Italy Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Lost to USA 0-3, playoff odds down 8 to 12.1% 1 points 0-0 2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | USA 3 ITA 0 | -8.2 | | +5.4 | | -1.2 | | GER 1 JAP 3 | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot) | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | CHN 0 KOR 3 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | TUR 3 POL 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | BRA 3 SRB 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | ARG 0 THA 3 | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Tuesday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | ITA vs RUS | +6.4+3.7-4.7-6.0 | | -6.9-5.2+4.7+7.1 | | +1.1+0.7-0.8-1.1 | | CHN vs POL | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | -0.6-0.3+0.5+0.5 | | | | THA vs SRB | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | +0.4+0.4-0.2-0.4 | | | | JAP vs USA | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | +0.4+0.4-0.2-0.4 | | | | KOR vs GER | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.4-0.2+0.3+0.3 | | | | ARG vs DOM | +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | +0.2+0.3*-0.0-0.3 | | | | TUR vs BRA | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | | | BEL vs NED | -0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0 | | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the ITA finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,123,464 | | 36 | | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 293,845 | | 35 | | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 920,125 | * | 34 | | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,819,722 | * | 33 | | 10 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 74 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,000,418 | * | 32 | | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 59 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,214,998 | * | 31 | | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 44 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 31,502,100 | * | 30 | | 8 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 28 | 41 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 58,558,954 | * | 29 | | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | | 14 | 33 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 100,740,845 | * | 28 | | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 98.8 | | 6 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 165,365,786 | * | 27 | | 7 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 95.2 | | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 251,693,663 | * | 26 | | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 85.5 | | 0 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 361,843,302 | * | 25 | | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 77.0 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 277,053,008 | * | | 6 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 50.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 220,852,955 | * | 24 | | 6 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 35.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 644,120,497 | * | 23 | | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 1.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 434,006,165 | * | | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 24.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 360,191,631 | * | 22 | | 6 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 386,558,133 | * | | 5 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 4.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | No | 552,610,450 | * | 21 | | 5 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 674,626,929 | * | | 5 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | | 375,821,249 | * | 20 | | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | 506,031,076 | * | | 5 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 244,122,799 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | | 374,811,311 | * | 19 | | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 2.9 | | 514,163,948 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | | 641,515,177 | * | 18 | | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 1.0 | | 657,311,026 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 7.5 | | 223,410,230 | * | | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 11.3 | | 244,235,283 | * | 17 | | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 7.0 | | 658,415,373 | * | | 3 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 18.8 | | 392,031,303 | * | 16 | | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 19.1 | | 263,330,499 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 35 | 14 | 14.1 | | 362,002,587 | * | | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 41 | 38 | 37.8 | | 313,762,933 | * | 15 | | 3 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 29.4 | | 478,767,108 | * | | 3 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 54 | 53.9 | | 315,483,665 | * | 14 | | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 63.2 | | 373,979,261 | * | | 2 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 44 | 43.7 | | 270,163,190 | * | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 70 | 69.7 | | 497,946,019 | * | 12 | | 2 | - | 2 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 81 | 81.3 | | 361,861,140 | * | 11 | | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 89.0 | | 251,727,451 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 94.1 | | 165,337,137 | * | 9 | | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 97.0 | | 100,745,679 | * | 8 | | 1 | - | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 98.6 | | 58,551,651 | * | 7 | | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.4 | | 31,489,121 | * | 6 | | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | | 15,214,425 | * | 5 | | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | | 7,000,679 | * | 4 | | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | | 2,820,324 | * | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | | 920,329 | * | 1 | -2 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,416,589 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 12.1 | % | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 17.5 | % | 13,253,485,552 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |