| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Hawthorn Hawks Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 68.1%
20 points 5-0-2
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | +9.5 | +8.0 | +1.0 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.2 | -0.6 | ||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.1 | |||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.8 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.2*+0.4-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hawks vs Swans | +9.1+1.5-9.2 | +9.8*+0.2-9.8 | +1.0+0.1-1.0 | |||
| Lions vs Hawks | -8.9+1.3+8.8 | -8.8*+0.1+8.8 | -0.9+0.1+0.9 | |||
| Hawks vs Dockers | +8.7+1.4-8.8 | +8.7*+0.4-8.7 | +0.9+0.1-0.9 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.5*+0.3+0.5 | -0.6*+0.1+0.6 | ||||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.4*+0.1-0.4 | -0.5*-0.1+0.5 | ||||
| Lions vs Magpies | +0.2+0.5-0.2 | |||||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.3*+0.2+0.3 | |||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.3*+0.0+0.3 | +0.2*+0.2-0.3 | ||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.3*+0.1+0.3 | +0.6*+0.1-0.6 | ||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.3*+0.1+0.2 | -0.5*-0.1+0.5 | ||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.2*+0.2+0.2 | |||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | +0.7*+0.3-0.7 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | +0.1*+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.1*-0.3+0.2 | -0.2*-0.4+0.2 | ||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | +0.9*+0.0-0.9 | ||||
| Demons vs Bulldogs | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | ||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | -0.3*+0.2+0.3 | ||||
| Crows vs Giants | +0.3*+0.4-0.3 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.8*+0.1-0.8 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +0.7*+0.3-0.8 | |||||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.6*+0.2+0.6 | |||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.3*+0.2-0.4 | |||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.3*+0.2-0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Hawks finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 78 | -80 | In | Yes | 100 | 593 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 1,066 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 821 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | 7,837 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 5,190 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 87 | 12 | 0 | 33,102 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 87 | 12 | 0 | 1,672 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 20,901 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 80 | 20 | 1 | 301 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 100.0 | % | 62 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 99,600 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 100.0 | 62 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6,168 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 100.0 | 46 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 58,163 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 48 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 1,007 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 99.4 | 25 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218,744 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 99.5 | 25 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15,386 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 97.6 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 115,478 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 97.4 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2,344 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | 85.5 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364,528 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 85.7 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 27,500 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 100.0 | 66.4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172,415 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 66.3 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3,892 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 99.7 | 28.2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 469,574 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 27.7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36,386 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.7 | 29.2 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 343 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 98.2 | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197,806 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 98.1 | 8.5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4,541 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 79.7 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 467,920 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 80.5 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36,504 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 77.7 | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 372 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 51.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 172,289 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 51.6 | No | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3,845 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 44 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 365,583 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 11.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27,347 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 1.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115,621 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 1.8 | No | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2,320 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218,864 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15,208 | * | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 57,697 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1,054 | * | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 99,877 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6,157 | * | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 21,205 | * | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 33,108 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 32 | 8 | 1,618 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 15 | 5,255 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 38 | 7,772 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 39 | 54 | 813 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 2 | 24 | 74 | 1,126 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 21 | 79 | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 562 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 68.1 | % | 34.0 | % | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
