.32.32.02.0
BRA47.747.646.946.7
2.42.32.12.0
RUS35.238.955.258.9
3.83.00.90.7
8.58.16.46.1
BEL44.144.043.443.2
2.82.82.52.4
KOR44.144.143.443.2
2.82.82.52.4
THA25.825.725.225.0
7.77.67.06.8
JAP25.525.524.924.8
7.97.97.16.9
GER25.525.524.924.8
7.97.97.16.9
POL22.822.822.422.2
9.29.18.17.9
DOM14.214.213.813.7
16.316.214.814.4
ITA18.515.87.46.1
10.512.322.124.6
10.711.012.512.8
ARG10.610.610.310.2
20.820.619.018.6
ARG vs DOMHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
DOM7.68.718.220.7
22.920.99.68.0
12.612.310.610.3
ARG16.013.86.45.2
11.313.125.428.6
11.011.312.813.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Dan for adding this league.

Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)