Poland Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Lost to TUR 0-3, playoff odds down 10.7 to 22.5% 2 points 0-1 2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | TUR 3 POL 0 | -10.7 | | +3.0 | | -1.2 | | USA 3 ITA 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot) | *-0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | CHN 0 KOR 3 | | | +0.1 | | | | BRA 3 SRB 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | CHN vs POL | -9.2-6.9+6.5+9.3 | | +4.4+2.7-3.4-4.1 | | -1.2-0.9+0.9+1.2 | | ITA vs RUS | +0.3+0.3-0.2-0.3 | | +0.7+0.5-0.5-0.7 | | | | JAP vs USA | +0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1 | | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | THA vs SRB | +0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | KOR vs GER | -0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2 | | | | ARG vs DOM | +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | BEL vs NED | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | TUR vs BRA | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the POL finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,123,193 | | 37 | | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 292,625 | | 36 | | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 920,666 | * | 35 | | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,821,533 | * | 34 | | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,008,808 | * | 33 | | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,219,912 | * | 32 | | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,495,901 | * | 31 | | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 58 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,550,520 | * | 30 | | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 42 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 100,730,895 | * | 29 | | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 26 | 41 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 165,332,319 | * | 28 | | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 251,768,808 | * | 27 | | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 99.3 | | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 361,862,859 | * | 26 | | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 95.9 | | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 497,932,862 | * | 25 | | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 78.4 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 381,153,846 | * | | 7 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 94.6 | | 1 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 262,963,373 | * | 24 | | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 38.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 433,654,573 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 89.1 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 360,529,711 | * | 23 | | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 14.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 440,973,791 | * | | 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 46.8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 498,145,504 | * | 22 | | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 9.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 467,041,951 | * | | 4 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | 34.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 232,034,484 | * | | 5 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 351,372,249 | * | 21 | | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 307,066,872 | | | 4 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 8.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 443,183,947 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 374,692,768 | * | 20 | | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 2.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 514,019,186 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | 641,676,908 | * | 19 | | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 657,340,395 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0.5 | | 467,667,153 | * | 18 | | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0.9 | | 307,107,702 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 2.2 | | 392,032,149 | * | | 3 | - | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 351,316,846 | * | 17 | | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 6.2 | | 462,711,207 | * | | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1.6 | | 476,426,823 | * | 16 | | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 18 | 3 | 3.0 | | 421,969,537 | * | | 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 18.5 | | 372,214,294 | * | 15 | | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 22.1 | | 644,147,296 | * | 14 | | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 36 | 36.4 | | 497,906,868 | * | 13 | | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 51 | 51.2 | | 361,869,563 | * | 12 | | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 66 | 66.4 | | 251,743,729 | * | 11 | | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 78.0 | | 165,335,128 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 86.1 | | 100,725,318 | * | 9 | | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 92.3 | | 58,547,834 | * | 8 | | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 95.9 | | 31,476,018 | * | 7 | | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 97.8 | | 15,220,092 | * | 6 | | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.1 | | 6,998,039 | * | 5 | | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | | 2,822,319 | * | 4 | | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | | 920,048 | * | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | | 293,639 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | | 2,123,491 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 22.5 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8.6 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |