Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Melbourne +12.5, Essendon -6.6
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Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Top 4 | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden Spoon | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | L | - | T | GD | % | Change | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Avg. | Change | % | Change | RPI | ||||||
| Adelaide | 62 | 15 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 668 | In | Yes | 75 | 25 | 1.2 | No | 2 | Adelaide | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GWS | 60 | 14 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 313 | In | Yes | 25 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 2.5 | -0.13 | No | 1 | Greater Western Sydney | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Geelong | 58 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 272 | In | Yes | 0 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 2.8 | -0.13 | No | 3 | Geelong | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Richmond | 56 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 267 | In | 62.8 | % | +24.9 | 49 | 14 | 25 | 12 | 4.0 | +0.82 | No | 4 | Richmond | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Port Adelaide | 52 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 382 | In | 19.9 | -13.5 | 20 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 5.2 | -0.24 | No | 6 | Port Adelaide | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Sydney | 52 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 361 | In | 17.3 | -11.0 | 17 | 35 | 43 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.24 | No | 5 | Sydney | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Melbourne | 48 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 117 | 75.4 | % | +12.5 | No | -0.5 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 7.7 | +0.38 | No | 8 | Melbourne | ||||||||||||||||
| Essendon | 44 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 116 | 48.8 | -6.6 | No | 20 | 29 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 8.7 | -0.27 | No | 11 | Essendon | ||||||||||||||||||||
| West Coast | 44 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 77 | 40.1 | -5.4 | No | 15 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 14 | 9.0 | -0.24 | No | 7 | West Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
| St Kilda | 44 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 0 | -19 | 20.1 | +4.6 | No | 5 | 15 | 21 | 26 | 33 | 9.7 | +0.47 | No | 10 | St Kilda | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Bulldogs | 44 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 0 | -47 | 15.5 | -5.1 | No | 3 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 42 | 9.9 | -0.27 | No | 9 | Western Bulldogs | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hawthorn | 38 | 9 | - | 11 | - | 1 | -200 | Out | No | 75 | 25 | 12.2 | No | 12 | Hawthorn | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Collingwood | 34 | 8 | - | 12 | - | 1 | -35 | Out | No | 25 | 50 | 25 | 13.0 | +0.25 | No | 13 | Collingwood | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fremantle | 32 | 8 | - | 13 | - | 0 | -538 | Out | No | 25 | 75 | 13.8 | -0.40 | No | 14 | Fremantle | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Carlton | 24 | 6 | - | 15 | - | 0 | -363 | Out | No | 54 | 27 | 19 | 15.6 | +0.34 | No | -4.9 | 15 | Carlton | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gold Coast | 24 | 6 | - | 15 | - | 0 | -441 | Out | No | 31 | 34 | 35 | 16.0 | +0.35 | No | -10.7 | 18 | Gold Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| North Melbourne | 20 | 5 | - | 16 | - | 0 | -332 | Out | No | 12 | 25 | 13 | 50 | 17.0 | -0.59 | 49.7 | % | +21.1 | 17 | North Melbourne | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Brisbane | 20 | 5 | - | 16 | - | 0 | -598 | Out | No | 2 | 14 | 33 | 50 | 17.3 | -0.09 | 50.3 | -5.4 | 16 | Brisbane | |||||||||||||||||||||
Games have been declared neutral when the away team plays home games in the same stadium (Adelaide/Port and Geelong/North Melbourne), when Melbourne teams play in Melbourne regardless of stadium, and any games outside the normal home catchment area (Cairns/Tasmania matches).
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 8/11 | ||||||||
| Melbourne 96 St Kilda 72 | ||||||||
| 1:10 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | +24.3 | +0.9 | +1.2 | |||||
| St Kilda | -22.7 | No | -1.2 | |||||
| Bulldogs | -0.9 | |||||||
| Essendon 80 Adelaide 123 | ||||||||
| 7:25 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Essendon | -21.6 | No | -1.0 | |||||
| Bulldogs | +5.5 | +0.2 | ||||||
| West Coast 100 Carlton 83 | ||||||||
| 5:40 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| West Coast | +21.1 | +0.8 | +1.0 | |||||
| Bulldogs | -5.4 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Carlton | +8.4 | -0.4 | ||||||
| Brisbane | -5.2 | |||||||
| Bulldogs 57 GWS 105 | ||||||||
| 7:50 PM Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GWS | In | +13.7 | +0.7 | |||||
| Bulldogs | -18.4 | -12.3 | -1.2 | |||||
| Sydney 143 Fremantle 39 | ||||||||
| 1:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Geelong | -4.4 | |||||||
| Sydney | +12.4 | +12.1 | +1.0 | |||||
| Fremantle | Out | -0.6 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide 98 Collingwood 71 | ||||||||
| 4:10 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Richmond | -0.1 | -4.0 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide | +11.8 | +12.1 | +0.9 | |||||
| Collingwood | Out | -0.7 | ||||||
| Hawthorn 116 North Melbourne 89 | ||||||||
| 3:20 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hawthorn | +1.9 | +0.7 | ||||||
| North Melbourne | +10.9 | -0.5 | ||||||
