Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsTop 4Chance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPI5/13
KangaroosWSaints 82-75287-0-014192.3%+4.671.4%+7.931181310764332111000003.6+0.664North Melbourne Kangaroos
Cats246-0-132884.7-0.156.3-1.017151311986543321110004.8-0.063at CrowsGeelong Cats
Swans246-0-127884.3-0.155.6-0.917151311986543321110004.8-0.056Sydney Swans
Bulldogs205-0-220770.4-0.036.7-0.9891010998766543221106.5-0.037Western Bulldogs
Giants205-0-221270.4-0.136.7-0.9791010998766543221106.5-0.042Greater Western Sydney
Hawks205-0-2-468.1-0.134.0-0.97999998876543321106.8-0.031Hawthorn Hawks
Crows164-0-310951.9-0.120.4-0.73567788888766543218.4-0.015CatsAdelaide Crows
Eagles164-0-39851.7-0.220.2-0.83567788888766543218.5-0.0110West Coast Eagles
Demons164-0-38651.5-0.220.3-0.73567788888766543218.5-0.019Melbourne Demons
PowerWLions 136-59164-0-31450.6+9.519.6+4.93567788888776543218.6+1.0511Port Adelaide Power
Suns123-0-4-10331.7-0.19.0-0.412344567788888765310.6+0.0213Gold Coast Suns
Blues123-0-4-12531.4-0.28.9-0.512344567788888765310.6+0.0115Carlton Blues
SaintsLKangaroos 75-8282-0-5-4917.9-7.53.7-3.301122345678891010109712.3-0.898St. Kilda Saints
Magpiesat Tigers82-0-5-18117.1-0.13.6-0.201122345567891010109712.5+0.0518Collingwood Magpies
TigersMagpies41-0-6-2107.8-0.11.1-0.10001112334578101113151614.1+0.0617Richmond Tigers
LionsLPower 59-13641-0-6-2877.7-5.01.1-1.40001112334578101113151614.2-0.8312Brisbane Lions
Bombers41-0-6-3047.4-0.11.0-0.10001112234568101113151614.2+0.0616Essendon Bombers
Dockers00-0-7-2103.1-0.00.3-0.0000001112234681014192915.5+0.0614Fremantle Dockers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/6
Suns 87 Demons 160
5:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Demons+9.8
+6.0
+1.1
Suns-9.9
-5.9
-1.1
Bulldogs 123 Crows 108
7:40 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs+9.6
+8.9
+1.0
Crows-9.6
-8.8
-1.0
Power 136 Lions 59
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.3
-0.4
Cats-0.4
Swans-0.3
-0.5
Bulldogs-0.3
-0.4
Giants-0.3
-0.4
Hawks-0.3
-0.3
Crows-0.3
-0.3
Eagles-0.3
-0.3
Demons-0.4
-0.3
Power+9.5
+5.4
+1.1
Suns-0.4
Blues-0.3
Saints-0.4
Lions-5.2
-1.4
-0.9
Tigers 90 Hawks 136
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.6
Cats-0.2
-0.7
Swans-0.2
-0.7
Bulldogs-0.3
-0.6
Giants-0.3
-0.6
Hawks+9.5
+8.0
+1.0
Crows-0.3
-0.6
Eagles-0.3
-0.6
Demons-0.3
-0.4
Power-0.3
-0.4
Suns-0.3
-0.4
Saints-0.3
-0.2
Tigers-5.4
-1.6
-0.9
Cats 123 Eagles 79
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats+7.4
+10.2
+0.9
Eagles-9.5
-8.9
-1.0
Dockers 77 Giants 95
8:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.3
-0.7
Cats-0.3
-0.8
Swans-0.3
-0.8
Bulldogs-0.5
-0.7
Giants+9.1
+8.3
+1.0
Hawks-0.5
-0.8
Crows-0.5
-0.7
Eagles-0.5
-0.7
Demons-0.5
-0.5
Power-0.4
-0.4
Suns-0.5
-0.4
Blues-0.4
-0.3
Saints-0.4
-0.3
Magpies-0.4
-0.2
Lions-0.3
Dockers-2.9
-0.6
-0.7
Magpies 84 Blues 99
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Blues+7.9
+3.3
+1.0
Magpies-7.8
-3.2
-1.0
Saints 75 Kangaroos 82
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos+5.0
+8.8
+0.7
Cats-0.6
Swans-0.6
Bulldogs+0.2
-0.6
Giants-0.6
Hawks+0.2
-0.6
Crows+0.3
-0.4
Eagles+0.3
-0.4
Demons+0.3
-0.4
Power-0.3
Blues-0.3
Saints-7.8
-3.3
-1.0
Swans 135 Bombers 54
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos-0.8
Cats-0.8
Swans+7.3
+9.3
+0.9
Bulldogs-0.7
Giants-0.7
Hawks-0.8
Crows-0.2
-0.8
Eagles-0.7
Demons-0.5
Power-0.5
Suns-0.5
Saints-0.3
Bombers-5.1
-1.5
-0.9
Tigers vs MagpiesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:50 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies10.916.123.4
1.83.15.5
13.412.511.5
Tigers11.56.94.1
1.90.90.4
13.314.215.0
Week of 5/13
Power vs EaglesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles41.3*51.662.1
13.019.227.5
9.58.57.4
Power61.0*50.940.2
26.718.912.6
7.58.59.6
Demons vs PowerHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Demons61.9*51.641.1
27.519.313.2
7.48.59.5
