"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 5/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ARG 0 THA 3 +7.7
-6.2
+1.2
USA 3 ITA 0 -0.2
-0.4
GER 1 JAP 3 +0.2
+0.4
DOM 2 BEL 3 (ot)*-0.1
-0.2
TUR 3 POL 0 -0.3
CHN 0 KOR 3 +0.2
BRA 3 SRB 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
THA vs SRB+10.1+6.4-7.1-9.8
-3.7-2.9+2.3+3.9
+1.3+0.9-0.9-1.2
ITA vs RUS+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.4
+0.5+0.4-0.3-0.5
CHN vs POL-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.2+0.2
JAP vs USA+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
KOR vs GER-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
BEL vs NED-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
ARG vs DOM+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.3
TUR vs BRA+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the THA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
3912-00-0In10000No2,123,280
3811-10-0In9910No292,873
3710-20-0In9820No919,488*
3610-10-1In96400No2,822,223*
3510-11-0In92700No7,001,164*
349-21-0In8613100No15,220,339*
339-11-1In78212000No31,488,077*
328-21-1In65305000No58,564,278*
318-22-0100.0%49391110000No100,734,347*
308-12-1100.033421951000No165,362,958*
297-22-199.9183729123000000No251,712,220*
287-12-299.582634228200000No361,814,445*
277-13-197.5314282917720000000No497,955,796*
266-23-186.00210232822103100000No382,056,144*
7-14-098.02923312492000No262,031,453*
256-13-258.4001620322511410000000.0%433,633,461*
5-33-193.5031127331961000No360,567,144*
246-14-128.6000181926221572000000.0386,527,918*
5-23-241.300021128331961000No298,867,415*
5-34-078.60151729261451000No253,682,237*
235-24-127.700127182927133000No699,078,965*
5-13-31.1000172233249210000.0351,392,199*
225-14-20.30000313283017620000.0681,731,300*
4-34-112.800013923332371000No443,221,684*
215-15-12.6000002816232517710000.0514,018,695*
4-24-20.0000162033271120000.0356,570,218*
5-04-30.000027162627165100.1285,141,839*
204-25-10.4000000251225311951000.0680,685,459*
4-14-30.00001620332711200.3444,268,031*
194-15-2Out000211263220711.0539,110,215*
3-35-10.100000014142728186100.1511,354,347*
184-16-10.0000001614242919610.6386,356,204*
3-25-2Out000041530311633.4552,797,010*
173-26-10.0000000141531321421.9433,667,154*
3-15-3Out00021435361212.4360,536,227*
163-16-2Out0001828422221.6370,951,559*
4-07-10.0000001722352788.0273,234,493*
153-17-10.00000001622423029.5497,952,920*
142-27-1Out0000213404544.8361,839,440*
132-17-2Out000016336060.4251,737,018*
122-18-1Out0003237474.0165,329,572*
112-08-2Out0001168383.5100,722,223*
101-18-2Out00099090.558,554,387*
91-19-1Out0059594.931,482,054*
81-09-2Out0039797.215,215,997*
71-010-1Out019998.77,002,866*
60-110-1Out019999.42,818,872*
50-010-2Out010099.7920,420*
40-011-1Out010099.9293,635
30-012-0Out0100100.02,123,289
Total:25.4%23455667778888877.3%13,253,485,552

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs