Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
8/13PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
Adelaide6215-4-1671InYes9281.1No1SydneyAdelaide
GWS5613-5-2292In93.3%-1.66512314612.7-0.03No2Greater Western Sydney
Geelong5413-6-1261In91.3-2.02333522813.0-0.03No3Geelong
Richmond5213-7-016399.9%-0.061.5-4.09262617137204.3-0.10No4Richmond
Sydney4812-8-035897.5-0.325.6-1.881828261262005.5-0.10No6at AdelaideSydney
Port AdelaideWCollingwood 98-714812-8-036596.2+10.726.1+10.681828231273105.5+0.81No5Port Adelaide
MelbourneWSt Kilda 96-724411-9-010460.9+17.10.8-0.0151222221713818.1+0.87No7Melbourne
West Coast4411-9-09860.1-2.20.8-0.3151121221713818.1-0.11No9West Coast
Bulldogs4411-9-0-3043.3-3.70.6-0.1149121723161268.7-0.18No8Western Bulldogs
Essendon4010-10-08324.3-0.8No03101216241714409.8-0.03No12Essendon
St KildaLMelbourne 72-964010-10-0-6814.0-19.9No-0.90149132128186010.4-1.02No11St Kilda
HawthornWNorth Melbourne 116-89389-10-1-1933.8+1.9No03911183122511.5+0.80No10Hawthorn
CollingwoodLPort Adelaide 71-98348-11-1-24Out-2.7No1722412812.9-0.87No13Collingwood
Fremantle328-12-0-434OutNo0162661613.6+0.03No14Fremantle
Gold Coast246-14-0-408OutNo6442718515.7+0.185.5%-1.918Gold Coast
North MelbourneLHawthorn 89-116205-15-0-283OutNo2330232416.5-0.4024.1+8.216North Melbourne
Carlton205-15-0-370OutNo1725362216.6+0.0921.8-1.917Carlton
Brisbane205-15-0-585OutNo1018244917.1+0.1148.6-4.315Brisbane

Games have been declared neutral when the away team plays home games in the same stadium (Adelaide/Port and Geelong/North Melbourne), when Melbourne teams play in Melbourne regardless of stadium, and any games outside the normal home catchment area (Cairns/Tasmania matches).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/11
Melbourne 96 St Kilda 72
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne+24.3
+0.9
+1.2
West Coast-0.6
Bulldogs-0.9
Essendon-0.2
St Kilda-22.7
No
-1.2
Essendon 80 Adelaide 123
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Port Adelaide+1.9
Melbourne+3.6
+0.2
West Coast+4.0
+0.2
Bulldogs+5.5
+0.2
Essendon-21.6
No
-1.0
St Kilda+3.9
+0.2
West Coast 100 Carlton 83
5:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Port Adelaide-1.8
Melbourne-3.5
-0.2
West Coast+21.1
+0.8
+1.0
Bulldogs-5.4
-0.2
Essendon-3.7
-0.2
St Kilda-3.8
-0.2
North Melbourne-2.2
+0.2
Carlton+8.4
-0.4
Brisbane-5.2
Bulldogs 57 GWS 105
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWSIn
+13.7
+0.7
Geelong+2.9
Richmond+0.7
Sydney+2.3
-1.4
Port Adelaide+1.2
-2.5
Melbourne+3.3
West Coast+3.5
-0.6
Bulldogs-18.4
-12.3
-1.2
Essendon+3.3
St Kilda+3.2
Sydney 143 Fremantle 39
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS-1.4
Geelong-4.4
Richmond-2.8
Sydney+12.4
+12.1
+1.0
Port Adelaide-1.0
-1.6
-0.2
Melbourne-1.7
West Coast-1.9
Bulldogs-2.5
-0.7
Essendon-1.9
St Kilda-1.8
FremantleOut
-0.6
Port Adelaide 98 Collingwood 71
4:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS-1.6
Geelong-2.0
Richmond-0.1
-4.0
Sydney-3.3
-0.2
Port Adelaide+11.8
+12.1
+0.9
West Coast-2.0
Bulldogs-2.8
St Kilda-1.7
CollingwoodOut
-0.7
Hawthorn 116 North Melbourne 89
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Hawthorn+1.9
+0.7
Gold Coast-2.0
+0.2
North Melbourne+10.9
-0.5
Carlton-3.9
+0.2
Brisbane-5.0
Geelong 80 Richmond 66
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GeelongIn
+15.2
+0.7
Richmond-0.1
-14.6
-0.8
Brisbane 142 Gold Coast 84
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Gold Coast+5.0
-0.6
North Melbourne+5.5
Carlton+5.8
Brisbane-16.3
+0.3
Week of 8/18
Bulldogs vs Port AdelaideIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS96.696.690.0
2.62.62.7
Geelong95.387.687.4
3.03.13.1
Richmond99.7InIn
68.869.454.2
4.14.04.4
Sydney96.596.298.6
29.927.321.3
5.35.55.6
Port Adelaide92.5100.0In
5.717.246.5
6.45.54.6
Melbourne55.456.066.5
1.31.00.3
8.28.28.0
West Coast54.555.365.8
1.31.00.3
8.28.28.0
Bulldogs68.156.718.3
1.1NoNo
7.68.39.8
Essendon21.119.527.5
9.910.09.6
St Kilda11.411.316.6
10.510.510.2
Hawthorn0.95.06.6
11.611.411.4
GWS vs West CoastHomeTieAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWSYesYes86.5
2.22.53.1
RichmondInIn99.7
58.858.864.3
4.34.34.2
Melbourne66.360.755.6
7.98.18.3
West Coast36.260.984.1
NoNo1.6
9.18.07.1
Bulldogs50.047.936.6
8.58.68.9
Essendon28.420.720.2
9.69.910.0
St Kilda17.213.510.8
10.210.410.5
Melbourne vs BrisbaneHomeTieAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond99.7InIn
4.34.24.2
Melbourne84.8*61.037.1
1.7NoNo
7.18.09.1
West Coast54.8*60.265.5
8.38.17.9
Bulldogs36.648.149.9
8.98.68.5
Essendon20.220.828.4
10.09.99.6
St Kilda10.813.617.2
10.510.410.2
Gold Coast2.14.58.8
15.615.715.8
North Melbourne20.627.427.5
16.416.616.6
Carlton11.930.631.6
16.416.816.8
Brisbane65.437.532.0
17.516.916.7
Gold Coast vs EssendonHomeTieAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne66.366.155.5
7.97.98.3
West Coast65.665.354.6
7.98.08.3
Bulldogs47.647.638.9
8.58.58.9
Essendon3.26.145.5
10.910.48.7
St Kilda16.516.311.4
10.210.210.6
Gold CoastNo0.011.0
15.215.416.3
Brisbane51.751.745.6
17.217.217.0
St Kilda vs North MelbourneHomeTieAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Melbourne57.863.464.0
8.28.08.0
West Coast56.962.863.3
8.28.18.0
Bulldogs39.646.846.9
8.98.58.5
St Kilda27.25.30.8
9.510.511.3
Gold Coast2.12.28.8
15.515.515.9
North Melbourne40.737.27.3
17.016.916.0
Carlton16.419.627.2
16.416.516.8
Brisbane40.740.956.6
17.017.017.2
Carlton vs HawthornHomeTieAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
HawthornOut0.77.5
12.411.510.6
North Melbourne31.329.916.8
16.716.616.3
Carlton4.224.939.4
16.116.917.2
Brisbane57.241.640.2
17.316.916.9
Adelaide vs SydneyHomeTieAway
7:20 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
GWS96.696.690.0
Geelong95.387.687.4
3.03.13.1
Richmond68.868.754.2
4.14.14.5
Sydney95.099.6100.0
5.417.245.9
6.35.64.6
Port Adelaide96.596.096.0
30.327.221.8
5.35.55.7
Fremantle vs RichmondHomeTieAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond99.7InIn
37.080.085.9
5.13.83.4
Sydney34.317.217.0
5.35.65.6
Port Adelaide35.017.417.2
5.35.75.7
Melbourne1.7NoNo
8.08.18.1
West Coast1.6NoNo
8.18.28.2
Bulldogs1.1NoNo
8.68.88.8
Collingwood vs GeelongHomeTieAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Geelong82.688.2Yes
3.53.12.6
Richmond66.261.056.9
4.14.34.5
Collingwood12.412.813.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.