Netherlands Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat RUS 3-0, playoff odds up 11.4 to 70.4%
9 points 3-0 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| RUS 0 NED 3 | +11.5 | -0.8 | +1.2 | |||
| USA 3 ITA 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot) | *-0.1 | |||||
| TUR 3 POL 0 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BEL vs NED | -10.8-7.2+7.7+10.6 | +0.4+0.2-0.3-0.3 | -1.1-0.7+0.8+1.1 | |||
| ITA vs RUS | +0.4+0.3-0.3-0.4 | |||||
| CHN vs POL | -0.2-0.1+0.1+0.2 | |||||
| THA vs SRB | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| JAP vs USA | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| KOR vs GER | -0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| ARG vs DOM | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| TUR vs BRA | +0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NED finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 44 | -45 | In | 100 | No | 2,416,889 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 922,015 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 2,821,707 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,000,896 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | No | 15,215,688 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,484,891 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,547,885 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 100,725,365 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,354,763 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 251,747,747 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 361,865,581 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 77 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 497,897,124 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 64 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 644,106,473 | * | |||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 36 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 433,629,877 | * | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 63 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 360,527,091 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 440,973,289 | * | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 40 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 498,210,295 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 12 | 31 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 654,771,804 | * | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 26 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 395,681,572 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 99.8 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 461,791,088 | * | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 444,279,423 | * | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | 94.6 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 218,902,380 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 99.3 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 316,022,821 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 99.6 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 496,620,835 | * | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 3 | 87.3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 343,060,551 | * | ||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 88.3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 511,526,129 | * | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | 68.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 238,649,142 | * | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 97.8 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 374,795,692 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 61.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 465,974,740 | * | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 3 | 41.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 232,048,300 | * | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 93.4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 352,452,975 | * | ||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | 55.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 391,193,238 | * | |||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 26.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 547,958,953 | * | |||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 433,968,486 | * | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 360,168,596 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 361,939,728 | * | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 3 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 282,184,502 | * | ||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 497,909,563 | * | ||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 361,868,506 | * | ||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 251,755,977 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 3.5 | 165,348,204 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 9.5 | 100,754,456 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 20.8 | 58,551,170 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 36 | 35.8 | 31,487,314 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 51.6 | 15,215,617 | * | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | 67.5 | 6,998,106 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 78.9 | 2,821,031 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 87 | 87.0 | 920,415 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 94 | 93.6 | 293,296 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 95.9 | 2,123,366 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 70.4 | % | 20 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
