| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Carlton Blues Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 31.4%
12 points 3-0-4
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Magpies 84 Blues 99 | +7.9 | +3.3 | +1.0 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.4 | -0.3 | ||||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.2 | -0.3 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.1 | -0.3 | ||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blues vs Power | +9.3-0.5-9.3 | +4.1-0.8-4.0 | +1.0+0.0-1.0 | |||
| Blues vs Cats | +9.0-0.6-8.9 | +4.2-0.8-4.2 | +1.0-0.0-1.0 | |||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | -8.8*-0.1+8.8 | -4.1-0.9+4.1 | -1.0+0.0+1.0 | |||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.5*-0.0+0.5 | -0.4*-0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.5*+0.1+0.5 | -0.3*+0.2+0.3 | ||||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.5*-0.2-0.4 | +0.4*+0.0-0.4 | ||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.4*+0.3+0.3 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.3*-0.2+0.3 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.3*+0.2+0.3 | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.2*+0.3+0.2 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.2*+0.2-0.2 | +0.4*+0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Lions vs Magpies | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.2*-0.3+0.2 | |||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | +0.3*-0.2-0.3 | ||||
| Demons vs Bulldogs | -0.2*+0.3+0.1 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Crows vs Giants | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | |||||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 72 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 569 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 91 | 9 | 1,127 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 81 | 19 | 1 | 863 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 7,992 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | % | 49 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5,346 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 60 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 99.7 | 31 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33,173 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 99.8 | 31 | 46 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1,628 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 98.3 | 14 | 39 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21,066 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 90.4 | 5 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 99,309 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 90.4 | 5 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6,197 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 69.5 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 57,765 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 69.6 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1,124 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 99.8 | 37.4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219,513 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 37.3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14,949 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 98.3 | 9.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 115,360 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 98.4 | 9.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2,384 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 85.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364,822 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 85.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27,372 | * | |||||||||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 172,580 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 54.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3,934 | * | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 469,445 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 17.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36,453 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 16.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 358 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 2.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197,124 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 2.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4,428 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 468,756 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36,451 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 1 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 354 | ||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172,711 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3,943 | * | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 364,883 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 27,621 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 115,190 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 2,378 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 218,575 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 15,241 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 37 | 12 | 57,496 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 11 | 1,098 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 29 | 99,639 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 6,134 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 21,537 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 64 | 33,144 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 1,766 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 76 | 5,172 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 13 | 87 | 7,928 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 8 | 92 | 836 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 1,129 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 59 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 554 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 31.4 | % | 8.9 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