| Brisbane | -5.0 | |||||||
| Geelong 80 Richmond 66 | ||||||||
| 2:10 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Geelong | In | +15.2 | +0.7 | |||||
| Richmond | -0.1 | -14.6 | -0.8 | |||||
| Brisbane 142 Gold Coast 84 | ||||||||
| 4:35 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carlton | +5.8 | |||||||
| Gold Coast | +5.0 | -0.6 | ||||||
| North Melbourne | +5.5 | |||||||
| Brisbane | -16.3 | +0.3 | ||||||
| Week of 8/19 | ||||||||
| Bulldogs 79 Port Adelaide 96 | ||||||||
| 1:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Richmond | In | -6.3 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide | In | +20.7 | +0.9 | |||||
| Sydney | In | -7.3 | -0.2 | |||||
| Melbourne | +5.8 | |||||||
| Essendon | +3.4 | |||||||
| West Coast | +5.9 | |||||||
| Bulldogs | -24.8 | No | -1.1 | |||||
| GWS 81 West Coast 60 | ||||||||
| 4:35 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GWS | Yes | +0.6 | ||||||
| Richmond | In | -3.8 | ||||||
| Sydney | In | -4.0 | ||||||
| Melbourne | +5.6 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Essendon | +4.4 | +0.2 | ||||||
| West Coast | -24.0 | No | -0.9 | |||||
| Bulldogs | +6.9 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Melbourne 104 Brisbane 91 | ||||||||
| 1:10 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | +23.1 | +0.5 | +0.9 | |||||
| Essendon | -6.4 | -0.2 | ||||||
| West Coast | -7.4 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | -5.8 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Carlton | -4.0 | |||||||
| Gold Coast | -7.3 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Brisbane | +14.8 | -0.4 | ||||||
| Gold Coast 57 Essendon 90 | ||||||||
| 7:25 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | -5.6 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Essendon | +20.7 | +1.0 | ||||||
| West Coast | -5.7 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | -4.4 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Gold Coast | +5.5 | -0.6 | ||||||
| St Kilda 127 North Melbourne 78 | ||||||||
| 3:20 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| St Kilda | +13.9 | +0.8 | ||||||
| Carlton | -4.0 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Gold Coast | -7.3 | +0.2 | ||||||
| North Melbourne | +21.5 | -0.6 | ||||||
| Brisbane | -10.1 | |||||||
| Carlton 77 Hawthorn 70 | ||||||||
| 7:25 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hawthorn | Out | -0.9 | ||||||
| Carlton | -17.6 | +0.6 | ||||||
| North Melbourne | +7.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Brisbane | +8.5 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Fremantle 51 Richmond 155 | ||||||||
| 2:40 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Richmond | +24.9 | +0.8 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide | -13.5 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Sydney | -11.0 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Melbourne | No | |||||||
| Collingwood 59 Geelong 70 | ||||||||
| 2:10 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Geelong | Yes | +0.5 | ||||||
| Richmond | -6.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Sydney | -4.5 | |||||||
| Week of 8/25 | ||||||||
| Essendon vs FremantleIf winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | 64.486.286.3 | 7.97.47.4 | ||||||
| Essendon | 89.712.78.2 | 7.79.59.7 | ||||||
| West Coast | 29.446.850.8 | 9.28.98.7 | ||||||
| St Kilda | 9.929.930.2 | 9.99.59.4 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | 6.524.324.5 | 10.19.79.6 | ||||||
| West Coast vs AdelaideHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | 64.786.086.0 | 7.97.47.4 | ||||||
| Essendon | 40.6*48.857.0 | 9.08.88.5 | ||||||
| West Coast | 76.712.53.8 | 8.09.510.0 | ||||||
| St Kilda | 10.928.929.3 | 9.99.59.4 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | 7.123.723.9 | 10.19.79.6 | ||||||
| Collingwood vs MelbourneHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | 50.6InIn | 8.57.06.8 | ||||||
| Essendon | 53.344.444.4 | 8.59.09.0 | ||||||
| West Coast | 48.232.232.2 | 8.79.29.2 | ||||||
| St Kilda | 27.013.313.3 | 9.59.89.8 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | 21.010.110.1 | 9.810.010.0 | ||||||
| Richmond vs St KildaHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Richmond | YesYes25.2 | 3.03.55.0 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide | NoNo39.9 | 5.55.55.0 | ||||||
| Sydney | NoNo34.8 | 5.65.65.1 | ||||||
| Melbourne | 82.082.068.8 | 7.57.57.8 | ||||||
| Essendon | 53.845.543.9 | 8.58.99.0 | ||||||
| St Kilda | 0.212.440.1 | 10.69.58.8 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | 20.320.110.7 | 9.69.810.1 | ||||||
| Hawthorn vs BulldogsHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melbourne | 80.580.570.3 | 7.67.67.8 | ||||||
| Essendon | 53.445.144.3 | 8.58.99.0 | ||||||
| Bulldogs | 0.012.331.1 | 10.89.59.0 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide vs Gold CoastHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Richmond | 50.375.375.2 | 4.33.83.8 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide | 39.9NoNo | 4.75.55.8 | ||||||
| Sydney | 9.824.724.8 | 5.65.35.1 | ||||||
| Sydney vs CarltonHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Richmond | 50.375.275.2 | 4.33.83.8 | ||||||
| Port Adelaide | 14.924.824.8 | 5.55.35.0 | ||||||
| Sydney | 34.8NoNo | 4.85.55.9 | ||||||
| Brisbane vs North MelbourneHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| North Melbourne | YesNoNo | 18.017.016.0 | ||||||
| Brisbane | NoYesYes | 16.618.018.0 | ||||||
| Geelong vs GWSHomeTieAway | ||||||||
| 7:45 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GWS | 3.52.01.5 | |||||||
| Geelong | 2.03.53.5 | |||||||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:38 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