Power40.2*50.561.0
12.618.526.7
9.68.67.5
Crows vs CatsHomeDrawAway
7:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats78.685.990.8
46.2*56.766.4
5.64.74.0
Crows62.0*51.641.8
27.919.113.0
7.48.59.5
Eagles vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles61.7*51.741.6
27.019.313.5
7.48.59.5
Saints11.216.524.8
1.73.05.8
13.312.511.4
Demons vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
3:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs61.370.979.4
27.036.046.3
7.56.55.5
Demons61.7*51.441.2
27.719.313.0
7.48.59.5
Eagles vs SunsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Eagles62.0*51.741.3
27.319.313.3
7.48.59.5
Suns22.4*31.341.0
4.98.213.1
11.610.69.6
Crows vs GiantsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants61.371.179.5
27.0*36.546.4
7.56.55.5
Crows62.2*51.941.5
27.919.513.0
7.48.59.5
Blues vs PowerHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Power40.3*51.060.9
12.918.726.5
9.68.57.5
Blues40.730.922.1
13.08.14.8
9.610.611.7
Suns vs CrowsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows41.5*51.862.2
13.419.327.4
9.58.57.4
Suns41.031.122.4
13.18.44.9
9.610.611.6
Demons vs LionsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Demons61.3*51.641.6
27.119.513.6
7.58.49.5
Lions4.06.611.4
0.40.81.8
15.014.313.4
Hawks vs SwansHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans78.185.590.5
45.356.265.9
5.64.74.0
Hawks77.269.658.9
43.9*34.224.2
5.86.77.8
Giants vs SunsHomeDrawAway
4:35 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants79.371.161.4
46.036.127.4
5.66.57.5
Suns22.5*31.340.9
4.88.213.2
11.610.69.6
Giants vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs61.471.079.4
26.736.146.6
7.56.55.5
Giants79.471.361.4
46.636.226.7
5.56.57.5
Blues vs CatsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats78.686.090.8
46.557.066.1
5.64.74.0
Blues40.430.822.5
13.18.14.7
9.610.611.6
Lions vs HawksHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks59.269.376.9
25.3*34.142.8
7.76.75.8
Lions11.46.64.0
1.80.80.4
13.414.315.0
Kangaroos vs BluesHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos96.093.588.6
79.773.363.0
2.93.44.2
Blues22.6*31.340.2
4.88.013.0
11.610.69.6
Hawks vs DockersHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks76.869.559.3
42.7*34.425.3
5.86.67.7
Dockers1.32.44.8
0.10.20.5
16.115.614.9
Magpies vs BulldogsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs61.671.279.1
27.636.145.8
7.56.55.6
Magpies23.716.110.6
5.72.91.6
11.512.513.4
Saints vs BombersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Saints24.516.611.5
5.63.01.8
11.412.413.3
Bombers3.96.611.0
0.40.81.7
15.014.313.4
Saints vs DockersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Saints24.416.611.6
5.73.01.8
11.412.513.3
Dockers1.42.44.8
0.10.20.5
16.115.614.8
Lions vs MagpiesHomeDrawAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Magpies10.916.323.4
1.83.15.5
13.412.511.5
Lions11.36.84.1
1.80.80.4
13.414.315.0
Magpies vs CatsHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Cats78.885.790.6
46.856.865.8
5.64.74.0
Magpies23.516.210.8
5.73.01.6
11.612.513.4
Tigers vs SwansHomeDrawAway
7:25 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Swans78.385.490.2
46.3*55.864.9
5.64.74.0
Tigers11.56.84.1
1.90.80.4
13.414.214.9
Swans vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos88.793.595.9
62.573.280.2
4.23.42.9
Swans90.285.478.4
65.856.145.4
4.04.75.7
Bombers vs TigersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Tigers4.26.711.4
0.40.91.9
15.014.213.3
Bombers10.96.64.0
1.70.80.4
13.414.315.0
Dockers vs TigersHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Tigers4.36.811.3
0.50.91.9
15.014.213.3
Dockers4.82.31.4
0.50.20.1
14.815.616.1
Bombers vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Kangaroos88.893.595.8
63.473.479.3
4.23.42.9
Bombers10.96.64.0
1.70.70.4
13.514.315.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you John Pilbrow for adding this league.