Serbia Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to BRA 1-3, playoff odds down 11.5 to 47.7%
6 points 2-0 1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BRA 3 SRB 1 | -11.6 | +0.9 | -1.2 | |||
| GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| USA 3 ITA 0 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| TUR 3 POL 0 | *-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| THA vs SRB | -12.2-8.4+8.4+12.2 | +1.5+0.8-1.2-1.4 | -1.3-0.9+0.9+1.2 | |||
| ITA vs RUS | +0.5+0.4-0.3-0.5 | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| CHN vs POL | -0.3-0.1+0.2+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| JAP vs USA | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| KOR vs GER | -0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| BEL vs NED | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| ARG vs DOM | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| TUR vs BRA | +0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the SRB finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 2,123,943 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 293,585 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 920,640 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 2,823,057 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,002,593 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 15,215,310 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,489,210 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,555,666 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 100,744,833 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,361,231 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 64 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 251,753,429 | * | |||||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 48 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 361,883,058 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 32 | 41 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 497,894,567 | * | ||||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 370,944,210 | * | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 273,199,755 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 97.5 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 232,367,353 | * | ||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 561,779,310 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 99.3 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 263,355,102 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 92.3 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 366,524,012 | * | |||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 6 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 309,301,910 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 97.4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 307,094,316 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | 98.3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 232,030,992 | * | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | 80.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 511,257,047 | * | ||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 57.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 680,715,991 | * | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 93.5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 444,257,653 | * | ||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 514,007,408 | * | ||||
| 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 56.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 641,646,593 | * | ||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 26.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 680,647,698 | * | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 444,294,351 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 699,082,937 | * | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 351,362,759 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 386,566,080 | * | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 552,619,560 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 433,623,710 | * | ||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0.4 | 360,554,327 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1.2 | 370,021,564 | * | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 274,130,414 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 2.7 | 497,931,644 | * | |||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 7.7 | 361,858,776 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 17.8 | 251,728,374 | * | |||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 32 | 32.4 | 165,370,366 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 48.4 | 100,735,730 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 64.6 | 58,558,543 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 77.7 | 31,484,529 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 87 | 86.5 | 15,218,499 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 93.1 | 6,997,938 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 96.6 | 2,818,120 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 98.3 | 919,483 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 99.5 | 293,809 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 2,123,567 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 47.7 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2.1 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
