Brazil Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Beat SRB 3-1, playoff odds up 10.9 to 47.2% 6 points 2-0 1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | BRA 3 SRB 1 | +11.3 | | -2.5 | | +1.3 | | USA 3 ITA 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot) | *-0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | CHN 0 KOR 3 | | | +0.1 | | | | TUR 3 POL 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | TUR vs BRA | -12.3-8.5+8.3+12.4 | | +1.5+0.8-1.1-1.3 | | -1.3-0.9+0.9+1.3 | | ITA vs RUS | +0.5+0.4-0.3-0.5 | | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | | CHN vs POL | -0.3-0.1+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | | | JAP vs USA | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | THA vs SRB | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | KOR vs GER | -0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | | | BEL vs NED | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | ARG vs DOM | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the BRA finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,123,120 | | 41 | | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 293,409 | | 40 | | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 920,068 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,822,618 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,002,054 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,218,874 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,487,875 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,550,635 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,745,043 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 165,341,130 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 63 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 251,720,439 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 47 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 361,845,985 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 31 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 497,919,478 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 23 | 42 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 370,921,800 | * | | 7 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 99.7 | | 8 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 273,211,186 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 97.4 | | 2 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 232,360,774 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 9 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 561,805,236 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 92.5 | | 1 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 386,595,087 | * | | 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 99.5 | | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 552,569,039 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 83.3 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 658,460,996 | * | | 4 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | 97.6 | | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 391,990,960 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 55.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 680,673,931 | * | | 4 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 93.0 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 444,275,232 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 24.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 514,022,788 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 54.4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 641,654,119 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 19.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 442,640,073 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 443,227,547 | * | | 3 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 36.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 239,137,869 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | No | 461,811,207 | * | | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 237,256,144 | * | | 3 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 11.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 351,372,441 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | 2.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 386,571,002 | * | | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 552,564,171 | * | 20 | | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 433,665,345 | * | | 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0.4 | | 360,543,312 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | | 382,057,070 | * | | 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1.7 | | 262,068,560 | * | 18 | | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 2.8 | | 497,912,278 | * | 17 | | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 8.0 | | 361,881,544 | * | 16 | | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 18 | 18.4 | | 251,748,765 | * | 15 | | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 33 | 33.2 | | 165,353,583 | * | 14 | | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 49 | 49.1 | | 100,734,428 | * | 13 | | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 65 | 65.3 | | 58,548,986 | * | 12 | | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 78.2 | | 31,485,764 | * | 11 | | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 87 | 86.8 | | 15,215,272 | * | 10 | | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 93.3 | | 7,001,538 | * | 9 | | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 96.7 | | 2,819,854 | * | 8 | | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 98.3 | | 920,651 | * | 7 | | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | | 293,403 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | | 2,122,869 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 47.2 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2.2 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |