Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
8/20PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
Adelaide6215-5-1668InYes75251.2No2Adelaide
GWS6014-5-2313InYes252526232.5-0.13No1Greater Western Sydney
Geelong5814-6-1272InYes05025252.8-0.13No3Geelong
RichmondWFremantle 155-515614-7-0267In62.8%+24.9491425124.0+0.82No4Richmond
Port Adelaide5213-8-0382In19.9-13.520403735.2-0.24No6Port Adelaide
Sydney5213-8-0361In17.3-11.017354355.4-0.24No5Sydney
MelbourneWBrisbane 104-914812-9-011775.4%+12.5No-0.517501817717.7+0.38No8Melbourne
Essendon4411-10-011648.8-6.6No20292121108.7-0.27No11Essendon
West Coast4411-10-07740.1-5.4No15262323149.0-0.24No7West Coast
St KildaWNorth Melbourne 127-784411-10-0-1920.1+4.6No5152126339.7+0.47No10St Kilda
Bulldogs4411-10-0-4715.5-5.1No3122023429.9-0.27No9at HawthornWestern Bulldogs
Hawthorn389-11-1-200OutNo752512.2No12BulldogsHawthorn
Collingwood348-12-1-35OutNo25502513.0+0.25No13Collingwood
FremantleLRichmond 51-155328-13-0-538OutNo257513.8-0.40No14Fremantle
Carlton246-15-0-363OutNo54271915.6+0.34No-4.915Carlton
Gold Coast246-15-0-441OutNo31343516.0+0.35No-10.718Gold Coast
North MelbourneLSt Kilda 78-127205-16-0-332OutNo1225135017.0-0.5949.7%+21.117North Melbourne
BrisbaneLMelbourne 91-104205-16-0-598OutNo214335017.3-0.0950.3-5.416Brisbane

Games have been declared neutral when the away team plays home games in the same stadium (Adelaide/Port and Geelong/North Melbourne), when Melbourne teams play in Melbourne regardless of stadium, and any games outside the normal home catchment area (Cairns/Tasmania matches).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/11
Melbourne 96 St Kilda 72
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne+24.3
+0.9
+1.2
St Kilda-22.7
No
-1.2
Bulldogs-0.9
Essendon 80 Adelaide 123
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Essendon-21.6
No
-1.0
Bulldogs+5.5
+0.2
West Coast 100 Carlton 83
5:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
West Coast+21.1
+0.8
+1.0
Bulldogs-5.4
-0.2
Carlton+8.4
-0.4
Brisbane-5.2
Bulldogs 57 GWS 105
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWSIn
+13.7
+0.7
Bulldogs-18.4
-12.3
-1.2
Sydney 143 Fremantle 39
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Geelong-4.4
Sydney+12.4
+12.1
+1.0
FremantleOut
-0.6
Port Adelaide 98 Collingwood 71
4:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond-0.1
-4.0
Port Adelaide+11.8
+12.1
+0.9
CollingwoodOut
-0.7
Hawthorn 116 North Melbourne 89
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Hawthorn+1.9
+0.7
North Melbourne+10.9
-0.5
Brisbane-5.0
Geelong 80 Richmond 66
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GeelongIn
+15.2
+0.7
Richmond-0.1
-14.6
-0.8
Brisbane 142 Gold Coast 84
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Carlton+5.8
Gold Coast+5.0
-0.6
North Melbourne+5.5
Brisbane-16.3
+0.3
Week of 8/19
Bulldogs 79 Port Adelaide 96
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RichmondIn
-6.3
Port AdelaideIn
+20.7
+0.9
SydneyIn
-7.3
-0.2
Melbourne+5.8
Essendon+3.4
West Coast+5.9
Bulldogs-24.8
No
-1.1
GWS 81 West Coast 60
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWSYes
+0.6
RichmondIn
-3.8
SydneyIn
-4.0
Melbourne+5.6
+0.2
Essendon+4.4
+0.2
West Coast-24.0
No
-0.9
Bulldogs+6.9
+0.2
Melbourne 104 Brisbane 91
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne+23.1
+0.5
+0.9
Essendon-6.4
-0.2
West Coast-7.4
-0.2
Bulldogs-5.8
-0.2
Carlton-4.0
Gold Coast-7.3
+0.2
Brisbane+14.8
-0.4
Gold Coast 57 Essendon 90
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne-5.6
-0.2
Essendon+20.7
+1.0
West Coast-5.7
-0.2
Bulldogs-4.4
-0.2
Gold Coast+5.5
-0.6
St Kilda 127 North Melbourne 78
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
St Kilda+13.9
+0.8
Carlton-4.0
+0.2
Gold Coast-7.3
+0.2
North Melbourne+21.5
-0.6
Brisbane-10.1
Carlton 77 Hawthorn 70
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
HawthornOut
-0.9
Carlton-17.6
+0.6
North Melbourne+7.2
-0.2
Brisbane+8.5
-0.2
Fremantle 51 Richmond 155
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond+24.9
+0.8
Port Adelaide-13.5
-0.2
Sydney-11.0
-0.2
MelbourneNo
Collingwood 59 Geelong 70
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GeelongYes
+0.5
Richmond-6.2
-0.2
Sydney-4.5
Week of 8/25
Essendon vs FremantleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne64.486.286.3
7.97.47.4
Essendon89.712.78.2
7.79.59.7
West Coast29.446.850.8
9.28.98.7
St Kilda9.929.930.2
9.99.59.4
Bulldogs6.524.324.5
10.19.79.6
West Coast vs AdelaideHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne64.786.086.0
7.97.47.4
Essendon40.6*48.857.0
9.08.88.5
West Coast76.712.53.8
8.09.510.0
St Kilda10.928.929.3
9.99.59.4
Bulldogs7.123.723.9
10.19.79.6
Collingwood vs MelbourneHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne50.6InIn
8.57.06.8
Essendon53.344.444.4
8.59.09.0
West Coast48.232.232.2
8.79.29.2
St Kilda27.013.313.3
9.59.89.8
Bulldogs21.010.110.1
9.810.010.0
Richmond vs St KildaHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RichmondYesYes25.2
3.03.55.0
Port AdelaideNoNo39.9
5.55.55.0
SydneyNoNo34.8
5.65.65.1
Melbourne82.082.068.8
7.57.57.8
Essendon53.845.543.9
8.58.99.0
St Kilda0.212.440.1
10.69.58.8
Bulldogs20.320.110.7
9.69.810.1
Hawthorn vs BulldogsHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne80.580.570.3
7.67.67.8
Essendon53.445.144.3
8.58.99.0
Bulldogs0.012.331.1
10.89.59.0
Port Adelaide vs Gold CoastHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond50.375.375.2
4.33.83.8
Port Adelaide39.9NoNo
4.75.55.8
Sydney9.824.724.8
5.65.35.1
Sydney vs CarltonHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond50.375.275.2
4.33.83.8
Port Adelaide14.924.824.8
5.55.35.0
Sydney34.8NoNo
4.85.55.9
Brisbane vs North MelbourneHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
North MelbourneYesNoNo
18.017.016.0
BrisbaneNoYesYes
16.618.018.0
Geelong vs GWSHomeTieAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS3.52.01.5
Geelong2.03.53.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.